2012 Presidential Election

A stalemate, not a mandate

Featured image The Fall 2012 issue of the Claremont Review of Books is forthcoming, but we have a timely preview. The issue will carry Professor James Ceaser’s analysis of the meaning of the election. Ceaser is professor of politics at the University of Virginia. Our friends at the CRB have posted a column adapted from his forthcoming essay. Professor Ceaser is a shrewd observer of the political scene. He anticipated four scenarios »

Barack Obama and the incumbent president conundrum

Featured image A friend who predicted a narrow Obama victory writes: I was thinking about the point I made earlier – incumbent presidents’ attempts to win re-election. Starting with McKinley in 1896, every incumbent who sought re-election won except for five: Taft; Hoover; Ford; Carter; and George H.W. Bush. All but Hoover faced a strong primary challenge (TR in 1912; Ronald Reagan in 1976; Ted Kennedy in 1980; and Pat Buchanan in »

In search of the Hispanic vote

Featured image Mickey Kaus raises a red flag (and has much to say on his own account, all of it worth reading) over the possibility of an impending cave-in by the GOP establishment on immigration in the wake of Tuesday’s results: Alert! The entire GOP elite seems to be trying to sell out en masse on immigration. Not only Boehner, but Cantor. And Hannity (who works for pro-amnesty world citizen Rupert Murdoch). »

Inside Project ORCA

Featured image Failure like the Romney campaign’s on Tuesday is always overdetermined, as is success like the Obama campaign’s. One apparent failure that must be taken into the reckoning is that of Project ORCA, heralded in one of the email blasts of baloney that the Romney campaign churned out in its closing days. We were in no position to evaluate it, but we wanted to believe (as did Governor Romney himself). ORCA »

Why Iran Likes Obama

Featured image Iran’s intelligence ministry published a report on the U.S. election in Farsi that appeared prior to Tuesday, but–no surprise here–didn’t get reported on in the U.S., and still hasn’t been, to my knowledge. The Israeli press has the story on why Iran’s mullahs were pulling for Barack Obama: As the world ponders what Barack Obama’s re-election will mean in regard to the U.S.’s stance against Iran, an Iranian intelligence ministry »

The Dick Morris “franchise” — don’t count it out

Featured image Dick Morris appeared on Bill O’Reilly’s show last night to explain his badly mistaken prediction that Mitt Romney would win a landslide victory over President Obama, another in a long line of bad Morris calls. At the end of the segment, O’Reilly asked, “how badly does this hurt your franchise?” Morris responded by asking who else has “gotten the President of the United States elected?” Answering his own question, he »

The economy and the election

Featured image Please don’t miss Allahpundit’s analysis of the national exit poll. For that matter, check out the poll numbers themselves. I want to focus on the data about the economy, since the exit poll confirms that this was, primarily, an election about the economy. To understand how President Obama won an election about the economy is this weak economy, consider two sets of numbers. First, 39 percent of voters think the »

A Disquieting Thought

Featured image Wait, the turnout was what?!  As the numbers continue to come into focus (and the final vote tally is still days or weeks away), the fact that Romney may underperform (or barely match) the listless McCain in 2008 is the real shocker of the election.  Maybe we should have just run McCain/Palin again.  Obama’s vote total will be down something like six to eight million from his 2008 total; it »

Demography may be destiny, but we have some say about our demography

Featured image In a post below, a trial lawyer friend of John and Scott applies some of his litigation wisdom to electoral politics. Let me offer an analogy along the same lines. What would you, as a defense lawyer, say to a consultant who advised you (a) that jurors from a particular demographic group (say, African-Americans) have a strong propensity to sympathize with a particular type of plaintiff in the kind of »

Thoughts on the debacle [With A Response From John]

Featured image Our friend Roger Magnuson is one of the most prominent trial lawyers in the Twin Cities. A prolific author, Roger has written numerous articles and books on a variety of legal topics. His most recent works includes a chapter in New Developments in Securities Litigation, discussing security law litigation and compliance strategies. (Click here to read “Aggressive Securities Law Litigation and Compliance Strategies.”) Roger is also the author of Barracuda »

Not going to Disney World (Updated)

Featured image “Barack Obama, you just won a second term. What are you doing next?” “I’m going to Istanbul!” Michael Rubin comments: Today, Frank Ricciardone, the U.S. ambassador to Turkey, announced that Obama’s first trip of his second term will be to Turkey, a country which has witnessed under its increasingly Islamist government an unprecedented roll back of basic freedoms. The Turks are looking at Obama’s choice as an endorsement. They are »

Dr. Nordlinger is in the house

Featured image It’s going to be a while before I overcome the deep feelings of depression induced by the results of the election this year. Having read Jay Nordlinger’s electoral edition of Impromptus this morning, however, I feel a little better. Jay calls it “Bitterfest 2012” and fills it up with anger modulated by his wry sense of humor. I know am not alone in my feelings of depression. In this case, »

A Silver Lining and a Conundrum [Updated]

Featured image I can see only one good outcome from yesterday’s election: the fact that Barack Obama will be the president who inherits the mess left by Barack Obama. The economy is in awful shape; it won’t get much better given Obama’s policies, and may get worse. Many billions of dollars in capital that have been sitting on the sidelines, awaiting the outcome of this year’s election, will now give up on »

The meaning of yesterday’s defeat — a follow-up to John’s post

Featured image I agree with John’s statement that America isn’t a center-right country. I’ve said this on Power Line and in other public settings, sometimes to derision. We are a center-center country, with the center drifting slowly but perceptibly to the left. However, I disagree with the view that this election represents an unambiguous mandate for more government and “free stuff.” If that’s what the electorate wanted, it wouldn’t have voted in »

The Morning After, Take 2

Featured image I think I know what the morning after the 1948 election was like, when everyone’s expectations of Dewey’s victory over Truman were upset.  I recall my mother once telling me that normally gregarious people in her west LA workplace walked around in shocked silence all morning. No silence here.  We’re in it for the long haul.  As T.S. Eliot said, there are no lost causes because there are no gained »

Winners and losers

Featured image Here is a preliminary list of winners and losers from the election: Some winners Barack Obama. Congratulations to him and his team for another brilliant campaign. Nate Silver. I often come away from his columns thinking I’ve learned something. Apparently, there is more for me to learn. The MSM. To advance its pro-Obama agenda, the media kept the lid on Benghazigate when it counted. And one of its stalwarts, Candy »

The Best Revenge

Featured image Last night it became clear that President Obama’s strategy of winning reelection by “killing” Mitt Romney (to use the words of a Team Obama insider) was a winning one. Obama implemented his strategy through a vicious ad campaign that targeted Ohio, Florida, and Virginia. He also relied on the slurs of surrogates like Harry Reid, who accused Romney of not paying taxes, and Joe Biden, who accused Romney of wanting »