2014 Election

DON’T SEND THAT EMAIL

Featured image That was the subject heading on the Democrats’ latest fund-raising missive, possibly their most hysterical yet. Today’s email is the latest in a long series; some of the most recent were headed “They’re 100% sure we’ll lose,” “please don’t say no john” and “John, we’re PLEADING.” Democrats know no shame. This is how DON’T SEND THAT EMAIL begins: From: alert@dccc.org [mailto:dccc@dccc.org] Sent: Monday, September 15, 2014 10:05 AM To: Hinderaker, »

Bill Maher flips

Featured image To borrow Rick’s lovelorn lament in Casablanca: Of all the gin joints in all the towns in the world, Bill Maher walks into mine (and John Hinderaker’s). My gin joint, so to speak, is Minnesota’s Second Congressional District, where I drink, live, and vote. Bill Maher has walked in to announce that he has has picked incumbent Republican Rep. John Kline to knock off in Maher’s bid to Flip a »

Dems grow desperate as Elise Stefanik opens up a lead

Featured image The race in New York’s 21st congressional district between Republican Elise Stefanik (a Power Line pick) and Democrat Aaron Wolff is rated a toss-up by pundits like Larry Sabato and Stu Rothenberg. But there have been signs of panic from Democrats. Earlier this month, a self-described “independent analyst” and “Wolff supporter” wrote a letter to the editor of a local newspaper, the Watertown Daily Times, asking about Stefanik’s dating history: »

Gallup: GOP Has Giant Lead on Terrorism

Featured image Opinion is divided on whether 2014 will be a good year for the GOP, or a tsunami. I have inclined toward the former view, mostly because I don’t think Republican candidates have done a good enough job of explaining the ideological basis for the Democrats’ many failures, and why Republicans/conservatives have better ideas. Still, events have a force of their own. Today Gallup finds that Republicans have a stunning 23-point »

More Hobby Lobby Insanity: Are We As Dumb As the Democrats Think?

Featured image This is Senator Patty Murray, speaking earlier today about the Hobby Lobby case: “Just a few months ago, five men on the Supreme Court decided there should be a group of women across America who are required to ask their boss for permission to access basic health care.” This is completely insane; you really have to see it to believe it: But is it any crazier than everything else we »

From the granite state

Featured image In the results from yesterday’s New Hampshire GOP primary, former Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown prevailed in the contest for the nomination to take on incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen. Shaheen is one of the many Democrats who seeks to confuse voters in her home state about what she has been up to in DC. Brown has an uphill battle, but we hope he wins and we wish him well. He »

Udall or Udull?

Featured image During my recently concluded year as an inmate at the University of Colorado at Boulder I took note of Senator Mark Udall, now running a close race for re-election against a spirited challenge from Rep. Cory Gardner. Udall, who, like the other senator named Mark struggling for re-election, is trading mostly on a family name, struck me as an especially mediocre version of the species Liberalis Americanus, so much so »

Even Jon Stewart Sees That Pryor Is a Posterior

Featured image File this one under “Pryor Analytics,” or why Mark Pryor is a horse’s posterior.  Even Jon Stewart can’t get over how pathetic Pryor’s latest “Ebola” attack at on Tom Cotton is (just 30 seconds long): »

Poll: Cotton leads Pryor by 5 points [UPDATED]

Featured image A new poll by NBC/Marist shows Tom Cotton leading Mark Pryor 45-40 among likely voters (registered voters divide evenly, 41-41). That’s a big swing from NBC/Marist’s last survey of the race, taken in very early May. It had Pryor leading 51-40. This was only poll in which Pryor cracked 50 percent. The early May poll was, then, an outlier. But most polls taken around that time had Pryor ahead. No »

A personal note on Tom Cotton

Featured image Our friend Rep. Tom Cotton is in a tight race against incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Pryor in Arkansas. Pryor offers a good name and a reliable vote for the full Obama/Reid playlist when needed, but is otherwise something of a cipher. The two of them present a stark contrast. At the Weekly Standard, Michael Warren quotes a pointed editorial from the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette that eloquently draws out the the contrast: »

Dems Accuse Tom Cotton of Spreading Ebola

Featured image Seriously. Senator Mark Pryor’s latest attack on Tom Cotton has become something of a scandal. Here is Pryor’s ad, accusing Tom of being pro-ebola, or something: This is how the Cotton campaign responded: Coming soon to a TV near you: Tom Cotton hates puppies, baseball, and apple pie. … Cotton spokesman David Ray responded to the ad, saying: “Senator Pryor’s desperation is comical. In Senator Pryor’s world, he doesn’t have »

Is Pat Roberts the trouble with Kansas?

Featured image Democrat Chad Taylor is withdrawing from the race against incumbent GOP Senator Pat Robertson in Kansas. Sounds like good news for Roberts, but au contraire, Taylor appears to be dropping out in deference to independent candidate Greg Orman, a Kansas City-area businessman who has been polling ahead of Roberts in a head-to-head matchup. Moreover, 70 Republican state legislators endorsed Orman over Roberts on Wednesday, before Taylor announced he was dropping »

Democrats: Still Seeking the Bottom of the Low Road

Featured image Fred Barnes notes in The Weekly Standard that “Democrats Take the Low Road” in their desperation to keep their Senate majority. Ratifying that judgment is the New York Times, which includes a story today entitled “At Risk in Senate, Democrats Seek to Rally Blacks.” The subhed is even more revealing: “Move to Channel Anger.” (Note: this subhed doesn’t appear on the online version of the story; it’s just in the »

Poll: Obama receives more than twice as much strong disapproval as strong approval

Featured image The latest Gallup poll on President Obama job performance is out. At the top line, things could be worse for the president and his party. 44 percent approve of his performance, while 53 percent disapprove. That’s considerably worse than in the run-up to the 2010 election, and certainly cause for concern among Democrats. But Dems won’t be surprised by this split which, as I said, could be worse. The intensity »

Dueling poll results from Georgia

Featured image A new poll of the Georgia Senate race by WSB-TV/Landmark shows Democrat Michelle Nunn leading Republican David Perdue by 7 points, 47-40. If the Dems flip this seat, their chances of maintaining control of the Senate will receive a huge boost. So should Republicans be alarmed by this poll? Probably not. Two polls from just a week ago give Perdue the lead by 9 points (Survey USA) and 7 points »

Fundraising, Or Hate Speech?

Featured image It is remarkable that calls for bipartisanship in Washington generally come from Democrats and Democrat-leaning pundits. The implication always is that Republicans–the “extreme” ones, anyway–are the barrier to cooperation across party lines. But recall 2012–not exactly ancient history–when Harry Reid repeatedly claimed that Mitt Romney had gone for a decade without paying any taxes. And was, therefore, presumably a felon, since no one says that Romney has gone without income. »

Scott Brown appears to be closing the gap in New Hampshire

Featured image Yesterday, I wrote about a new poll from Kellyanne Conway’s firm that found substantial public support for a hard line on immigration policy. Other pollsters may be seeing the same phenomenon because certain Republican Senate candidates — notably Scott Brown, Tom Cotton, and Terri Lind Land — have been running ads sounding the hard line theme. Given the diversity of the states in question — purple Michigan, red Arkansas, and »