The social science behind Ted Cruz’s notice of “voter violation”

Featured image I wrote here about the use by Ted Cruz’s campaign in Iowa of a mailer to potential caucus-goers that was labeled: “ELECTION ALERT,” “VOTER VIOLATION,” “PUBLIC RECORD,” and “FURTHER ACTION NEEDED.” It told recipients: You are receiving this election notice because of low expected voter turnout in your area. Your individual voting history as well as your neighbors’ are public record. Their scores are published below, and many of them »

Jimmy Carter Endorses Ted Cruz!

Featured imageWell not really, but as with Damon Linker’s article attacking Marco Rubio, it reads like high praise of Cruz indeed. Speaking earlier today in London, old peanut brain said that if he had to choose, he preferred Donald Trump because Trump is more “malleable.” Here’s the report from The Mirror: “If I had a choice of Republican nominees, between Cruz and Trump, I think I would choose. Trump – which »

Clinton’s unpopularity with young voters offers GOP an opening [With Comment by John]

Featured imageHillary Clinton has a major problem with young voters. According to the Washington Post, Sanders won handily over Clinton in Iowa with voters under the age of 45. And voters under the age of 30 supported Sanders to the tune of 84 percent. We can’t assume that young Sanders voters will support the Republican nominee over Clinton, but some of them might stay home. Moreover, it’s fair to suppose that »

For Venezuela, the End Is Near. Someone Tell Bernie!

Featured imageVenezuela’s disastrous experiment with socialism is nearing its inevitable end. The Financial Times has the numbers: The year 2015 was an annus horribilis in Venezuela with a 10 per cent decline in gross domestic product, following a 4 per cent fall in 2014. Inflation reached over 200 per cent. The fiscal deficit ballooned to 20 per cent of GDP, funded mainly by the printing press. In the free market, the »

The Cruz Campaign’s Dirty Tricks

Featured imageNo doubt you are aware of the controversy over the Cruz campaign’s sneak attack on Ben Carson on the evening of the Iowa caucuses. The Carson campaign said that when he left Iowa, he would return home for a few days rather than flying directly to New Hampshire or South Carolina. CNN broke the news in a tweet in an on-air report, making Carson’s plan sound odd and potentially significant: »

About Rubio, my take

Featured imageIn his “About Rubio” post, Steve correctly says that I’m skeptical about Marco Rubio because of his dubious dealings with Democrats on immigration and the egregiously bad “Gang of Eight” bill. I’m also not convinced that Rubio is fully ready to be president, but the same reservation applies to Ted Cruz and Donald Trump (who I don’t think will ever be ready). In defense of Rubio, Steve states that Rubio »

Bernie Sanders, Movie Star!

Featured imageDid you know that Bernie Sanders once played a rabbi in a low-budget “comedy” (as Rabbi Manny Shevitz—no, really, that’s his character’s name), My X-Girlfriend’s Wedding Reception (1999). I like some of the comments on IMDB about it: “This is downright painful. . . This is a cute movie but really only for Deborah Gibson fans.” Painful indeed, though I have to say, Sanders’s cameo sounds just like one of his campaign »

Obama defends the faith

Featured imagePresident Obama seems to believe in nothing more than he does the defense of Islam. He specializes in pronouncements on what is truly Islamic and what is not. Such pronouncements are always intended to preserve the good name of Islam. Al Qaeda, of course, not Islamic. The Islamic State, not Islamic. San Bernardino murderers Syed Farook and Tashfeen Malik, not Islamic. The Islamic Republic of Iran, well, they must be »

When Cheryl Mills clammed up

Featured imageIn December 2012, the watchdog group Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW) filed a Freedom of Information Act request pertaining to Hillary Clinton’s email accounts. The request was for records showing the “number of email accounts of or associated with Secretary Hillary Rodham Clinton.” CREW made the request in the wake of a scandal involving Environmental Protection Agency official Lisa Jackson, who emailed under the pseudonym “Richard Windsor.” »

Germany to Insist on Assimilation?

Featured imageThe mass immigration from Islamic countries into central and western Europe has been a debacle, particularly in those countries the migrants have selected as desirable destinations, like Germany and Sweden. (Who wouldn’t?) In Germany, the disaster has been such that in at least one poll, 40% of Germans want Chancellor Angela Merkel to resign over her refugee policy. So Germany’s government is trying to adopt a more rational approach toward »

Scott Brown set to join Sarah Palin on Team Trump

Featured imageI wasn’t a bit surprised when Sarah Palin endorsed Donald Trump. I am surprised that Scott Brown reportedly will endorse Trump tonight. Brown struck me as too sensible and responsible to jump on Trump’s bandwagon. Palin and Brown can be viewed as occupying opposite ends of the GOP spectrum. The former is a rebellious, fire-breathing Western conservative; the latter, a moderate Northeastern Republican (though not without a blue-collar persona). They »

About Rubio [with comment by Paul]

Featured imageUp to this point I’ve left the Rubio beat to John, who has endorsed him, and Paul, who I think remains skeptical or opposed because of his dubious dealings with Democrats on immigration and the egregiously bad “Gang of Eight” bill. [Paul is welcome to confirm or refine this here if he wants.] My own sense of things is that Rubio knows he screwed up big time on immigration, and »

Hillary annotated

Featured imageHillary Clinton is a liar of the Lillian Hellman variety as described by Mary McCarthy: “Every word she writes is a lie, including ‘and’ and ‘the.'” Perfect. Nobody has ever said it better. The Clintons have turned lying into performance art. Most recently, in her appearance on ABC’s This Week with former (Bill) Clinton aide George Stephanopoulos on Sunday (video below), Hillary did it again. As for Stephanopoulos, kid gloves »

What happened to John Cornyn?

Featured imageThanks in no small part to the efforts of Sen. Tom Cotton, the bipartisan congressional effort to reduce the mandatory minimum sentences for certain federal drug felonies, and to release many drug felons from jail, is on hold in the Senate. Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has called for what Politico calls “a breather of sorts on the bill,” so that Republican Senators can examine the issue more closely. Sen. John »

Snowstorms Are Fun!

Featured imageA few days ago the Minneapolis Star Tribune dutifully hyped a story to the effect that Minnesota is the number one state in the country to retire to. The story was based on a study that assumed the biggest retirement factor is the number of government-sponsored nursing homes, or something like that. In reality, of course, when people retire they tend to move South. How many people do you know »

Are the Social Sciences Scientific?

Featured imageIn principle, the scientific method can be applied to anything, I think. But it works better when you’re talking about, say, physics than when the subject is human behavior. The social sciences derive their prestige (such as they have) mostly by piggy-backing on the hard sciences, but there have been numerous scandals lately where the findings of “scientific” experiments have been impossible to replicate. To be fair, this happens in »

Who Is Hillary Clinton?

Featured imageWho is Hillary Clinton? It turns out even the left doesn’t know. The Nation is advertising a book by this title, collecting many of their essays about the Dowager Countess of Chappaqua. Their description of the book, however, is nearly as comical as a New York Times editorial: Who is Hillary Clinton? is a fascinating time-lapse depiction of the leading Democratic presidential candidate as seen from the left. . . Stop »