2016 presidential election

Scott Walker’s big Iowa challenge

Featured image Four years ago, the popular just-retired governor of an Upper Midwest state was pinning his hopes of a presidential run on neighboring Iowa. Those hopes came to an end when Tim Pawlenty withdrew from the presidential race after a poor showing in the Iowa straw poll. It seemed like a case of being knocked over by a feather. However, Pawlenty needed to do well in Iowa, and was outflanked on »

Romney Regresses On Climate

Featured image Mitt Romney is never a dollar short, but he is often a day or more late. This week, he showed that he has not been keeping up with developments in climate science: As he considers a third presidential campaign, Mitt Romney said Wednesday night that one of the country’s biggest challenges is climate change and that global solutions are needed to combat it. “I’m one of those Republicans who thinks »

Will Bill Clinton’s Past Doom Hillary’s Future?

Featured image Gawker has obtained flight logbooks for disgraced billionaire Jeffrey Epstein’s airplane, the “Lolita Express.” They disclose what appears to be a close relationship between Epstein and Bill Clinton: Bill Clinton took repeated trips on the “Lolita Express”—the private passenger jet owned by billionaire pedophile Jeffrey Epstein—with an actress in softcore porn movies whose name appears in Epstein’s address book under an entry for “massages,” according to flight logbooks obtained by »

Say It Ain’t So, Mitt!

Featured image Washington is buzzing with the news that Mitt Romney has resolved to enter the 2016 presidential race. I wrote some time ago that Hillary Clinton is ripe for the plucking, as long as her opponent is a fresh new face. Therefore, I thought, the only plausible Republican candidate who can’t beat Hillary is Jeb Bush, another Bush/Clinton race being the one thing that would drive Republican voters away from the »

The Field Narrows: Paul Ryan Out for 2016

Featured image Paul Ryan has announced this afternoon that he won’t run for president in 2016: Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan, the Republican Party’s vice presidential nominee in 2012, told NBC News in an interview Monday that he will not seek the presidency in 2016. “I have decided that I am not going to run for president in 2016,” Ryan said in a phone interview, noting that he is “at peace” with the »

What’s the difference between Mitt Romney and Jeb Bush?

Featured image Clearly Romney and Bush disagree about immigration policy. But the key difference, I think, is this: Mitt Romney is a patrician who lacks the common touch, but wants to show he doesn’t think he’s better than the rest of us. Jeb Bush is a partician who possesses the common touch to some extent, but seems bent on showing his superiority. That’s my takeaway from the former Florida governor’s obnoxious claim »

Jeb Bush v. Mitt Romney — the personal is political

Featured image It looks increasingly likely that Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney will both seek the Republican presidential nomination. Washington Post political reporters Phillip Rucker and Robert Costa discuss the relationship between the two. The first part of their article is the equivalent of a friend telling you, “I like Joe.” The second part of the article is the equivalent of what comes after the friend adds, “but.” As always the second »

Romney “considering” presidential bid

Featured image Mitt Romney reportedly has told a group of donors in New York that he is considering running for president again next year. With Jeb Bush trying to round up donors, Romney needed to indicate interest, but only if he has some. Clearly, he does. Romney is expected to announce his decision within the next 60 days, according to Spencer Zwick, one his advisers. Having reportedly told the donor group that »

Is Elizabeth Warren running for president? It looks that way

Featured image I hear through sources within Elizabeth Warren’s circles that the Massachusetts Senator intends to run for president. Warren’s behavior is entirely consistent with this view. She is pounding her core message — “the system is rigged” — as relentlessly as John Edwards pounded his “two Americas” theme when he ran twice for president. And she is distancing herself from President Obama — and, by extension, Hillary Clinton — by insisting »

Searching for Jeb Bush supporters in the belly of the “establishment” beast

Featured image I’m beginning to feel like Pauline Kael. The late film critic and denizen of upscale Manhattan is alleged to have expressed wonderment at Richard Nixon’s re-election, since no one she knew had voted for him. The early part of this week marked the festive season for the Republican political class here in Washington, DC. Receptions, such as the one for Tom Cotton, were held all over Capitol Hill. A good »

About That Sex Scandal. . .

Featured image Oh, goody, a juicy sex scandal potentially involving Bill Clinton. How could it be otherwise? John has already pointed out the potentiality of this story exploding on Hillary Clinton if it is true. There may be videotapes! In this year of celebrating the 30th anniversary of the Back to the Future movies, can a stained blue dress be far behind? Britain’s Daily Mail offers up a very long and detailed »

Hopeless Hillary?

Featured image Hillary Clinton is the most overrated front-runner since Edmund Muskie in 1972, and like Muskie is probably just one big blunder from total collapse. The Wall Street Journal reports unsurprisingly today that “Iowa Democratic leaders say they are troubled by the prospect that Hillary Clinton could win the state’s 2016 presidential caucuses without a serious challenge, a view primarily rooted in a desire for a more liberal candidate or at »

Eyeing a presidential run, Huckabee quits Fox News

Featured image In 2007, Mike Huckabee was an ex-office holder running, in effect, for talk show host. His time as governor of Arkansas over and his finances nowhere near where he wanted them to be, Huckabee, it seemed to me, was hoping to parlay a presidential run into a lucrative career doing what he does so well — talking. Huckabee succeeded. His better than expected (other than by him) run for the »

What is different for Hillary Clinton the second time around?

Featured image We closed today’s Power Line show with a brief discussion of the outlook for Hillary Clinton in the coming year. I speculated, and Steve agreed, that Clinton likely will not be able to clear the field of rivals for the Democratic nomination. This time next year, she may very well still be the Democratic frontrunner, but probably will not have an unimpeded path to the nomination. This was about where »

Jim Webb for vice president?

Featured image In response to my post about Jim Webb’s presidential prospects, a reader suggests that Webb may actually be angling for the vice presidency: I wonder if Webb’s intent isn’t to become VP nominee. He simply informs Clinton, Warren, or whoever wins the nomination that they will not carry VA, NC, WV, & PA if he campaigns in those states for the Republican nominee which he will do if he is »

Will 2016 resemble 1968 for Democrats?

Featured image I’ve been dismissive of Jim Webb’s prospects for winning the Democratic presidential nomination. But Jacob Heilbrunn’s column on Webb, and Steve’s commentary on that column, made me take another look. On second look, I still don’t see Webb getting very far. Will female Democrats favor Webb — currently in his third marriage and the author of what some might consider a sexist novel — over Hillary Clinton? Not likely. Will »

Hillary Caught in a Webb?

Featured image Normally I don’t go in much for the early horse-race prognostications about the 2016 presidential election, but there are occasional exceptions. One is Jacob Heilbrunn’s op-ed in the New York Times today. Heilbrunn is the editor of The National Interest, and someone I’ve tangled with a couple of times before (such as this letter to the NY Times Books Review almost ten years ago), but I like Jacob personally and »