Thoughts on the 2004 election

George Bush the elder was perhaps the worst politician to attain the presidency in the twentieth century, although Jimmy Carter was certainly a close rival in that regard. It nevertheless appears that Bush would have won reelection in 1992 were it not for Ross Perot’s independent candidacy or for Casper Weinberger’s indictment by an utterly unscrupulous Independent Counsel the weekend before the election.
Is it plausible that George Bush the younger will lose to a Democratic challenger in wartime? I don’t think so. I find the media excitement over the Democratic contest and George Bush’s alleged vulnerability to be little more than the projection of a wish.
Now comes David Winston in today’s Roll Call to provide some support for these thoughts: “No comparison: Bush poll numbers beat Bill Clinton’s.”