2016 Senate Elections

The battle for the Senate

Featured image Real Clear Politics has a nice map that reflects its view of the battle for the Senate. It sees 47 seats as likely to be held by Democrats when the dust settles and 47 likely to be held by Republicans. Six seats are rated toss-ups. The six toss-ups are: Indiana (Young vs. Bayh) Pennsylvania (Toomey vs. McGinty) Nevada (Heck vs. Cortez Masto) North Carolina (Burr vs. Ross) New Hampshire (Ayotte »

Support Sen. Pat Toomey

Featured image George Will calls Sen. Pat Toomey’s race against Kate McGinty in Pennsylvania the “most consequential” of this year’s Senate contests. To understand its importance, look at Larry Sabato’s map of Senate races. As things stand, at least according to Sabato, a Toomey win probably gives Republicans the 50 seats needed to run the Senate if Donald Trump is elected president. And if Hillary Clinton is elected, a Toomey win probably »

The 2016 Power Line Picks

Featured image However one feels about this year’s presidential election, I don’t think conservatives can dispute the importance of the congressional races. If Hillary Clinton wins the presidency, a Republican House and Senate will be crucial to thwarting her left-wing designs. If Trump wins, a Republican House and Senate will be crucial to advancing the conservative part of his agenda (if any) and blocking the liberal part (if any). It’s true that »

Koch-Reid Cage Match in Nevada

Featured image One of the critical races in the battle for control of the Senate is in Nevada, where the appalling Harry Reid is finally retiring as a rich man, after a long career in “public service.” The Democratic nominee is a Reid surrogate named Catherine Cortez Masto, while the Republican is Congressman Joe Heck. In his last years in the Senate, Reid pursued a bizarre vendetta against Charles and David Koch, »

Marco Rubio and John McCain prevail

Featured image As expected, Marco Rubio and John McCain won their respective primaries tonight. Rubio collected 72 percent of the vote. His closest rival won only 18.5 percent. McCain faced stronger opposition in Kelli Ward, a Tea Party style candidate. However, he prevailed by a 54-36 margin. Rubio will face Rep. Patrick Murphy. He crushed the loathsome Alan Grayson 59-18. Murphy, age 33, is a pretty strong candidate, I think. He tries »

Return to sender

Featured image Evan Bayh is a former Indiana governor and Senator. Since he left office, however, he has made his living as a connected Washington attorney at the K Street office of the McGuireWoods firm; he is a partner at the firm. According to the firm’s bio, which Bayh himself seems to have had a hand in: “[Bayh] serves as a strategic advisor to many of the firm’s most significant clients, particularly »

Trump running behind GOP Senate candidates in many key states

Featured image In this post, I expressed doubt that Donald Trump’s candidacy will have a significantly adverse effect on other Republicans running this year, unless Hillary Clinton wins by a landslide (which may happen). My post prompted a reader to send me some polls through which we can compare Trump’s standing in swing states with that of the Republican Senate candidates running in them. Here are the RCP averages: Ohio Trump -2.6 »

Donald Trump’s down ballot impact

Featured image Charlie Cook doubts that a Donald Trump defeat, which he considers quite likely, would have a significantly adverse effect on other Republicans running this year. Writing in the National Journal, Cook states, “even if Clin­ton wins by a much lar­ger mar­gin than, say, Obama’s win over Rom­ney four years ago, I don’t think the down-bal­lot im­plic­a­tions would be that huge.” Cook gives two reasons for this assessment. First, there aren’t »

The “Biggest Loser” Election?

Featured image Donald Trump owes some of his contemporary fame and notoriety to his hit reality TV show “The Apprentice.” But if this election cycle were re-imagined as a reality TV show (which doesn’t actually require “re-imagining” since it is all too real), it would have to be as a new iteration of “The Biggest Loser.” The news today is that each person has huge negatives with voters. One poll shows Trump »

Grassley not hurt by Garland standoff

Featured image When President Obama nominated Merrick Garland for the Supreme Court, I think he understood that the Republican Senate would not confirm the judge, at least not before the November election. Obama hoped instead that Republican intransigence would hurt GOP Senators up for reelection this Fall. Blocking Garland required the assistance of Sen. Grassley, the chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee. Grassley is up for reelection. I never seen good evidence »

Maryland Dems nominate Van Hollen for the Senate

Featured image Earlier this month, I wrote about the Democratic Senate primary in Maryland. It pitted Rep. Chris Van Hollen, a close ally of Nancy Pelosi, and Rep. Donna Edwards, an African-American running to Van Hollen’s left. The race turned pretty bitter. I viewed the dust-up between a cautious white leftist and a black radical as a sign of things to come. In another sign of things to come, Edwards touted her »

Dem dust up in Maryland is a sign of things to come

Featured image Given what’s going on in the Republican presidential contest, I’m not going to pass any popcorn when it comes to Democratic infighting. I was amused, though, by this story from the Democrats’ Senate primary in Maryland. The race is between Rep. Chris Van Hollen, a close ally of Nancy Pelosi, and Rep. Donna Edwards, who is running to Van Hollen’s left. Van Hollen argues, in essence, that he’s as much »

Bush endorses Cruz; what’s Rubio waiting for?

Featured image With the Florida primary in the rear view mirror and Marco Rubio out of the race, Jeb Bush has endorsed Ted Cruz for president. The endorsement comes a month after Bush dropped out of the race. By waiting as long as he did, Bush accomplished two things — neither of them noble. First, he avoided endorsing Rubio, who “betrayed” him by running for president, while at the same time avoiding »

Here’s a question

Featured image What if a Republican wins the presidency in November, but the Democrats gain control of the Senate? In this scenario, the Senate would have 17 days to confirm an Obama nominee before a Republican president could take office and withdraw the nomination. Normally, you wouldn’t expect a party that captures the White House to suffer losses in the Senate. But the Senate electoral map in 2016 is so skewed in »

The world according to the Democratic establishment

Featured image This weekend, a reader from here in the Washington D.C. area found himself seated next to a Democratic fundraiser and operative. This Democrat offered the following opinions. They reflect, I think, how well-connected Democrats read the current political situation: 1. Hillary Clinton is a “gem” who will win 70% of the women’s vote and likely the election because electing the first woman president is “a really big deal.” 2. Democrats »

Return to Kentucky Fried Hillary [With Comment By John]

Featured image Madam Hillary was campaigning over the weekend in Hoover, Alabama, so she felt the compulsion to turn on her phony drawl again. We have much more of this to look forward to, of course, but it serves a useful purpose. It reminds us that she is occasionally lacking in authenticity. Quotable quote, regarding the Reagan/Bush era during which we won the Cold War and some 18 million new, mostly high-paying »

Dems: It Failed Before, Let’s Try It Again!

Featured image Politico reports that Senate Democrats are plotting, once again, to make attacks on Charles and David Koch a centerpiece of their 2016 campaign: A coalition of deep-pocketed liberal groups ― including a pair of super PACs backing Hillary Clinton ― has been meeting quietly for months, examining the 2016 map and plotting attacks against the powerful Koch brothers’ network. At midday Thursday, the architect of that effort, Clinton antagonist-turned-enforcer David »