The Clinton campaign is basically hanging on by a thread at this point. She needs to pull out Michigan and Pennsylvania and then hit one of two scenarios: 1. Win Alaska and New Hampshire or 2. win Arizona. That’s going to be extremely difficult. It’s not impossible, but it’s a straight, if not royal, flush.
Enten’s site puts the probability of a Trump victory at 77 percent. I’m no math whiz, but Enten’s post suggests to me that the probability is greater than that.