2014 Election

GOP gaining ground in House races

Featured image The Cook Political Report has revised its district-by-district assessment of this fall’s House races. 21 races have a new rating and 17 of them favor Republicans. Of particular interest for us is the reassessment of the race in Minnesota’s Eighth District, in which John’s friend Stewart Mills is challenging incumbent Democrat Rick Nolan. Cook has switched this race from “leans Democrat” to “toss-up.” Stewart Mills will be one of our »

“A Twitter Exchange For the Ages”

Featured image That’s what Mark Hemingway called it; who are we to argue? Via InstaPundit, here it is. But first: the exchange stars Scott’s daughter Eliana, whom I have known since she was maybe six years old. Eliana is now doing tremendous work for National Review, and the only people prouder of her than me are her parents. Well, probably her sisters too. Anyway, here it is. It has to do with »

Michelle Nunn’s charity and Hamas

Featured image Democrats are hoping partially to offset the Senate seats they will lose in November by picking up a seat in Georgia. Their vehicle is Michelle Nunn, daughter of popular former Senator Sam Nunn. Nunn is trailing Republican David Perdue in most polls. However, she is running close enough to provide some hope for her beleaguered Party. Since 2007, Nunn has served as the CEO of Points of Light, a charitable »

Republicans are maintaining, and maybe expanding, their edge in battle for Senate

Featured image The Upshot, the New York Times’ successor to Nate Silver’s 538, gives the Republicans a 60 percent chance of winning a majority in the Senate. This assessment is similar to the one Silver rendered in June. Both assessments are based on poll averages. However, the research firm YouGov, in partnership with The New York Times and CBS News, has just released poll results that seem more favorable to the GOP. »

Romney 53%, Obama 44%? Don’t Get Excited

Featured image Matt Drudge is promoting this CNN poll, out today, in which respondents were asked whom they would vote for if the 2012 election were re-run today. Romney beats Obama, when “leaners” are counted, 53% to 44%. And that’s not all: lots of Obama’s numbers are quite poor. In categories like “is a strong and decisive leader,” “generally agrees with you on issues you care about” (43%/56%), and “can manage the »

Bruce Braley couldn’t be bothered with VA oversight hearings

Featured image Rep. Bruce Braley, the Democratic candidate for the Senate in Iowa, landed in hot water when video emerged of a fundraiser with trial lawyers at which he ridiculed Sen. Chuck Grassley for being an Iowa farmer. Now we learn, via the Des Moines Register, that Braley missed 75 percent (15 of 20) of meetings of the House Veterans Affairs Committee, which provides oversight for the immensely troubled Veterans Administration. One »

Montana Dem Senator revealed as plagiarist

Featured image The New York Times is reporting that Montana Sen. John Walsh plagiarized “at least a quarter” of his 2007 master’s degree thesis for the U.S. Army War College. According to the Times, Walsh copied an entire page nearly word-for-word from a Harvard paper, and each of his six conclusions is copied from a document from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace without attribution. The Senator’s response? “I didn’t do anything »

The politics of immigration have flipped the Republicans’ way

Featured image I have argued that the surge across our border of young illegal immigrants from Central America has flipped the immigration debate. Now, a Gallup poll shows that the politics of immigration have also flipped. 17 percent now say that immigration is the top problem the U.S. faces. A month ago, only 5 percent saw immigration as our number one problem. Immigration is now effectively tied with “dissatisfaction with government” as »

Ernst and Braley tied in Iowa

Featured image A new NBC/Marist poll of the Iowa Senate race finds Democrat Bruce Braley and Republican Joni Ernst tied at 43 percent. The poll is of registered voters. The NBC/Marist result is in line with the findings, viewed collectively, of three surveys conducted last month. A Quinnipiac poll had Braley ahead by 4; a Loras College poll had Ernst up by 6; and a Rasmussen poll gave Ernst a 1 point »

The handshake that was and the one that wasn’t

Featured image Texas Gov. Rick Perry greeted President Obama when he arrived in Texas today for two fundraisers. As I discussed here, Perry originally said he would not greet the president, proposing instead a meeting to discuss the illegal immigration crisis at the Texas border (and elsewhere). In the end, the two reached a compromise. Obama invited Perry to a roundtable discussion on immigration and reportedly agreed to a one-on-one meeting. Perry »

Dana Milbank’s fantasy

Featured image Dana Milbank, the Clown Prince of the Washington Post, argues that having an “all-Republican Congress” might help President Obama. By all-Republican Congress, Milbank means a majority Republican Senate to go along with the majority Republican House. Milbank reasons that with Republicans in control of both chambers, they would pass conservative legislation on matters such as immigration, health care, the budget, and abortion. Obama could then veto that legislation, thereby enhancing »

Obama Comes to Minnesota: A Sign of the Times

Featured image President Obama is in Minneapolis today. I know this because half of the city’s principal highways were closed down at rush hour and my commute was a nightmare. Obama will stay overnight and make more appearances tomorrow, so this is a major presidential visit. Much could be said about it–for example, Obama staged a meeting with a “middle-class” woman to show solidarity with those who are oppressed by his policies. »

Cochran leads McDaniel in early returns from Mississippi showdown [UPDATED -- COCHRAN WINS]

Featured image Tonight’s most important primary election is the runoff in Mississippi for the Republican Senate nomination. Incumbent Thad Cochran faces a stiff challenge from Chris McDaniel, the candidate of choice for the Tea Party and other staunch conservatives. Recent polls have shown McDaniel ahead, but with 37 percent of the precincts counted, Cochran leads by 53.5 to 46.5. In raw numbers, this translates to a little more than 6,000 which, of »

The Brad Pitt of the Republican Party?

Featured image One of our favorite candidates this year is Stewart Mills, who is running for Congress in Minnesota’s 8th District–northern Minnesota–against a weak one-term incumbent, Rick Nolan. We helped launch Stewart’s campaign by promoting his YouTube video in which he argues for 2nd Amendment rights and defends the dreaded “assault rifle.” When we get around to posting this year’s Power Line Pick Six–soon, I hope–Mills will be one of our choices. »

Is Thad Cochran clueless? Not entirely

Featured image Eliana Johnson reports that Sen. Thad Cochran, who is battling for his political life in Mississippi, didn’t get word of Dave Brat’s upset win over Eric Cantor. Asked on Friday about the House majority’s leader’s stunning defeat on Tuesday, the 76-year-old Cochran responded: “I don’t know what you’re talking about, what happened in Virginia?” Once informed of the result, Cochran rallied with this analysis: “Well, it happens. Some win, some »

Cantor’s defeat — Laura Ingraham’s role, and her take

Featured image There has been plenty of speculation about just why professor Dave Brat defeated Majority Leader Eric Cantor earlier this week. Was it down to immigration issues, disgust with Washington, an incumbent distracted by leadership responsibilities who just wasn’t much of a “retail politician,” or what? I’m persuaded by my friend Joe Asch who says our fellow Dartmouth alum Laura Ingraham played a decisive role. Joe cites the following evidence from »

Re: Eric Cantor

Featured image A reader writes with a timely expression of gratitude to Eric Cantor: Though I would have voted for Dave Brat due to the immigration issue, I just called Eric Cantor’s Washington office to express my gratitude for the work he has done over the past five years. Sometimes we forget how gloomy January 2009 was, with the Presidency and Congress (supermajority, no less) in liberal Democrat hands. He, John Boenher, »