Brian Sullivan points out that in the latest Senate Zogby polls, as reported at Real Clear Politics, John Thune has edged into a narrow lead against Tim Johnson and Jim Talent has opened a significant lead over Jean Carnahan. On the negative side, Zogby reports Paul Wellstone with a sudden nine-point lead over Norm Coleman. This kind of a swing is hard to explain; nothing has happened recently to explain such a dramatic change other than, perhaps, Wellstone’s vote against the Iraq resolution. I don’t believe Zogby’s numbers, but if they reflect a real trend in Wellstone’s direction, it may support my speculation of a few days ago that Wellstone voted against the resolution out of political calculation.
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