For what it’s worth, and that may not be much, Chris Christie is in a statistical dead heat with Hillary Clinton in a poll by CNN/ORC International. The poll puts Christie at 48 percent and Clinton at 46 percent.
Christie wins nearly six in ten votes among independents, and wins a majority of suburbanites and older voters. Clinton wins decisively among women.
Unfortunately, Christie is the only Republican among those tested by CNN/ORC International who wasn’t trounced by Clinton. She outpaced Paul Ryan 8 points; Rand Paul by 13; Mike Huckabee by 15; Rick Perry by 17; Ted Cruz by 18; Marco Rubio and Rick Santorum by 19 points; and Jeb Bush by 21.
Ryan, assuming he runs, might be able to perform about as well as Christie if he continues to drift towards the center while enhancing his reputation as someone who can make deals with Democrats. Paul, Huckabee, Perry, Cruz, Rubio, and Santorum would have to find another way to close the gap, and it is possible that some of them could do so.
As for Jeb Bush, apparently he is doomed by his name. It seems that his brother is not yet widely missed, though he is by me.