the race between Mitt Romney and John McCain looks too close to call. The RCP average has Romney up by a meaningless 0.7 percent and nearly all of the recent polls that feed into that average are also statistical deadheats.
This report from Michigan by Mark Hemmingway of NRO provides the flavor behind the numbers. It seems that Romney’s pandering (as I see it) on issues related to the auto industry has more resonance than McCain’s “straight talk.” And Romney, as one would expect, has the advantage when it comes to organization. Yet McCain apparently is drawing big, enthusiastic crowds. Turnout among independents (and even Democrats) could be the key. The forecast is for bad weather tomorrow, so perhaps that turnout may be less than McCain hopes for.
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