Good news from North Carolina

Featured image Two results from yesterday’s North Carolina congressional primaries are worthy of note. First, Rep. Renee Ellmers, who has been a huge disappointment to conservatives, will not return to Congress next year. She was crushed by conservative Rep. George Holding in North Carolina’s 2nd district. Ellmers, by the way, was one of the very few members of Congress who endorsed Donald Trump when the GOP presidential race was still in doubt. »

The dilemma Trump poses

Featured image Michael Gerson’s latest column attacking Donald Trump bemoans the fact that Marco Rubio has endorsed the tycoon and the prospect that Paul Ryan soon may do so. More on that later. The passage from Gerson that caught my eye is this one: Here is the problem in sum: Republicans have not been given the option of choosing the lesser of two evils. The GOP has selected someone who is unfit »

Senate Republicans block Lee Amendment, preserve AFFH

Featured image The Lee Amendment to defund President Obama’s Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing (AFFH) regulation failed in the Senate yesterday because not enough Republicans backed it. The Amendment was tabled by a vote of 60-37. Jeremy Carl aptly describes this vote as a defeat for conservatism, community control, and common sense. It is a victory, as Carl says, for turning the federal government into a National Zoning board, forcing high density housing »

Pence finally endorses Cruz

Featured image With only a few days remaining before the Indiana primary, Gov. Mike Pence has endorsed Ted Cruz. He did so during a radio interview this morning. Pence began by praising Donald Trump. He stated: I like and respect all three of the Republican candidates in the field. I particularly want to commend Donald Trump who I think has given voice to the frustration of millions of working Americans with a »

Gutless in Indiana [UPDATED]

Featured image A reader-activist offers the following thought on the GOP primary in Indiana: Where the hell are Daniels and Pence!? They want Trump???? Bunch of COWARDS. They should be leading and instead they are under the bed. People like that will leave us with Trump as the candidate! I agree. Trump’s big loss in Wisconsin was due in significant part to the vigorous opposition of Scott Walker and other Republican leaders »

A GOP loss in 2016 is one thing, a GOP disgrace is another

Featured image Michael Gerson takes up the question of whether, for Republicans, it is “better to lose with Cruz or Trump.” Gerson doesn’t answer the question except to say it’s too bad Republicans can’t lose with both. Gerson argues that losing with Cruz would discredit “tea party” purity. Losing with Trump would discredit “white lives matter nativism.” Both are outcomes he desires apparently about equally. I wonder whether Gerson is preoccupied with »

From the Colorado GOP convention

Featured image John Fund calls the Colorado GOP convention the scene of a political revolution. A Power Line reader writes with this first-hand report: I thought you might be interested in a report on the Colorado state Republican convention. I attended the convention as a floor delegate from my local precinct in Arvada, Colorado. My wife and I also attended the dinner and VIP fundraiser the night before. At the dinner/reception I »

The big dog barks, but the caravan moves on [UPDATED]

Featured image If you’re a Democratic politician, you uncomplainingly take crap from militant African-Americans; it’s what you do. Unless you’re Bill Clinton. He’s a former U.S. president. He doesn’t take crap from anyone. Thus, as Steve Hayward notes, the Big Dog barked back today at Black Lives Matter protesters who interrupted his speech. Clinton shouted over the protesters for more than ten minutes, rejecting their claim that Hillary’s use of the term »

Is the GOP Going to the Doves?

Featured image In the New York Times, Ross Douthat argues that the United States and Europe seem to be reversing their roles with respect to defense policy. The adage that Americans are from Mars and Europeans are from Venus, he suggests, no longer holds true. Europeans have gotten more serious about security: Nationalism is returning, border fences are going up. The center is weakening, the far right is gaining power. The Mediterranean »

Trump less dominant in recent polls

Featured image The pattern has been the same throughout this campaign season. After each big primary, I look at the polling for the next major contest — e.g., Florida, South Carolina, or Michigan — and see Donald Trump leading by around 15 points. As the primary approaches, there is talk that the gap might be narrowing, and on election day we hear that the late voters have broken in favor of a »

Observations about last night

Featured image Last night’s GOP primary/caucuses results represent a split decision. Donald Trump won in Arizona; Ted Cruz won in neighboring Utah. And in far away American Samoa, the nine delegates apparently are not committed to any candidate. Last night continued a familiar pattern. Trump won in a primary state; Cruz won in a caucus state. However, Trump’s Arizona victory occurred in a closed primary — only Republicans voted. This was atypical »

Today is the first day of the rest of the GOP race

Featured image Ready or not, the battle for the Republican presidential nomination heats up again today with contests in Utah and Arizona. Ted Cruz is expected to win the vast majority, if not all, of Utah’s 44 delegates. Donald Trump is likely to capture all 58 of Arizona’s. American Samoa will also dole out nine delegates. I have no idea how they will be divided. Meanwhile, the crew at FiveThirtyEight surveyed political »

November and Beyond: My Crystal Ball [with comment by Paul]

Featured image Predictions are difficult, especially about the future, as Yogi Berra reputedly said. (The quote is also attributed, perhaps more reliably, to Niels Bohr.) But when has that ever stopped anyone? A few months ago a Norwegian newspaper columnist named Frank Rossavik interviewed me for a book he is writing about American politics. As a follow-up, he emailed me some questions about Donald Trump and the current election, which I answered »

Parties, the convention, and the consequences

Featured image I agree with John that no rule or moral imperative says a candidate coming to a convention with a plurality, rather than a majority, of delegates, must be his Party’s nominee. If Trump, or any other Republican, so arrives in Cleveland, he must find a way to reach a majority. Failing that, he will have no valid complaint when the GOP selects someone else. There is, however, a distinction between »

Is there any honor in winning the D.C. GOP primary?

Featured image The District of Columbia held its primary today. It wasn’t held in a phone booth, exactly, but it did take place at a single location — the Loews Madison Hotel. Formerly known as the Madison, this luxury hotel made its name as a favorite hangout of lobbyists. Make of that what you will. Marco Rubio won the primary, narrowly edging out John Kasich. The tally was 1,059 to 1,009. Donald »

After last night

Featured image A few notes and queries after last night’s primary results, as always in the spirit of inquiry that has animated my occasional reflections on the morning after the debates and primaries of this campaign season. 1. Donald Trump won impressive victories in Michigan and Mississippi. In Michigan, however, Trump won 25 delegates while Ted Cruz and John Kasich split 34. In Mississippi, Trump approached 50 percent of the vote; he »

Tonight’s GOP primaries and caucus [updated periodically]

Featured image Remember the night that Donald Trump won both Alabama and Massachusetts? It was an impressive feat given the difference between the two states when it comes to politics (and much else). Tonight, Trump seeks another impressive double: Mississippi and Michigan. He’s heavily favored in Mississippi and is off to a good start in Michigan — leading John Kasich 37-30 with about 7 percent of the precincts reporting. The focus tonight »