Another South Carolina poll

Okay, here’s a South Carolina poll that’s more in line than the one I mentioned yesterday with what I fear to be the case. Augusta Chronicle/ Morris News Service/Fox 5 Atlanta surveyed 779 likely GOP primary voters. The results are:

Trump 36
Cruz 20
Rubio 14.5
Bush 11
Kasich 9
Carson 5

These results are nearly identical to those reported by Marist/WSJ/NBC in mid-January, except that Kasich has gained substantially. Is it plausible to think the shape of the race really changed so little in South Carolina in the past three weeks? Yes, I think it is.

Maybe it will begin to change now, with all the negative ads being run and a debate to take place tomorrow. I sure hope so.

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