Over at RealClearPolitics John McIntyre lucidly analyzes the electoral landscape in a manner that makes the Bush route to reelection eminently plausible: “Kerry is not the favorite.” Factor in today’s Gallup Poll showing Bush leading Kerry 50-47 (within the poll’s four-point margin of error) and the case for optimism appears strong.
Mix in a dollop of the creative juices of Hugh Hewitt (click here) and apply them to Kerry’s not-very-good week:
I expect a pro-Bush 527 to produce an ad shortly with ominous music, quoting John Kerry in 1979, 1986, and 1992 about his Christmas-Eve-in-Cambodian adventure (Glenn’s post has the details from those three episodes), followed by more ominous music and quotes from his “magic hat” interview in June of 2003, followed by a script read of his spokesman’s recanting the excellent adventure story, followed by a close: “John Kerry wasn’t telling the truth about Vietnam for 30 years. Now he’s asking you to believe him when he says he’s ready to be the commander-in-chief. But we know you can’t trust John Kerry, can you?”
The case for optimism is suddenly transformed from reasonable to compelling, constrained mostly by the Emersonian proviso: “Events are in the saddle and ride mankind.”