2016 Senate Elections

South Dakota: A Beacon to the Nation [Updated With Video]

Featured image Politically, my home state is a model for the rest of the country. As the Associated Press notes, every statewide officeholder is a Republican, and both houses of the state’s legislature have Republican supermajorities. When Senator John Thune ran for re-election in 2010, the Democrats chose not to oppose him. This year–did you realize there was a Senate race going on in South Dakota?–the Democrats have come up with an »

Democrat Agrees to Spanish-Language Debate, Drops Out When He Realizes Opponent Speaks Spanish

Featured image The Florida Senate race has been good for some laughs in a generally grim election season. It pits incumbent Marco Rubio against former Republican Patrick Murphy, whose main qualification is inherited wealth. The candidates agreed to debate on Univision, an important Spanish-language outlet in south Florida. Alex Conant, Rubio’s press guy, sums up what ensued in this tweet: To recap: Dem candidate agrees to Spanish-language debate. Then drops out when »

A word from Ron Johnson

Featured image Senator Ron Johnson of Wisconsin is a conservative stalwart and a Power Line pick in his race for reelection. He sends this message to Power Line readers: This is a critically important election that will decide not only control of the United States Senate, but the future of our country. In Wisconsin, voters have a clear choice — while I am a commonsense conservative plastics manufacturer with a record of »

Ron Johnson rallies in Wisconsin

Featured image Ron Johnson is a conservative hero. He’s also one of Power Line’s “picks” in this year’s congressional elections. Sen. Johnson has been trailing his opponent Russ Feingold throughout the campaign season. At times, Feingold led in the poll averages by about double digits. No longer. Two new polls show Johnson behind by only 2 points (Marquette poll) and 3 points (CBS YouGov). A third poll (Loras) has Johnson leading by »

Hillary to Restrict Second Amendment With Executive Orders?

Featured image James O’Keefe has done it again: he attended a Russ Feingold fundraiser in Silicon Valley, where one of the topics under discussion was gun control. O’Keefe recorded Feingold, the former senator who is running against Republican incumbent Ron Johnson in Wisconsin, suggesting that as president Hillary Clinton would use executive orders to limit gun rights. The hostess of the event added that Hillary “wants to shut it down,” “it” being »

Re-elect Ron Johnson

Featured image Ron Johnson’s victory over Russ Feingold in 2010 was probably the highlight of that election night for me. Unlike in Illinois, the victorious Republican was a strong conservative. Unlike in Pennsylvania, the Republican defeated an entrenched incumbent and one of the most left-wing members of the Senate. Sen. Johnson has not disappointed in office. Despite representing a purple state, Johnson has been a staunch conservative. His lifetime rating by the »

The battle for the Senate

Featured image Real Clear Politics has a nice map that reflects its view of the battle for the Senate. It sees 47 seats as likely to be held by Democrats when the dust settles and 47 likely to be held by Republicans. Six seats are rated toss-ups. The six toss-ups are: Indiana (Young vs. Bayh) Pennsylvania (Toomey vs. McGinty) Nevada (Heck vs. Cortez Masto) North Carolina (Burr vs. Ross) New Hampshire (Ayotte »

Support Sen. Pat Toomey

Featured image George Will calls Sen. Pat Toomey’s race against Kate McGinty in Pennsylvania the “most consequential” of this year’s Senate contests. To understand its importance, look at Larry Sabato’s map of Senate races. As things stand, at least according to Sabato, a Toomey win probably gives Republicans the 50 seats needed to run the Senate if Donald Trump is elected president. And if Hillary Clinton is elected, a Toomey win probably »

The 2016 Power Line Picks

Featured image However one feels about this year’s presidential election, I don’t think conservatives can dispute the importance of the congressional races. If Hillary Clinton wins the presidency, a Republican House and Senate will be crucial to thwarting her left-wing designs. If Trump wins, a Republican House and Senate will be crucial to advancing the conservative part of his agenda (if any) and blocking the liberal part (if any). It’s true that »

Koch-Reid Cage Match in Nevada

Featured image One of the critical races in the battle for control of the Senate is in Nevada, where the appalling Harry Reid is finally retiring as a rich man, after a long career in “public service.” The Democratic nominee is a Reid surrogate named Catherine Cortez Masto, while the Republican is Congressman Joe Heck. In his last years in the Senate, Reid pursued a bizarre vendetta against Charles and David Koch, »

Marco Rubio and John McCain prevail

Featured image As expected, Marco Rubio and John McCain won their respective primaries tonight. Rubio collected 72 percent of the vote. His closest rival won only 18.5 percent. McCain faced stronger opposition in Kelli Ward, a Tea Party style candidate. However, he prevailed by a 54-36 margin. Rubio will face Rep. Patrick Murphy. He crushed the loathsome Alan Grayson 59-18. Murphy, age 33, is a pretty strong candidate, I think. He tries »

Return to sender

Featured image Evan Bayh is a former Indiana governor and Senator. Since he left office, however, he has made his living as a connected Washington attorney at the K Street office of the McGuireWoods firm; he is a partner at the firm. According to the firm’s bio, which Bayh himself seems to have had a hand in: “[Bayh] serves as a strategic advisor to many of the firm’s most significant clients, particularly »

Trump running behind GOP Senate candidates in many key states

Featured image In this post, I expressed doubt that Donald Trump’s candidacy will have a significantly adverse effect on other Republicans running this year, unless Hillary Clinton wins by a landslide (which may happen). My post prompted a reader to send me some polls through which we can compare Trump’s standing in swing states with that of the Republican Senate candidates running in them. Here are the RCP averages: Ohio Trump -2.6 »

Donald Trump’s down ballot impact

Featured image Charlie Cook doubts that a Donald Trump defeat, which he considers quite likely, would have a significantly adverse effect on other Republicans running this year. Writing in the National Journal, Cook states, “even if Clin­ton wins by a much lar­ger mar­gin than, say, Obama’s win over Rom­ney four years ago, I don’t think the down-bal­lot im­plic­a­tions would be that huge.” Cook gives two reasons for this assessment. First, there aren’t »

The “Biggest Loser” Election?

Featured image Donald Trump owes some of his contemporary fame and notoriety to his hit reality TV show “The Apprentice.” But if this election cycle were re-imagined as a reality TV show (which doesn’t actually require “re-imagining” since it is all too real), it would have to be as a new iteration of “The Biggest Loser.” The news today is that each person has huge negatives with voters. One poll shows Trump »

Grassley not hurt by Garland standoff

Featured image When President Obama nominated Merrick Garland for the Supreme Court, I think he understood that the Republican Senate would not confirm the judge, at least not before the November election. Obama hoped instead that Republican intransigence would hurt GOP Senators up for reelection this Fall. Blocking Garland required the assistance of Sen. Grassley, the chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee. Grassley is up for reelection. I never seen good evidence »

Maryland Dems nominate Van Hollen for the Senate

Featured image Earlier this month, I wrote about the Democratic Senate primary in Maryland. It pitted Rep. Chris Van Hollen, a close ally of Nancy Pelosi, and Rep. Donna Edwards, an African-American running to Van Hollen’s left. The race turned pretty bitter. I viewed the dust-up between a cautious white leftist and a black radical as a sign of things to come. In another sign of things to come, Edwards touted her »