Nine points, to be exact, among likely voters. Do you suppose some Floridians might be annoyed at being treated as a third-world country by Jimmy Carter?
The trend of Gallup reporting results favorable to President Bush continues. I’m not a polling expert, but my understanding is that Gallup does not correct for a possible “over-sample” of either party. So if a lot of people are describing themselves as Republicans, Gallup assumes that’s a trend rather than a sampling error.
UPDATE: The Rasmussen tracking survey, which does correct for “over-sampling,” and has generally shown the race tighter than most other polls in both directions, now has Bush with a four-point lead nationally.
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