The latest Maryland poll, commissioned

The latest Maryland poll, commissioned by the Baltimore Sun and the Bethesda Gazette, shows the state’s two key races “too close to call.” Democrat Kathleen Kennedy Townsend leads Bob Ehrlich 45-43 in the gubernatorial race. In my congressional district, Democrat Chris Van Hollen leads Republican incumbent Connie Morella 43-40. Morella’s campaign says that its internal poll puts her ahead by a margin of 48-42. Morella has much more money left to spend than Van Hollen does. However, my guess right now is that the reconfiguration of the district by the Democrats, coupled with the polarized political climate, will see Morella lose in this overwhelmingly liberal district.