2012 Election

Democrats take another hit in Arkansas

Featured image While I was away seeking (and finding) global warmth in the Dominican Republic, voters in Northeast Arkansas sent an ominous message to Democrats by overwhelmingly electing a Republican in a special State Senate election. The Republican, John Cooper, captured 57 percent of the vote to win a seat (District 21) that has never been held by a member of his party. The race centered on the issue of whether to »

Rothenberg gives Cotton the edge in Arkansas

Featured image Stu Rothenberg has moved the Arkansas Senate race between Sen. Mark Pryor and Rep. Tom Cotton from “toss-up” to “tilts Republican.” His reasoning is as follows: Currently, we seem to be headed toward a typical midterm election, with unhappy voters regarding Election Day as an opportunity to make a statement about the president. With Obama’s job rating in the upper 30s and low 40s in national polls — and lower »

Love is in the air

Featured image Glenn Reynolds has rescued his interview last year with Utah’s prospective Fourth District Republican congressional candidate Mia Love from the archives. Love narrowly lost her race last year to incumbent Fourth District Rep. Jim Matheson. With the pending retirement of Mathewson from Congress, Love is in the air. Roll Call notes that she is the clear front-runner for Matheson’s seat. Her campaign Web site is here. Glenn asks Love about »

Matheson retirement clears the way for Mia Love [Updated]

Featured image Rep. Jim Matheson (D-Utah) has announced that he will not run for reelection. This clear the way for Power Line favorite Mia Love to win the seat. She came within a few hundred votes of winning it in 2012. Larry Sabato has already changed his analysis of the seat from “leans Democrat” to “likely Republican.” In my view, however, Love would have been the slight favorite to defeat Matheson. Perhaps »

Is Tom Cotton too good to be true?

Featured image National Journal takes an interesting approach to its examination of Tom Cotton in his race to unseat incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Pryor in Arkansas. Marin Cogan asks “Is Tom Cotton too good to be true?” It’s a loaded question, like “Have you stopped beating your wife?” Cogan frames her profile of Tom this way: On a recent late-fall Saturday, Barbara Deuschle, a local restaurant owner, was recounting her first impression »

CRB: Look back in anger

Featured image The new (Fall) issue of the Claremont Review of Books will be turned over to the US Postal Service this week. The CRB is the flagship publication of the Claremont Institute and my favorite magazine. I want to persuade you to subscribe to it, which you can do here for the ridiculously low, heavily subsidized price of $19.95 a year and get immediate online access thrown in to boot. As »

Mark Pryor under attack for rubber-stamping Obama’s judicial nominees

Featured image Sen. Mark Pryor’s vote in favor of Obamacare, without which that legislation would not have passed the Senate, should be enough to cause his defeat in the 2014 Arkansas race Senate. And, at the end of the day, I suspect it will be. However, there is also the matter of President Obama’s judicial nominees. Pryor has not voted against the confirmation of a single one. Not even far left-winger Goodwin »

Recent polls demonstrate Pryor’s peril and Cotton’s opportunity

Featured image I’ve just returned from a Tom Cotton fundraising event. The outlook is pretty good for Tom’s bid to unseat Arkansas Senator Mark Pryor, a bid that probably must succeed if Republicans are going to regain control of the Senate in the 2014 election. Tom cited three recent polls of his race, each of which contains essentially the same good news. A poll by Arkansas Talk Business-Hendrix College shows basically a »

Tom Cotton’s vote

Featured image Our friend Tom Cotton was one of the 87 Republicans who voted for “compromise” legislation that ended the partial government shutdown. Some conservatives are unhappy about his vote. One of our readers, a very smart activist conservative, has complained in no uncertain terms. I think that Tom did the right thing when he voted “yes.” The partial shutdown was injuring Republican prospects with no realistic hope of forcing the administration »

Cruz 2016 revisited

Featured image A new poll by PPP finds that Ted Cruz is now the top choice of Republican primary voters to be their candidate for President in 2016. 20 percent of the Republican primary voters surveyed favor Cruz. Rand Paul is next with 17 percent. He is followed by Chris Christie (14 percent), Jeb Bush (11 percent), Marco Rubio and Paul Ryan (10 percent), Bobby Jindal (4 percent), and Rick Santorum and »

Worrying about candidates’ tax returns is so 2012

Featured image Remember when it was scandalous if a candidate for major office did not serve up for public scrutiny all of his tax returns going back years? Return with us now to those thrilling days of…2012. For much of that year’s presidential campaign, as Jim Geraghty recalls, Mitt Romney’s tax returns for 2011 and the period before 2010 were treated as a huge pressing issue for the wealthy candidate: Romney’s tax »

Why Assad is no bulwark against al Qaeda

Featured image One of the strongest-sounding arguments against intervening in Syria is the fear that, by “degrading” Assad’s power, we will increase the odds that jihadist, al Qaeda affiliated rebels will come to power. It was this fear that caused me to suggest last year that a stalemate between Assad and the rebels might be the best outcome. Only after the tide of the civil war seemed to turn in favor of »

War weary

Featured image During a congressional hearing last week, Tom Cotton — who served in our last two wars (real wars, not bombing campaigns) — said that he has “grown weary of the president’s war-weariness.” But Obama isn’t the only one who is war weary; America as a whole is. And who can blame us? Consider: years of rationing, with fresh vegetables available only to those who grow them in victory gardens. Young »

Mark Pryor to vote “no” on Syria intervention

Featured image Sen. Mark Pryor has come out against authorizing President Obama to take military action in Syria. Rep. Tom Cotton, who seeks Pryor’s Senate seat, is already on the record in strong support of U.S. intervention. Pryor probably regards this issue as a godsend. Public opinion opposes attacking the Assad regime, and I assume that this is the case even in Arkansas. So right now, Pryor benefits from voting “no.” How »

Is Obama thinking strategically about Syria?

Featured image During yesterday’s House Foreign Relations Committee hearing on Syria, Tom Cotton asked Secretary of State Kerry and the two other administration witnesses about the connection, in the context of the contemplated air strike, between President Obama’s stated goals of (1) responding to the Assad regime’s use of chemical weapons and (2) seeing Assad removed from power. Kerry responded with what has become his mantra — the two goals are separate »

Tom Cotton makes the case for authorizing an attack in Syria

Featured image In this Washington Post op-ed, our friend Tom Cotton and his House colleague (and fellow veteran) Mike Pompeo (R-Kan.) support the use of force against the Assad regime in response to the regime’s use of chemical weapons. They make three arguments. The first is based on U.S. credibility: Obama drew [a] “red line” a year ago. . . .With or without that comment, our enemies and allies would still be »

The tough road ahead for Mark Pryor

Featured image Politico serves up a piece about Arkansas Senator Mark Pryor, who faces a formidable challenge from our friend Tom Cotton. One doesn’t have to read between the lines to see that the author, Manu Raju, has doubts about Pryor’s re-election prospects. Pryor tells Politico that his path to victory rests on making the case that he’s not a party line Obama loyalist, but rather the kind of conservative Democrat that »