2012 Presidential Election

Political suicide, anyone?

Featured image In an article referenced by Scott earlier today, Byron York shows that Mitt Romney did not lose the election because of his failure to win the Hispanic vote. Romnwy would have lost in Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin, Iowa, and New Hampshire even if he had gained a large portion of the Hispanic votes in these key battleground states. York also demonstrates that, as we have argued, Hispanics are not a natural »

The GOP turnout myth

Featured image In her weekly Wall Street Journal column, Kimberly Strassel takes up an issue that is in need of updating since the final vote in the election is nearly tabulated: To win the next presidential race, the GOP will have to understand what went wrong in 2012. To do that, they’ve got to come to grips with what did, and did not, happen with turnout. Even as Republicans have engaged in »

O, Fortuna

Featured image In the post-election “Now What?” edition of National Review just out today, I have an article suggesting that the durable features of the Constitution, however attenuated by a century of “progressivism,” should caution us from overdoing our pessimism.  The whole article is behind a subscriber firewall, but here’s the lede: Conservatives are natural pessimists, based on a realism about fallible human nature that fuels our opposition to the coercive utopianism »

Report: Petraeus testimony will show that the White House fixed the Benghazi intelligence (updated)

Featured image As I wrote last night, yesterday’s testimony to Congress by Director of National Intelligence James Clapper and Acting CIA Director Mike Morell left plenty of work for General Petraeus, who is testifying today. For example, neither Clapper nor Morell could shed any real light on why the official line of the intelligence community apparently moved away from the initial (and correct) view that the Benghazi attack was terrorism. Now, CNN »

Defeated by Obama’s pandering to losers, have-nots, and the immature, Romney reportedly says so

Featured image During a conference call with donors, Mitt Romney reportedly said that President Obama targeted certain demographic groups, such as African-Americans, Hispanics, and young voters, by conferring “gifts” on them. Among the gifts Romney reportedly cited were Obamacare and “amnesty” for children of illegal immigrants. Romney’s remarks were made to a private audience. However, reporters from the New York Times and the Los Angeles Times apparently were able to listen in »

Freedom Stuff

Featured image Michael Ramirez sums up this year’s election in a manner that I think is about right: »

Bullish on the GOP? Yes: Call Your Broker, and Buy Now

Featured image As we continue to survey the wreckage of the GOP after Hurricane Barry last week’s election, please note Jonathan Last’s terrific article in the Weekly Standard about the overreaction, on both sides, to the Democrats’ narrow but crushing loss to George W. Bush in 2004.  Then, as now, liberals thought it was over for them, that the country was in the grip of evangelical fanatics.  Remember the famous “Jesusland” map »

The solution

Featured image I’m pretty sure Bertolt Brecht was exercising his gift for sarcasm in “The Solution” when he offered a modest proposal to address the people’s loss of confidence in the government. While the government asserted it could regain confidence in the people only by redoubled efforts, Brecht asked: Would it not be easier In that case for the government To dissolve the people And elect another? We seem to be living »

The Weekly Winston: Post-Election Edition

Featured image Some of Churchill’s most famous remarks involved election campaigns and their aftermath, especially losing campaigns.  The most often recalled were his comment after the 1945 landslide loss when Clementine said that perhaps it was a blessing in disguise, to which Winston replied that if so, it was certainly very well disguised.  Or: “In war you can only be killed once, but in politics many times.” But in light of this »

How Long Does It Take A Political Party To Wear Out Its Welcome?

Featured image To those of us who follow the news closely, four years seems like forever. But for most Americans, it seems that four years isn’t enough for a political party to wear out its welcome. In a post yesterday, Paul noted that defeating an incumbent president isn’t easy: from 1896 to the present, only five incumbents who sought re-election have been rejected by the voters. A reader refines that number further »

More on the Timing of Petraeus’s Resignation

Featured image Ronald Kessler of Newsmax has more details on the Petraeus affair. They are rather sordid, and raise more questions about the timing of his resignation: [A]n FBI source says the investigation began when American intelligence mistook an email Petraeus had sent to his girlfriend as a reference to corruption. Petraeus was commander of U.S. Forces in Afghanistan from July 4, 2010 until July 18, 2011. The investigation began last spring, »

George Will Says to Cheer Up

Featured image Spent a portion of last evening in the company of George Will at the Pacific Research Institute’s annual dinner (I reprised my schtick as master of ceremonies—sometime I’ll have to do an MC cage match with Hinderaker—hey, maybe that could be a reality TV show??).   As you can imagine, people were looking for some cheer after this week, and we gave it to them.  From my welcoming remarks: Well, how »

A stalemate, not a mandate

Featured image The Fall 2012 issue of the Claremont Review of Books is forthcoming, but we have a timely preview. The issue will carry Professor James Ceaser’s analysis of the meaning of the election. Ceaser is professor of politics at the University of Virginia. Our friends at the CRB have posted a column adapted from his forthcoming essay. Professor Ceaser is a shrewd observer of the political scene. He anticipated four scenarios »

Barack Obama and the incumbent president conundrum

Featured image A friend who predicted a narrow Obama victory writes: I was thinking about the point I made earlier – incumbent presidents’ attempts to win re-election. Starting with McKinley in 1896, every incumbent who sought re-election won except for five: Taft; Hoover; Ford; Carter; and George H.W. Bush. All but Hoover faced a strong primary challenge (TR in 1912; Ronald Reagan in 1976; Ted Kennedy in 1980; and Pat Buchanan in »

In search of the Hispanic vote

Featured image Mickey Kaus raises a red flag (and has much to say on his own account, all of it worth reading) over the possibility of an impending cave-in by the GOP establishment on immigration in the wake of Tuesday’s results: Alert! The entire GOP elite seems to be trying to sell out en masse on immigration. Not only Boehner, but Cantor. And Hannity (who works for pro-amnesty world citizen Rupert Murdoch). »

Inside Project ORCA

Featured image Failure like the Romney campaign’s on Tuesday is always overdetermined, as is success like the Obama campaign’s. One apparent failure that must be taken into the reckoning is that of Project ORCA, heralded in one of the email blasts of baloney that the Romney campaign churned out in its closing days. We were in no position to evaluate it, but we wanted to believe (as did Governor Romney himself). ORCA »

Why Iran Likes Obama

Featured image Iran’s intelligence ministry published a report on the U.S. election in Farsi that appeared prior to Tuesday, but–no surprise here–didn’t get reported on in the U.S., and still hasn’t been, to my knowledge. The Israeli press has the story on why Iran’s mullahs were pulling for Barack Obama: As the world ponders what Barack Obama’s re-election will mean in regard to the U.S.’s stance against Iran, an Iranian intelligence ministry »