2012 Election

Tom Cotton: “Harvard Sucks”

Featured image Bet that headline got your attention.  It’s accurate, but out of context. Turns out that Tom Cotton, Harvard class of 1998 and an editor at the Harvard Crimson, wrote an editorial in 1997 entitled “Love’s End” that adumbrated Allan Bloom’s observations in The Closing of the American Mind about the decaying dating and courtship habits of undergraduates today.  It bores in on how “relationships” have replaced old fashioned “love.” It »

Who Is Tom Cotton? The Washington Post Explains

Featured image Today’s Washington Post includes brief profiles of several of the Republicans who won Senate seats yesterday, including one titled Who Is Tom Cotton? The reporter called me a few days ago while working on this piece, and asked about our early role in publicizing Tom’s letter to the New York Times, which first brought him to public attention. What he wrote about that incident is accurate: In 2006, after the »

Time for a new Power Line Picks thread [Ernst wins] [UPDATES on Mills and Love with correction]

Featured image Let’s start this thread with more good news. Power Line Pick Elise Stefanik has won her race in New York’s 21st Congressional District. She is, in fact, routing her opponent Aaron Woolf. We’re proud to have supported Stefanik. I want to thank my older daughter Laura for first calling her to my attention. Now let’s move to other good news. Joni Ernst is leading Bruce Braley in Iowa by 4 »

Meanwhile, what about the House? [UPDATED]

Featured image The day before the election, attention is focused, as it should be, on the battle for control of the Senate. But we shouldn’t neglect the House. No one thinks the Democrats will win back the House this year; it’s understood that, to the contrary, the GOP is likely to build on its current margin. But the more seats the GOP picks up, the greater the likelihood it will retain control »

As they approach the finish. . .

Featured image If you believe Nate Silver, and his track record (2010 and 2012) provides plenty of reason to do so, there is only one “toss-up” Senate race at this point. That’s the Kansas race between incumbent Republican Pat Roberts and alleged independent Greg Orman. In all other Senate races, Silver finds that one candidate has a 66 percent or better chance of winning. And in two races once thought to be »

New poll shows Cotton 8 points ahead

Featured image A new poll, this one by Talk Business and Politics/Hendrix College, puts Tom Cotton’s lead over Mark Pryor at 48-41. The survey included more than 2,000 likely voters and was taken after the last week’s Cotton-Pryor debate (as I understand it, there will be no more debates between the two). The margin of error is plus or minus 2.2 percent. According to Dr. Jay Barth of Hendrix College, the survey »

Arkansas Debate: Cotton excels; Pryor confirms he’s out-of-touch

Featured image Tom Cotton made a strong showing in last night’s Arkansas Senate debate. His opponent, Mark Pryor, fought hard, but may ultimately have put the final nail in his coffin. Asked by one of the questioners to define the middle class, Pryor at first ducked the question. When pressed, he opined that it consisted of those making up to $200,000 a year. Talk about out of touch. Pryor’s definition might pass »

Now is the time to support Tom Cotton

Featured image I share John’s uneasiness about the November elections. Republican chances of gaining control of the Senate have been downgraded to less than 60 percent by Nate Silver, whose track record as a political forecaster is outstanding. One reason for the downgrade is the emergence of pseudo-independent Greg Orman in the Kansas race. If he defeats Republican Pat Roberts, and the polls give him a clear lead, the GOP will have »

Romney’s foreign policy team, then and now

Featured image Josh Rogin reports that leaders of Mitt Romney’s 2012 foreign policy brain trust have kept the team together in a secret effort to influence lawmakers and potential 2016 GOP presidential candidates. This operation is called the John Hay Initiative. My first reaction is that I love the name. John Hay is one of the most underrated figures in American history — a brilliant Secretary of State and an outstanding man »

Even Jon Stewart Sees That Pryor Is a Posterior

Featured image File this one under “Pryor Analytics,” or why Mark Pryor is a horse’s posterior.  Even Jon Stewart can’t get over how pathetic Pryor’s latest “Ebola” attack at on Tom Cotton is (just 30 seconds long): »

Poll: Cotton leads Pryor by 5 points [UPDATED]

Featured image A new poll by NBC/Marist shows Tom Cotton leading Mark Pryor 45-40 among likely voters (registered voters divide evenly, 41-41). That’s a big swing from NBC/Marist’s last survey of the race, taken in very early May. It had Pryor leading 51-40. This was only poll in which Pryor cracked 50 percent. The early May poll was, then, an outlier. But most polls taken around that time had Pryor ahead. No »

Tom Cotton’s courage

Featured image Earlier today, Scott quoted from an editorial in the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette which contrasted Tom Cotton’s courage to the “go along to get along” mindset of his opponent, Mark Pryor. The editorial stated that, given Tom’s character, “it’s easy to imagine his sticking with principle even if the whole state went crazy again.” Yes it is. Indeed, even though Tom has been in Congress for less than two years, we have »

Dems Accuse Tom Cotton of Spreading Ebola

Featured image Seriously. Senator Mark Pryor’s latest attack on Tom Cotton has become something of a scandal. Here is Pryor’s ad, accusing Tom of being pro-ebola, or something: This is how the Cotton campaign responded: Coming soon to a TV near you: Tom Cotton hates puppies, baseball, and apple pie. … Cotton spokesman David Ray responded to the ad, saying: “Senator Pryor’s desperation is comical. In Senator Pryor’s world, he doesn’t have »

Scott Brown appears to be closing the gap in New Hampshire

Featured image Yesterday, I wrote about a new poll from Kellyanne Conway’s firm that found substantial public support for a hard line on immigration policy. Other pollsters may be seeing the same phenomenon because certain Republican Senate candidates — notably Scott Brown, Tom Cotton, and Terri Lind Land — have been running ads sounding the hard line theme. Given the diversity of the states in question — purple Michigan, red Arkansas, and »

‘Twas a famous ending

Featured image Those of us of a certain age recall that Jimmy Carter began his term in office as president declaring that we had overcome our inordinate fear of Communism. As William Buckley probably pointed out at the time, Carter never did explain what the “ordinate” fear of Commmunism was or would have been. Rather, he was, as a certain critical biography of Carter points out, declaring an end to the Cold »

Please support the Power Line Picks

Featured image You have probably noticed that this year’s Power Line Picks are up on our main page. They consist of two Senate candidates — Rep. Tom Cotton (Ark) and Joni Ernst (Iowa) — and four House candidates — Mia Love (Utah-4), Stewart Mills (Minn-8), Alex Mooney (WVA-2), and Elise Stefanik (NY-21). Cotton and Love were on our 2012 slate, which many of you generously supported. Tom won a resounding victory, and »

American Crossroads poll puts Cotton five points ahead of Pryor

Featured image Although certain polls from April and early May suggested that Sen. Mark Pryor had opened up a large lead over Rep. Tom Cotton, more recent polling suggests that the race is neck-and-neck. I made that case here. Now, American Crossroads has released a survey showing Cotton with a 46-41 lead. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4.39. American Crossroads is, of course, strongly pro-Cotton. In fact, it »