2012 Election

Democrats hold Giffords’ former seat

Featured image As we feared, Democrat Ron Barber has narrowly defeated Republican Martha McSally in Arizona’s Second Congressional District. This is the seat formerly held by Gabrielle Giffords. McSally led by about 400 voters on the day after the election. But the late-counted vote brought Barber victory by about 1,400 votes in a district that encompasses parts of Tucson and southeastern Arizona and is not identical to the one Giffords represented. Barber »

Optimism and pessimism

Featured image Everyone who engages in politics, or who thinks about public policy, wants to believe that history is on their side. For leftists, such a belief comes with the territory. They retain the view of Marx, lifted in part from Hegel, that history is steadily progressing on a predetermined path towards their vision of the future. That’s why, when the outcome of an election suggests otherwise, left-liberals tend to lash out »

Department of ridiculous Washington Post headlines, today’s edition

Featured image Following up on yesterday’s headline, which professed surprise that Karl Rove hasn’t folded his tent, today’s Washington Post (print edition) serves up this gem: At a loss in Red America: After the election Republicans grieve for the nation they thought they knew. The Post’s story, by Eli Saslow, turns out to be about the sentiments of one Republican, a campaign worker in Hendersonville, Tennessee, and a few of her friends. »

Department of ridiculous Washington Post headlines

Featured image Yesterday, at the top of its front page (print edition), the Washington Post offered this headline: Rove still resolute in the face of defeat: Despite election losses, GOP strategist planning super PAC’s next move. In other news, the Republicans intend to field a slate of candidates in the 2014 congressional elections. UPDATE: Here’s the story in question. It appears under a less ridiculous title in the web edition. »

Mandates, then and now

Featured image Liberals are claiming that President Obama’s victory (by about 3 percentage points nationally) provides him with a mandate to continue the course he charted during his first term and to pursue the ideas he espoused during the campaign, most notably a “balanced” approach to reducing the budget deficit. In asserting such a mandate, liberals also point to the fact that the Democrats increased their majority in the Senate. Conservatives, who »

Where Do Republicans Go From Here? The Social Issues

Featured image Do Democrats engage in soul-searching after they lose an election? Maybe I miss it because I’m not a Democrat, but it doesn’t seem that they do. After John Kerry lost in 2004, did Democrats agonize over whether they should stop opposing the war in Iraq, or become pro-abortion? When Democrats were “shellacked,” as President Obama put it, in 2010, did they debate whether they should come up with a coherent »

Republican ahead in race for Giffords’ former seat

Featured image Republican Martha McSally holds a very fragile 400 vote lead over Democrat Ron Barber in the race for Arizona’s Second Congressional District, formerly held by Gabrielle Giffords. McSally is a retired United States Air Force colonel. She was the first American woman to fly in combat following the 1991 lifting of the prohibition of women in combat, and the first woman to command a USAF fighter squadron. Barber was a »

Rehberg and Berg concede, leaving Republicans with only 45 Senators

Featured image Jon Tester retains his Senate seat, with an assist from Libertarian Party candidate Dan Cox, who in turn was assisted by Tester’s supporters. The results are: Tester 48.7 percent Rehberg 44.8 percent Cox 6.5 percent. In North Dakota, Heidi Heitkamp defeated Rick Berg by just under 3,000 votes. The breakdown is: Heitkamp 50.5 Berg 49.5 Both Tester and Heitkamp campaigned as independent-minded moderates. In Tester’s case, that was outright fraud. »

The Meaning of Yesterday’s Defeat

Featured image Yesterday was a comprehensive disaster. Here in Minnesota, to add a local perspective, not only did the state go for Obama–no surprise there–but the Democrats recaptured both houses of the legislature, and voters defeated two ballot initiatives, one on gay marriage and one on voter ID. Similar losses were sustained across the nation, although there were a few bright spots here and there. So yesterday’s defeat was not about a »

The morning after

Featured image As a natural pessimist I am rarely disappointed. I am nevertheless having a hard time absorbing President Obama’s reelection last night. Given Obama’s record, Obama’s reelection is a remarkable achievement. I thought that the Republican field from which Mitt Romney emerged was a weak one and that our strength remained on the bench this time around. Even so, I can’t imagine what Republican could have prevailed against Obama yesterday. The »

Senate news and updates

The biggest surprise of the night isn’t President Obama’s victory. It was always plausible to believe that Obama would triumph based on narrow wins in battleground states like Ohio and Virginia. The real surprise is in the Senate, where the Democrats will probably expand their majority in what should have been a difficult year for them. And it won’t be because of the comments of Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock »

Some House race news and updates

Let’s start with the three Power Line picks. Tom Cotton has been declared the winner in Arkansas’ Fourth District. Right now, he’s up 60-36. The victory of this outstanding American brightens an otherwise gloomy evening. Chip Cravaack trails in Minnesota’s Eighth District by about 3,000 votes with approximately one-third of the vote counted. Mia Love is more than 5,000 votes behind in Utah’s Fourth District with a little less than »

Romney Hanging On By His Fingernails

Featured image It has been a terrible night for Republicans, with hardly a bright spot anywhere. The Senate has gone South, and Mitt Romney has underrun his expected (by me and many others) performance in pretty much every contested state. I’ve been ready to give up for a while, but Karl Rove says it isn’t quite over yet. If Romney wins all of the outstanding swing states: Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio, »

Update on Power Line Senate picks

As noted earlier, Josh Mandel has lost in Ohio. Right now, Sherrod Brown leads that race 51-44. STEVE adds: People around Ohio in my recent visits there all said the same thing–Mandel was too young, and seemed to be moving too quickly to try to move up the ladder, having just arrived as state treasurer.  But no one else stepped up to challenge Brown, so they give him props for »

Fox declares that Tammy Baldwin will defeat Tommy Thompson (Update: Sherrod Brown wins in Ohio)

Thompson’s defeat surprises me a little. Wisconsin has tilted back to the Dems. As for the Senate as a whole, it may be a scramble just to keep the current 53(D)-47(R) composition. STEVE adds: I’m not hugely surprised by this.  I thought all along that Thompson was the GOP’s Mondale; past his time; worn out his welcome.  I thought he’d probably win, but thought he’d be vulnerable if he ran »

Republicans will hold the House

CNN and Fox both say so. Since there is no tabulated vote in many House races, I assume Republicans will hold the House by a good margin. »

Florida Senate

Fox has called it for incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson. I resigned myself to losing this race a while ago. »