2014 Election

Even Jon Stewart Sees That Pryor Is a Posterior

Featured image File this one under “Pryor Analytics,” or why Mark Pryor is a horse’s posterior.  Even Jon Stewart can’t get over how pathetic Pryor’s latest “Ebola” attack at on Tom Cotton is (just 30 seconds long): »

Poll: Cotton leads Pryor by 5 points [UPDATED]

Featured image A new poll by NBC/Marist shows Tom Cotton leading Mark Pryor 45-40 among likely voters (registered voters divide evenly, 41-41). That’s a big swing from NBC/Marist’s last survey of the race, taken in very early May. It had Pryor leading 51-40. This was only poll in which Pryor cracked 50 percent. The early May poll was, then, an outlier. But most polls taken around that time had Pryor ahead. No »

A personal note on Tom Cotton

Featured image Our friend Rep. Tom Cotton is in a tight race against incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Pryor in Arkansas. Pryor offers a good name and a reliable vote for the full Obama/Reid playlist when needed, but is otherwise something of a cipher. The two of them present a stark contrast. At the Weekly Standard, Michael Warren quotes a pointed editorial from the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette that eloquently draws out the the contrast: »

Dems Accuse Tom Cotton of Spreading Ebola

Featured image Seriously. Senator Mark Pryor’s latest attack on Tom Cotton has become something of a scandal. Here is Pryor’s ad, accusing Tom of being pro-ebola, or something: This is how the Cotton campaign responded: Coming soon to a TV near you: Tom Cotton hates puppies, baseball, and apple pie. … Cotton spokesman David Ray responded to the ad, saying: “Senator Pryor’s desperation is comical. In Senator Pryor’s world, he doesn’t have »

Is Pat Roberts the trouble with Kansas?

Featured image Democrat Chad Taylor is withdrawing from the race against incumbent GOP Senator Pat Robertson in Kansas. Sounds like good news for Roberts, but au contraire, Taylor appears to be dropping out in deference to independent candidate Greg Orman, a Kansas City-area businessman who has been polling ahead of Roberts in a head-to-head matchup. Moreover, 70 Republican state legislators endorsed Orman over Roberts on Wednesday, before Taylor announced he was dropping »

Democrats: Still Seeking the Bottom of the Low Road

Featured image Fred Barnes notes in The Weekly Standard that “Democrats Take the Low Road” in their desperation to keep their Senate majority. Ratifying that judgment is the New York Times, which includes a story today entitled “At Risk in Senate, Democrats Seek to Rally Blacks.” The subhed is even more revealing: “Move to Channel Anger.” (Note: this subhed doesn’t appear on the online version of the story; it’s just in the »

Poll: Obama receives more than twice as much strong disapproval as strong approval

Featured image The latest Gallup poll on President Obama job performance is out. At the top line, things could be worse for the president and his party. 44 percent approve of his performance, while 53 percent disapprove. That’s considerably worse than in the run-up to the 2010 election, and certainly cause for concern among Democrats. But Dems won’t be surprised by this split which, as I said, could be worse. The intensity »

Dueling poll results from Georgia

Featured image A new poll of the Georgia Senate race by WSB-TV/Landmark shows Democrat Michelle Nunn leading Republican David Perdue by 7 points, 47-40. If the Dems flip this seat, their chances of maintaining control of the Senate will receive a huge boost. So should Republicans be alarmed by this poll? Probably not. Two polls from just a week ago give Perdue the lead by 9 points (Survey USA) and 7 points »

Fundraising, Or Hate Speech?

Featured image It is remarkable that calls for bipartisanship in Washington generally come from Democrats and Democrat-leaning pundits. The implication always is that Republicans–the “extreme” ones, anyway–are the barrier to cooperation across party lines. But recall 2012–not exactly ancient history–when Harry Reid repeatedly claimed that Mitt Romney had gone for a decade without paying any taxes. And was, therefore, presumably a felon, since no one says that Romney has gone without income. »

Scott Brown appears to be closing the gap in New Hampshire

Featured image Yesterday, I wrote about a new poll from Kellyanne Conway’s firm that found substantial public support for a hard line on immigration policy. Other pollsters may be seeing the same phenomenon because certain Republican Senate candidates — notably Scott Brown, Tom Cotton, and Terri Lind Land — have been running ads sounding the hard line theme. Given the diversity of the states in question — purple Michigan, red Arkansas, and »

Will Democrat Money Avert a Republican Sweep?

Featured image You might think that Democratic Party donors would close their wallets this cycle out of embarrassment, but you would be mistaken. As Kim Strassel reports in the Wall Street Journal, the Democrats are winning the money race. Kim argues that the Democrats’ incessant attacks on Charles and David Koch have worked. Those attacks have two purposes: to stir up Democratic donors, and to intimidate Republican donors. Both goals, she thinks, »

An embarrassment of Democrats (3): Eldridge edition

Featured image Chris Gibson represents New York’s Nineteenth Congressional District. He is an Iraq war vet and a Republican. He was elected to Congress in the wave of 2010. It’s a D+1 district, so Gibson’s reelection is far from a gimme. I don’t know him, but Gibson is the kind of guy who makes me proud to be a Republican. His campaign site is here. The site includes a profile of Gibson »

Science According to Steyer

Featured image Left-wing billionaire Tom Steyer reportedly is having trouble persuading fellow lefties to join his $100 million campaign to elect Democrats in November. Steyer is soldiering on, nevertheless, in large part through his organization NextGen Climate. In New Hampshire, NextGen is running anti-Scott Brown ads. Politico reports: NextGen Climate, Tom Steyer’s environmental group, is going up with its first New Hampshire ad today, tying Scott Brown to the Koch Brothers and »

An embarrassment of Democrats (2): Grimes edition

Featured image I know Democrats can’t be embarrassed. When I refer to “an embarrassment of Democrats,” I am trying to capture the natural reaction of average Americans to the likes of Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi and the embarrassment of Democrats (as I call them) seeking higher office this November. Among them is one Alison Lundergran Grimes. Grimes seeks to knock off Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell from reelection to the seat he »

Please Help defeat Mary Landrieu

Featured image A reader who travels regularly to Louisiana concurs with my assessment that Mary Landrieu, the ultimate political survivor, cannot be written off even in this year’s unfriendly-to- Democrats environment. He writes: I’ve been travelling for work lately and spending a lot of time in the New Orleans area and I have to tell you, [Landrieu] has the most effective negative adds aimed at Bill Cassidy I have ever seen. Push »

Trouble for Mary Landrieu

Featured image Mary Landrieu is a survivor. Three times the citizens of red Louisiana have elected her to the Senate, never with more than 52.1 percent of the vote. This year, saddled with the Obama presidency, Landrieu is essentially even with Republican Bill Cassidy in the polls. She fails to crack 46 percent in most of them. That kind of number often signals doom for an incumbent, but Landrieu is too good »

The Democrats Are Begging For Money

Featured image They said it, I didn’t. This email went to Democratic Party supporters yesterday: We’re out of people to email you. In the last two days, you should have received an email from: – President Obama – Vice President Biden – Nancy Pelosi True. I received emails that ostensibly came from all of them. That’s how important this is! We’re getting massively outspent by Republican groups. And we’re fighting desperately to »