If you have any faith in polls, you’d better check out this comprehensive summary of polling data on the California ballot propositions on Real Clear Politics.
Is the prohibition on spending union dues on politics without the union member’s consent leading by 28 points, or trailing by 11? Beats me, but it’s hard to imagine how pollsters can get such wildly divergent numbers. There’s not much point in worrying about it until we get the real numbers, next Tuesday. It’s worth keeping in mind, too, when evaluating national poll figures.