Consistent with Paul’s evaluation of how the Dems are doing immediately below, Scott Rasmussen sees signs of at least a small bounce, as Barack Obama gained one point in Rasmussen’s rolling survey today and now leads John McCain 45% to 44%:
Obama’s poll numbers have improved over the past couple of nights and today’s update shows a tie race because it includes a mix of both recent trends. But it seems likely that Obama will end the convention with a modest lead over McCain.
Of course, the big speech is Obama’s tonight. No doubt he will have a large audience, and a lot will depend on how he performs. The good news, if you’re a Democrat, is that he will have a teleprompter.
UPDATE: Gallup is finding a bigger bounce, with Obama holding a six-point lead today.
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