2012 Presidential Election

The meaning of yesterday’s defeat — a follow-up to John’s post

Featured image I agree with John’s statement that America isn’t a center-right country. I’ve said this on Power Line and in other public settings, sometimes to derision. We are a center-center country, with the center drifting slowly but perceptibly to the left. However, I disagree with the view that this election represents an unambiguous mandate for more government and “free stuff.” If that’s what the electorate wanted, it wouldn’t have voted in »

The Morning After, Take 2

Featured image I think I know what the morning after the 1948 election was like, when everyone’s expectations of Dewey’s victory over Truman were upset.  I recall my mother once telling me that normally gregarious people in her west LA workplace walked around in shocked silence all morning. No silence here.  We’re in it for the long haul.  As T.S. Eliot said, there are no lost causes because there are no gained »

Winners and losers

Featured image Here is a preliminary list of winners and losers from the election: Some winners Barack Obama. Congratulations to him and his team for another brilliant campaign. Nate Silver. I often come away from his columns thinking I’ve learned something. Apparently, there is more for me to learn. The MSM. To advance its pro-Obama agenda, the media kept the lid on Benghazigate when it counted. And one of its stalwarts, Candy »

The Best Revenge

Featured image Last night it became clear that President Obama’s strategy of winning reelection by “killing” Mitt Romney (to use the words of a Team Obama insider) was a winning one. Obama implemented his strategy through a vicious ad campaign that targeted Ohio, Florida, and Virginia. He also relied on the slurs of surrogates like Harry Reid, who accused Romney of not paying taxes, and Joe Biden, who accused Romney of wanting »

Romney Hanging On By His Fingernails

Featured image It has been a terrible night for Republicans, with hardly a bright spot anywhere. The Senate has gone South, and Mitt Romney has underrun his expected (by me and many others) performance in pretty much every contested state. I’ve been ready to give up for a while, but Karl Rove says it isn’t quite over yet. If Romney wins all of the outstanding swing states: Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio, »

Early Evening Observations

Featured image With all the focus on key battleground states, no one is making much of Romney’s small lead in the overall popular vote.  Hmm.  Of course, Obama may rack up a large margin in California and sweep away a small Romney lead, but let’s stay tuned. The generic exit poll information on issue breakouts of the voters is deeply confusing.  You can make a case for either candidate from some of »

Fox calls Pennsylvania for Obama (update — and Wisconsin too)

Ohio now becomes all the more crucial. And Obama has about a 10 point lead in the early tabulated vote there. With Pennsylvania and Wisconsin gone and Florida and Virginia still not declared for Romney, we may be in Nate Silver territory when it comes to the odds of a Romney victory. »

Tough sledding

I had hoped that, at this stage of the evening, the news from Virginia and Florida would be favorable, and that we would be obsessing about Ohio. But it looks like we need to obsess about Virginia and Florida too. STEVE adds: Mack was a poor candidate.  Looks like between this cycle and last cycle, the GOP has spotted the Dems as many as five seats with poor candidates.  Not »

From the Romney camp

Here is what Team Romney is putting out: OH Exit Polling: It’s showing D+8 which is identical to the historic Dem turnout of 2008. We strongly believe that when votes are actually counted – going to be a much tighter race. FL: Lines in GOP precincts still 2 hours long – lots of GOP votes to be counted. A look at the I-4 corridor: Pasco County: Republicans – all voted: »

Exit polls

Fox says they show that Obama did better than Romney among those who just today decided how they would vote. That would be huge for Obama. Fox also says that exit polls show Obama carrying independents in New Hampshire by 8 points. UPDATE: I believe Fox has issued a correction for the New Hampshire independents. Obama is up by 2 points among independents in the exit poll. »


Lots of raw vote is in from Florida, about 40 percent. Obama leads by a few points. This vote doesn’t encompass the conservative panhandle area, whose polls are only now about the close. Romney should do quite well there. I don’t know which parts of the state of the tabulated vote comes mainly from, but it presumably encompasses lots of early voters, who arguably tended to vote for Obama. But »

Join Us at Power Line Live

Featured image Click here to join now! Power Line Live is the place to be tonight. You can keep up on races around the country while chatting–celebrating or commiserating, as the case may be–with likeminded PL readers. We had around 2,000 people at a time in PL Live for the presidential debates, so there should be a good crowd tonight. More than 600 have already gathered. One word of advice: as the »

See Me (and Many More) on Election Watch 2012

Featured image Election Watch 2012 is being streamed online tonight from the Americans for Tax Reform headquarters in Washington. The show is being hosted by radio personality Tony Katz and a number of commentators will appear over the course of the evening. You can watch the show here. Katie Pavlich was on a moment ago, so I would advise you to hurry. I will be appearing via Skype in around two hours, »

Clinton’s paradox

Featured image The Cretan philosopher Epimenides famously propounded the parodoxical assertion that all Cretans are liars. The cretin president Bill Clinton propounded his own version of the paradox yesterday in his capacity as Barack Obama’s foremost campaign surrogate. Campaigning for Obama in Philadelphia on Monday afternoon, Clinton regaled the crowd with his critique of the Romney campaign. “You’re laughing, but who wants a president who will knowingly, repeatedly tell you something he »

Mid-Day Interlude

Featured image Hmmm.  The stock market is having a pretty good rally today.  I heard John Steele Gordon predict months ago that if Romney won, the market would boom starting the next day.  But markets anticipate: the rally would have started several weeks ago if Romney had a big lead.  Maybe it starts today instead?  I notice that defense stocks and some medical device stocks (both hurt by a second Obama term) »

Calling an election that’s too close to call

Featured image I have been reluctant to predict the outcome of the presidential election because I believe the race is too close to call with any confidence. That, in any event, is what the national polls say. However, last night, during his Ricochet podcast, John asked me for a prediction. As a guest, I could hardly refuse. I picked Romney to win narrowly, both in the popular and the electoral vote. Why? »

The Stakes, as Seen by The Left

Featured image It’s not often that I take on board the views of the execrable Katrina vanden Heuvel, the plutocratic heiress (natch) who screeches from the pages of The Nation, but sometimes she inadvertently puts things in a highly useful perspective.  Today she screeches in the Washington Post about how the election will determine whether FDR’s “freedoms” will be preserved.  Just so! Hurricane Katrina directs our attention to FDR’s “four freedoms” speech »