Fred Barnes’ take on the

Fred Barnes’ take on the battle for control of the Senate. The Republicans need a net pick-up of one seat. Barnes identifies four states where the Republicans could gain a seat (New Jersey, Missouri, Minnesota, and South Dakota). Barnes sees Lautenberg as the probable winner in New Jersey and the other three states as basically toss-ups. There are also four states where the Democrats could pick-up a seat (New Hampshire, Colorado, Arkansas, and Texas). Texas is a long-shot, but Barnes sees the other three as toss-ups. Thus, if he is correct in his assessment of the individual races, the math narrowly favors the Democrats. However, there is still a long way to go.