Writing in the New Republic, Michael Rubin of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy argues that many pundits, military analysts, and former government officials are substantially over-estimating the military resistance the U.S. will encounter in Iraq. Military predictions of this type, on either side of the argument, are problematic. But Rubin’s piece presents a plausible case that much of what he calls the emerging conventional wisdom is too pessimistic. And he makes the undeniable point that this was true prior to our actions in Afghanistan, Kosovo, and the first Gulf War.
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