Europe Moves to the Right (UPDATED)

The results are coming in for today’s elections for the European Parliament, and so far it appears right-leaning populist parties are routing the establishment centrist and left parties.  Green Parties are taking a disproportionate share of the losses. One of Bloomberg’s headlines in their election coverage package is “Macron and Scholz Get Trounced by Far Right in EU Elections.”

In France, Marine Le Pen’s National Rally won with 32% of the vote — in line with expectations — while Macron’s Renaissance party trailed with 15%, according to a poll published by Ifop. In Germany, Scholz’s Social Democrats crashed to their worst-ever result, falling behind both the opposition conservatives and far-right Alternative for Germany.

Here’s how much the vote has shifted against Macron in France:

Macron has responded by dissolving the National Assembly, and calling for snap elections on June 3o. Macron will continue as president, as the French presidency is elected separately from the National Assembly, but if Le Pen’s party wins the June 30 election, it is likely Macron will have to appoint an opposition prime minister, and might even be forced to resign.

Meanwhile, in Italy Bloomberg reports:

“Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s Brothers of Italy topped polls in another sign of growing far-right influence in the EU, potentially allowing her to have a say over [Ursula] von der Leyen’s future. . . Meloni’s right-wing Brothers of Italy’s party was on course to be the winner, according to a poll by Swg, published by La7, with the party expected to gain 27% to 31% compared to just over 6% in 2019.”

“Sunday night’s victory for Meloni is a significant vote of mid-term confidence from Italians.”

Canadian journalist Leigh Phillips, who covers the environment beat, reports:

“Exit polls from EU elections suggest, as predicted, a huge swing to the far right. Less noticed (but still connected) is the implosion of Greens. French Greens saw their worst performance in 30 yrs. In 2019 German Greens were 2nd place. In 2024 the hard-right AfD is 2nd. . . . The French Greens (Europe-écologie-Les Verts) even faced outright extinction. France has a 5% cut-off to enter the chamber. They very nearly had no seats at all. And the Greens spend A LOT on the European elections. It’s where they win their most votes.”

Is this an omen for our election in November, just as the Brexit vote in 2016 foreshadowed the outcome? I know one center-left thinker who says Yes:

To be updated as more results become available.

UPDATE: Belgium’s prime minister has resigned. Belgium held national election concurrent with the European Parliament election, and the ruling coalition got smashed to bits, too.

UPDATE 2—France resembles the red-blue divide in America (though not to subtle to pick brown as the color for the “far right”):

UPDATE :3 This was my favorite independent Hungarian candidate. No word yet on how he did.

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