Author Archives: Steven Hayward

Steyer, Steyer, Pants on Fire

Featured image Tom Steyer is delusional. Or living in a parallel universe where Al Gore is emperor. Probably comes with hanging out with Nancy Pelosi in Pacific Heights too much. He tells the San Jose Mercury News that “I feel as if we did better than we expected.” The story adds: Steyer and his camp stress that they have created an infrastructure — which includes identifying 250.000 “climate voters” — for the »

The Other Hurricane Katrina

Featured image The one named Katrina vanden Heuvel, editor of The Nation. She wrote last night that Obama should double-down on his radicalism: The Obama administration should act right away to use its executive powers to take steps to deal with long-ignored issues that need to be dealt with for the good of the nation. This cannot be done quietly. To change the media narrative, issues acted upon will have to be »

Obama’s Katrina

Featured image John Judis of The New Republic is one of the advocates (along with Ruy Teixeiria) of the “emerging Democratic majority” thesis based on demographics, and the theory looked pretty good for Obama in 2008 and 2012.  And it might well be decisive again in 2016.  But it’s also the case that issues matter.  In Judis’s election post-mortem today, this paragraph stands out: Could Obama and the Democrats have avoided the voters’ »

Paging Eugene Robinson

Featured image I expect Eugene Robinson, by far the weakest columnist on the Washington Post op-ed page, is already writing his column about how the American voters acted out a childish temper tantrum at the polls yesterday, like he did in 2010: “According to polls, Americans are in a mood to hold their breath until they turn blue. Voters appear to be so fed up with the Democrats that they’re ready to »

Be a Hogan’s Hero

Featured image Paul has already noted how huge is Larry Hogan’s upset win in the Maryland governor’s race, but it is worth dwelling on one important aspect of Hogan’s successful campaign: he actually campaigned for black votes. Memo to GOP operatives: how about a lot more ads like this Hogan spot in 2016? »

Climate Change? An Issue for Losers

Featured image Ross Douthat nails it in his NY Times blog post-mortem: And nobody, but nobody, cared how many millions liberal billionaires spent trying to make climate change an issue. Andrew Restuccia notes in Politico: For Tom Steyer and other environmentalists, $85 million wasn’t enough to help Democrats keep the Senate blue or win more than a single governor’s mansion in Tuesday’s toughest races. The billionaire’s super PAC and other green groups »

The Day After

Featured image The party establishments always have to spin harder after a one-sided election, but some Democrats are barely spinning at all this morning, unless what looks like spin is in fact a pivot to train their ire on Obama in hopes his intransigence doesn’t drag the party down further in 2016. How about this from Harry Reid’s (“weak Reid”?) chief of staff: “The president’s approval rating is barely 40 percent,” David »

First Observations

Featured image First, let’s note that a lot of Senate races that were supposed to be close weren’t.  Tom Cotton crushed Pryor.  McConnell crushed Grimes.  Ernst crushed Braley.  Gardner didn’t crush, but certainly dished out a well deserved humiliation to Udull.  Perdue handily dispatched Nunn.  Landrieu is a goner in the runoff.  Roberts hung on handily.  Tillis has to be ranked an upset, since he was trailing in most polls.  (On the »

Early Returns from Kentucky

Featured image The polls are closed in Kentucky and the counting has started.  Henry Olsen tweets that McConnell is running ahead of his pace in 2008 in the same early-reporting counties. »

Sabato Says Eight!

Featured image Yesterday I noted that Henry Olsen predicts a seven seat GOP pickup in the Senate, and now I see that Larry Sabato is calling eight!  (And a nine seat GOP pickup in the House.) I find Sabato to be a bit of a blowhard, but he is typically cautious about his picks, and has a decent track record.  Still makes me inclined to say that the actual number will be »

Early Tidings From the Exit Polls

Featured image Preliminary exit poll data is starting to leak out, and while they won’t yet report on how specific races are breaking, the issue priorities they report can give us some pretty good clues.  Here’s the Washington Post‘s election live blog this hour: The economy is once again voters most important issue in 2014 according to preliminary national exit polling, but not by as wide a margin as in recent years. »

Time for Payback

Featured image It is too early to count on a Republican Senate 15 hours from now, but haven’t you noticed all the articles in the last couple of weeks from liberals saying, “Oh, won’t it be terrible for Republicans if they have a Senate majority!  Just think of all the problems they’re going to have!”  These articles do offer their comic amusement. There is one from this genre worth noting: Jeffrey Rosen’s »

“Our Friends,” the Saudis

Featured image While we gear up for a long day and evening tracking election returns, we should update our story from three weeks ago entitled “What Are the Saudis Up To?” There I wondered about the Saudi decision to maintain current production levels in the face of falling oil prices: But could there be a more sinister reason? If oil prices keep falling, it will not only hurt some of the Saudis’ »

Udall Is A Loser, But Has He Already Lost?

Featured image The numerologists who follow early voting are wondering whether Cory Gardner has already won the Colorado Senate election before any election day votes have been cast, because the large early voting totals appear to favor Republicans so heavily that it is unlikely Udall can overcome it tomorrow.  Maybe, in which case we’ll continue to rethink how early voting affects campaigns, etc. Meanwhile, if you needed any additional evidence of what »

Somebody’s Flexin’ Jerry Brown

Featured image Okay, so several commenters on last night’s post about the Maxine Waters posters popping up around LA cleared me up a bit on the proper understanding of “flexing,” and while my usage here may not be exactly right, until it’s fixed authoritatively in the OED I’m going to go with a broad reading. And speaking of Jerry Brown, the same merry prankster’s are giving The Moonbeam the same treatment, as »

Dems on Suicide Watch?

Featured image Things are so bad for Democrats that they aren’t even going to try to have an election night party in Washington DC, according to the Washington Examiner.  The temptation to drink up all the Kool Aid would probably be too strong. While most of the attention is on the Senate races, a number of governors races don’t look so hot.  Jim Geraghty at National Review’s Campaign Spot reports this afternoon »

Low-Information Californians

Featured image The “low-information voter” is the au courant term these days, though the phenomenon has been well understood by public choice economists under the theory of “rational ignorance.”  But Californians clearly abuse the privilege, and appear to be “irrationally ignorant voters.”  To wit: 40% of Voters Unaware That Jerry Brown Is Seeking Another Term Here’s an eye-opener: With the election Tuesday, a whopping 4 out of 10 voters don’t even know »