Yesterday, Scott asked whether “Joe Lieberman swing[s] Republican votes in New Hampshire.” The answer may well be that he does not. However, Lieberman’s endorsement of John McCain has the potential to induce independent voters to support McCain in that state.
During the town hall meeting I attended in Rochester, New Hampshire and its aftermath, I sensed a yearning among voters for a substantial reduction of hostilities between the two parties. Wisely, McCain did not pander to that sentiment. But the Lieberman endorsement reminds voters that McCain is the one candidate in the two parties who would most closely resemble a “unity” president.
The question, though, is the extent to which independents (the group that, by definition, most wants the parties to get along) will vote in the Republican primary. If Hillary Clinton had retained her aura of inevitabilitly, a majority of New Hampshire independents might well have been inclined to vote in the Republican contest. But if, as seems more likely than not, Clinton does not win in Iowa, the Democratic primary may become the contest of choice for independents. And Barack Obama is perceived by many as at least a potential unity candidate himself.
A final point. McCain and Giuliani have been sharing the same “space” in New Hampshire — a rise in the standing of one corresponding to a decline in the standing of the other. Giuliani seems to be fading in New Hampshire and, accordingly, is shifting his focus to Florida and elsewhere. From McCain’s perspective, the more (Republican) Giuliani supporters come over to McCain in New Hampshire, the fewer independents need to participate in the Republican primary.
This, then, is the McCain formula for success in New Hampshire — rely on former Giuliani supporters and independents. In this context, the Lieberman endorsement should prove valuable.
To comment on this post, go here.
- Subscribe now!... Get rid of ADs!Support Power Line...VIP MembershipPresentsPower Line
Most Read on Power Line
- Durham D.A. admits ideology will influence his prosecutorial discretion
- The media can't help but help Trump
- New York Times Applauds Far-Left Violence
- Munchin' on Mnuchin
- Google Teaming With Left-Wing Groups to Drive Conservatives Off the Internet?
- U.S. Civil Rights Commission wants no enemies on the left
Subscribe to Power Line by Email
Find us on Facebook
“Arise and take our stand for freedom as in the olden time.” Winston Churchill
“Proclaim Liberty throughout All the land unto All the Inhabitants Thereof.” Inscription on the Liberty Bell