Senate

Are Democrats Poised for a Senate Comeback?

Featured image Republicans are optimistic about the Senate these days, on account of recent polls that show their candidates pulling ahead, or pulling even, in a number of battleground states. Oddsmakers are now saying there is a strong probability the GOP will re-take the Senate in November. However, there is a catch: as usual, the Democrats’ fundraising this cycle has vastly outpaced the Republicans’. And the Democrats are focusing their resources where »

In Iowa Senate debate, Braley’s neighbor’s chickens come home to roost

Featured image Joni Ernst and Bruce Braley held their first debate last night. Immigration was front-and-center, which is probably not a bad thing for Ernst. Braley tried, however, to spin the issue into an advertisement for his “bipartisanship.” He invited Ernst to “join John McCain and Marco Rubio in calling on Speaker Boehner to bring this immigration bill to the floor of the House so we can pass it.” Ernst declined the »

Kay Hagan’s husband received stimulus cash

Featured image Kay Hagan has managed to maintain a lead in the North Carolina Senate race even as her fellow Obama-supporting Southerners Mark Pryor and Mary Landrieu have fallen slightly behind. The latest poll, by CNN/Opinion Research, has her leading Republican Thom Tillis 46-43. This is consistent with the Real Clear Politics average in which she leads by 3.5 points. Why is Hagan ahead in a state President Obama failed to carry »

Now is the time to support Tom Cotton

Featured image I share John’s uneasiness about the November elections. Republican chances of gaining control of the Senate have been downgraded to less than 60 percent by Nate Silver, whose track record as a political forecaster is outstanding. One reason for the downgrade is the emergence of pseudo-independent Greg Orman in the Kansas race. If he defeats Republican Pat Roberts, and the polls give him a clear lead, the GOP will have »

Incapable in Kansas

Featured image The race for the Kansas Senate seat held by Republican incumbent Pat Roberts has been essentially a three-way affair among Roberts, Democrat Chad Taylor and Independent (Democrat) Greg Orman. When Taylor purported to withdraw as the Democratic nominee earlier this month, he did so in a terse letter to Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach: I, Chadwick J. Taylor, Democratic nominee for the United States Senate race, do hereby withdraw »

Dueling poll results from Georgia

Featured image A new poll of the Georgia Senate race by WSB-TV/Landmark shows Democrat Michelle Nunn leading Republican David Perdue by 7 points, 47-40. If the Dems flip this seat, their chances of maintaining control of the Senate will receive a huge boost. So should Republicans be alarmed by this poll? Probably not. Two polls from just a week ago give Perdue the lead by 9 points (Survey USA) and 7 points »

Please Help defeat Mary Landrieu

Featured image A reader who travels regularly to Louisiana concurs with my assessment that Mary Landrieu, the ultimate political survivor, cannot be written off even in this year’s unfriendly-to- Democrats environment. He writes: I’ve been travelling for work lately and spending a lot of time in the New Orleans area and I have to tell you, [Landrieu] has the most effective negative adds aimed at Bill Cassidy I have ever seen. Push »

Trouble for Mary Landrieu

Featured image Mary Landrieu is a survivor. Three times the citizens of red Louisiana have elected her to the Senate, never with more than 52.1 percent of the vote. This year, saddled with the Obama presidency, Landrieu is essentially even with Republican Bill Cassidy in the polls. She fails to crack 46 percent in most of them. That kind of number often signals doom for an incumbent, but Landrieu is too good »

Our man at the bridge

Featured image My daughter Eliana has written a terrific profile of our man at the bridge, Senator Jeff Sessions of Alabama. It appears in the August 11 issue of National Review under the title “Amnesty’s worst enemy” and has now been posted online. I learned a lot from it and wanted to bring it to your attention in case you missed it. It discusses the forces behind the execrable “comprehensive immigration reform” »

Obama has “full faith” in DCIA who doesn’t know what CIA is up to

Featured image CIA Director John Brennan is under fire from the Senate Intelligence Committee after the CIA admitted that it searched the computer files and read the e-mails of Senate investigators who were probing the agency’s use of harsh interrogation measures on terrorist in the aftermath of 9/11. The fire is well-deserved. Earlier this year, Brennan responded to charges of the misconduct described above by denying them. Now, he admits that the »

Poll: Harry Reid trails Gov. Sandoval in hypothetical senate race

Featured image I doubt that Harry Reid is doing this year’s Democratic Senatorial candidates any favors with his deranged attacks on the Koch Brothers, his changes to longstanding filibuster rules as a means of confirming left-wing judicial nominees, and his over-the-top partisan bluster. A new poll suggests that he isn’t doing himself any favors either. The survey, conducted this week by Harper Polling, shows Reid trailing Nevada’s popular governor Brian Sandoval by »

Ernst and Braley tied in Iowa

Featured image A new NBC/Marist poll of the Iowa Senate race finds Democrat Bruce Braley and Republican Joni Ernst tied at 43 percent. The poll is of registered voters. The NBC/Marist result is in line with the findings, viewed collectively, of three surveys conducted last month. A Quinnipiac poll had Braley ahead by 4; a Loras College poll had Ernst up by 6; and a Rasmussen poll gave Ernst a 1 point »

Dana Milbank’s fantasy

Featured image Dana Milbank, the Clown Prince of the Washington Post, argues that having an “all-Republican Congress” might help President Obama. By all-Republican Congress, Milbank means a majority Republican Senate to go along with the majority Republican House. Milbank reasons that with Republicans in control of both chambers, they would pass conservative legislation on matters such as immigration, health care, the budget, and abortion. Obama could then veto that legislation, thereby enhancing »

Cochran leads McDaniel in early returns from Mississippi showdown [UPDATED -- COCHRAN WINS]

Featured image Tonight’s most important primary election is the runoff in Mississippi for the Republican Senate nomination. Incumbent Thad Cochran faces a stiff challenge from Chris McDaniel, the candidate of choice for the Tea Party and other staunch conservatives. Recent polls have shown McDaniel ahead, but with 37 percent of the precincts counted, Cochran leads by 53.5 to 46.5. In raw numbers, this translates to a little more than 6,000 which, of »

Republicans still have slight edge in latest Nate Silver Senate forecast

Featured image Nate Silver, the reigning champion of election forecasting, has issued a new Senate forecast. He projects that the Republicans will gain 5.7 Senate seats. They need a gain of 5 to wrest control of the Senate, so Silver’s forecast gives the Republicans a better than 50 percent chance of accomplishing this. In his last forecast, Silver projected a Republican gain of 5.8 seats. Thus, he sees the overall shape of »

Ernst pulls even, or maybe ahead, in Iowa

Featured image Two new polls contain good news for those of us hoping to see the Republicans win the Iowa Senate seat being vacated by Tom Harkin. A Rasmussen poll has Republican Joni Ernst, fresh off of her victory earlier this week in the primary, in a dead heat with Democrat Bruce Braley (Ernst 45, Braley 44). Before the primary, Braley was leading Ernst by 4 to 8 points in the various »

Mark Pryor and company rubber stamp radical nominee David Barron

Featured image The Senate has confirmed the nomination of left-winger David Barron to the First Circuit Court of Appeals. The vote was 53-45. Only two Democrats voted against confirming Barron. They were Joe Manchin, a genuine moderate, and Mary Landrieu, who is up for re-election in a conservative state. Other pseudo-moderate Democrats such as Mark Pryor, Mark Begich, and Kay Hagan were perfectly content to rubber-stamp a nominee who, among things, has »