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May 5, 2006
Generic polling seems to get worse for Republicans daily, but the news on individual races--which are all that matter in the end--isn't nearly as bad. Blog of the Week Real Clear Politics notes that Senator Rick Santorum continues to close the gap on Democrat Bob Casey: In the most closely watched Senate race this year, embattled Republican incumbent Rick Santorum has pulled to within 6 points of State Treasurer Bob Casey, Jr., 47%-41%. Franklin & Marshall's Keystone Poll released yesterday represents the first time since June of last year that Mr. Santorum has not trailed by double digits. Back in November Mr. Casey's lead was a whopping 16 points. Santorum's improvement results from the fact that Casey's unfavorability rating, which started out near zero, has been rising. John McIntyre writes: With Mr. Casey registering only a 13% unfavorable rating - as compared 33% for Mr. Santorum - there remains plenty of room for the Santorum campaign to drive Casey's unfavorable number higher.*** The Senate race in Minnesota between Congressman Mark Kennedy and Hennepin County Attorney Amy Klobuchar is shaping up better than expected for the Republicans, too. I got an inside tip yesterday about a poll that was just done by the DFL party. Stunningly, it showed that Democrat Amy Klobuchar is doing very poorly in outstate Minnesota, and as a result the race is a dead heat. If Mark Kennedy is really anywhere near even with Klobuchar at this point in the campaign, Klobuchar could be in serious trouble. Especially since she has a hard time keeping a staff together; her former colleagues in the Hennepin County Attorney's office have declined to endorse her, and she has already lost one campaign manager. Posted by at 7:55 AM
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