Why Biden Can’t Win

I don’t think he can, anyway. Check out these numbers from Rasmussen:

Republicans have a major edge over Democrats in terms of voter excitement, and voters overwhelmingly see President Joe Biden as too old to hold the office..
***
More Republicans (68%) than Democrats (50%) are genuinely excited about the election rematch. Voters not affiliated with either major party are about evenly split between being genuinely excited (44%) and choosing the lesser of two evils (45%).

So, an 18-point advantage in enthusiasm.

Biden is 81 years old, and 57% of voters say he’s too old to be president, while 33% say he’s not too old.

How can Biden win when, apart from his other defects, 57% think he is simply too old for the job? And that perception is not going to weaken between now and November. Biden has signaled that he does not intend to debate Donald Trump. I don’t think he can. He isn’t up to it. The Democrats will try to sell the absurd idea that Biden isn’t afraid to debate, he just doesn’t want to “legitimize” Trump by sharing a stage with him. Right. When Biden refuses to debate Trump, it will seal the conclusion in just about every voter’s mind that he simply isn’t up to the job.

This is interesting, too. So much for the youth vote:

Voters under 40 are more likely than their elders to think Biden is too old to be president.

The income breakdown is troubling for Biden:

Breaking down the electorate by income categories, voters in the highest bracket – earning more than $200,000 a year – are most likely to say Biden is too old to be president.

That is Biden’s base! Conversely:

Those with annual incomes between $30,000 and $50,000 are most likely to say they’re genuinely excited about this year’s election choice.

Those are Trump’s voters. And this data point, like a number of others relating to Hispanics, is intriguing:

Hispanic voters are most likely to say they’re genuinely excited about the choice in this year’s election.

Call me crazy, but I don’t think they are excited to go out and vote for Joe Biden.

Why does Biden have a chance? Solely because he is running against Donald Trump. But I will have more to say about that, again in an optimistic vein, later.

Notice: All comments are subject to moderation. Our comments are intended to be a forum for civil discourse bearing on the subject under discussion. Commenters who stray beyond the bounds of civility or employ what we deem gratuitous vulgarity in a comment — including, but not limited to, “s***,” “f***,” “a*******,” or one of their many variants — will be banned without further notice in the sole discretion of the site moderator.

Responses