Outlier, or Breakthrough?

Republicans have jumped to an astounding 12-point lead in the Rasmussen generic ballot, the biggest lead the GOP has enjoyed in the decade-plus that Rasmussen has been asking the generic question. It could be a fluke, but the concept of an “outlier” is relative. Not long ago, a poll that showed Republicans even with Democrats among likely voters would have been an outlier. These days, they are consistently seven to ten points ahead among likely voters. If this latest result isn’t a fluke, we are in for en epic November; even if it does turn out to be an anomaly, things are shaping up very well for Republicans.

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