Poll Follies
Take whatever comfort you want from today's Newsweek poll, which shows President Bush with a six-point lead among likely voters. But I still think the Newsweek poll isn't worth much, one way or the other. The poll's internals aren't disclosed, but here is the key fact:
Independents seem to be moving toward Bush. Last week Kerry captured independents’ support 52 to 38 percent. This week, for the first time since the debates, Bush has retaken the lead among independents, 47 to 38. The margin of error is plus or minus 6 points for independents’ support....
Give me a break. I'd love to believe that independents are moving toward the President, but a twenty-three point swing in a week? Ridiculous.
