2012 Election

Recent polls demonstrate Pryor’s peril and Cotton’s opportunity

Featured image I’ve just returned from a Tom Cotton fundraising event. The outlook is pretty good for Tom’s bid to unseat Arkansas Senator Mark Pryor, a bid that probably must succeed if Republicans are going to regain control of the Senate in the 2014 election. Tom cited three recent polls of his race, each of which contains essentially the same good news. A poll by Arkansas Talk Business-Hendrix College shows basically a »

Tom Cotton’s vote

Featured image Our friend Tom Cotton was one of the 87 Republicans who voted for “compromise” legislation that ended the partial government shutdown. Some conservatives are unhappy about his vote. One of our readers, a very smart activist conservative, has complained in no uncertain terms. I think that Tom did the right thing when he voted “yes.” The partial shutdown was injuring Republican prospects with no realistic hope of forcing the administration »

Cruz 2016 revisited

Featured image A new poll by PPP finds that Ted Cruz is now the top choice of Republican primary voters to be their candidate for President in 2016. 20 percent of the Republican primary voters surveyed favor Cruz. Rand Paul is next with 17 percent. He is followed by Chris Christie (14 percent), Jeb Bush (11 percent), Marco Rubio and Paul Ryan (10 percent), Bobby Jindal (4 percent), and Rick Santorum and »

Worrying about candidates’ tax returns is so 2012

Featured image Remember when it was scandalous if a candidate for major office did not serve up for public scrutiny all of his tax returns going back years? Return with us now to those thrilling days of…2012. For much of that year’s presidential campaign, as Jim Geraghty recalls, Mitt Romney’s tax returns for 2011 and the period before 2010 were treated as a huge pressing issue for the wealthy candidate: Romney’s tax »

Why Assad is no bulwark against al Qaeda

Featured image One of the strongest-sounding arguments against intervening in Syria is the fear that, by “degrading” Assad’s power, we will increase the odds that jihadist, al Qaeda affiliated rebels will come to power. It was this fear that caused me to suggest last year that a stalemate between Assad and the rebels might be the best outcome. Only after the tide of the civil war seemed to turn in favor of »

War weary

Featured image During a congressional hearing last week, Tom Cotton — who served in our last two wars (real wars, not bombing campaigns) — said that he has “grown weary of the president’s war-weariness.” But Obama isn’t the only one who is war weary; America as a whole is. And who can blame us? Consider: years of rationing, with fresh vegetables available only to those who grow them in victory gardens. Young »

Mark Pryor to vote “no” on Syria intervention

Featured image Sen. Mark Pryor has come out against authorizing President Obama to take military action in Syria. Rep. Tom Cotton, who seeks Pryor’s Senate seat, is already on the record in strong support of U.S. intervention. Pryor probably regards this issue as a godsend. Public opinion opposes attacking the Assad regime, and I assume that this is the case even in Arkansas. So right now, Pryor benefits from voting “no.” How »

Is Obama thinking strategically about Syria?

Featured image During yesterday’s House Foreign Relations Committee hearing on Syria, Tom Cotton asked Secretary of State Kerry and the two other administration witnesses about the connection, in the context of the contemplated air strike, between President Obama’s stated goals of (1) responding to the Assad regime’s use of chemical weapons and (2) seeing Assad removed from power. Kerry responded with what has become his mantra — the two goals are separate »

Tom Cotton makes the case for authorizing an attack in Syria

Featured image In this Washington Post op-ed, our friend Tom Cotton and his House colleague (and fellow veteran) Mike Pompeo (R-Kan.) support the use of force against the Assad regime in response to the regime’s use of chemical weapons. They make three arguments. The first is based on U.S. credibility: Obama drew [a] “red line” a year ago. . . .With or without that comment, our enemies and allies would still be »

The tough road ahead for Mark Pryor

Featured image Politico serves up a piece about Arkansas Senator Mark Pryor, who faces a formidable challenge from our friend Tom Cotton. One doesn’t have to read between the lines to see that the author, Manu Raju, has doubts about Pryor’s re-election prospects. Pryor tells Politico that his path to victory rests on making the case that he’s not a party line Obama loyalist, but rather the kind of conservative Democrat that »

The Cotton Bandwagon Starts to Roll

Featured image The official Tom Cotton campaign is not even 24 hours old, and already the bandwagon is rolling.  Mark Pryor is saddled with saying that “Obamacare has been an amazing success story so far.”  (More Pryor video on this subject here.)  The Club for Growth is out with an ad already: If this keeps up, even the Most Interesting Man in the World is going to get in on the act: »

He’s In! [With Comments By John]

Featured image Tom Cotton made his official announcement of candidacy for the Senate in Arkansas tonight.  We’ll post video when we can, but here’s the excerpt from the speech that, repeated over the next 14 months, is going to end Mark Pryor’s political career: Mark’s been running for office for almost 25 years. Every time, he says, “Arkansas comes first.” It’s not so. Over the last four-and-a-half years, for Mark Pryor, Barack »

Pryor Analytics (with Mid-Day Update)

Featured image As Power Line’s great friend Tom Cotton prepares to run against incumbent Senator Mark Pryor in Arkansas, it is worth taking in some of the early polls.  Over at Hot Air Ed Morrissey rounds it up, and finds the outlook for Cotton is good.  One poll finds that only 37 percent of Arkansas voters think Pryor should be re-elected.  Even the most sympathetic poll for Pryor (conducted by a labor »

Tom Cotton hammers Senate immigration bill

Featured image Our friend Rep. Tom Cotton has ripped the Schumer-Rubio bill in a Wall Street Journal op-ed. Because that legislation is so scandalously flawed, Tom maintains that there should be no House-Senate conference. In other words, House Republicans should not pass any bill, regardless of its merits, unless the leadership agrees to no conference. As the title of Tom’s op-ed states, “It’s the House Bill or Nothing on Immigration.” I understand »

Gabriel Schoenfeld: A Bad Day on the Romney Campaign

Featured image Gabriel Schoenfeld was a senior editor of Commentary, where he published such brilliant essays as “Was Kissinger Right?” and “Could September 11 have been averted?” These essays are models of close reading, scrupulous analysis and exacting judgment. Since leaving Commentary Gabe has written books in the same mold. Necessary Secrets: National Security, the Media and the Rule of Law, published in 2010, inspired by events in 2005, is nevertheless as »

In Obama’s cave

Featured image In Book VII of the Republic Plato’s Socrates presents the Allegory of the Cave. In the Allegory of the Cave, Socrates portrays men mistaking the shadows on the wall for the real deal. The philosopher emerges from the cave to see the forms casting those shadows. Team Obama inverted the allegory. They called the den of their data analysts the Cave, but the men of the Cave had a handle »

Are There Really Two Republican Parties? And If So, Why?

Featured image Following the 2012 election, the Republican National Committee commissioned a group of Republicans to study the results of that election and make recommendations as to how the GOP can do better in future cycles. The resulting report, which you can read here, has been roundly criticized by many conservatives, sometimes unfairly, in my view. I wrote about the report’s recommendations on immigration here. But as far as I know, no »