How badly is Bernie burned?

Featured image Going into tonight, I thought that Bernie Sanders needed to win the Iowa caucus to sustain his long shot campaign against Hillary Clinton (absent FBI/DOJ action against Hillary). After all, Iowa is tailor-made for a Sanders-style insurgent. If Sanders couldn’t win there, where (other than in his home territory) could he win? Thus, even a five point defeat, say, would be huge blow, however heroically it could be portrayed given »

Three tickets out of Iowa

Featured image“Three tickets out of Iowa.” It sounds like a movie starring, say, Glenn Ford, Henry Fonda (or Peter in the remake), and Van Heflin. Actually, it’s the conventional wisdom regarding Iowa caucuses. When there’s a large field, Iowa punches three candidates’ ticket to New Hampshire and beyond, or so they say. The conventional wisdom happens to hold up well this year. As John says, after Iowa it looks like a »

The Iowa caucuses: Who’s winning? [UPDATED (continuously)]

Featured imageHillary Clinton is slightly ahead in the Democratic caucuses. She’s up 51.5 percent to 48 percent with 36 percent of the precincts reporting. Earlier in the evening, her margin was bigger. On the Republican side, Cruz and Trump are just about even in the raw vote, with Rubio well back in third place. However, David Wasserman of FiveThirtyEight thinks that the early returns “are most likely tiny, more rural caucus »

After Iowa, It’s a Three Man Race [Updated]

Featured imageWith 75% of precincts reporting, the current vote total on the GOP side is 28% for Ted Cruz, 25% for Donald Trump and 22% for Marco Rubio. Sure, we need to be cautious: both Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum are former winners of the Iowa caucuses. Still, this year is different. The RNC anointed the Iowa caucuses as the opening act in this year’s drama, and the candidates have devoted »

Obama Made a Terrible Deal With Cuba, Too

Featured imageThe Washington Post editorial board documents the pathetic failure of the Obama administration’s Cuba policy under the bleak headline: “Failure In Cuba.” Whether it is a failure, of course, depends on what you think Obama was trying to achieve. President Obama’s opening to Cuba seems to be failing to live up to its declared goals. When the end to a half-century of hostility was announced in December 2014, the proclaimed »

The Iowa caucuses: How’s the turnout? [UPDATED]

Featured imageFor the last few days, I’ve been reading that there hasn’t been a large amount of new registration in Iowa and that, therefore, turnout for the caucuses might not be massive. It’s too early to dispute this view, but reports are that at two sites anyway, turnout is exceeding expectations. Tim Alberta of NRO says that in Waukee, a Des Moines suburb, turnout is “WAY higher than organizers expected” and »

And Now for Something Completely Cleesey

Featured imageWe’re reported here before about how more and more comics such as Jerry Seinfeld won’t appear on college campuses because they’ve become politically correct humor-free zones, so it’s nice to see the estimable John Cleese showing up to join the chorus, admitting that he, too, is reluctant to appear any more on college campuses. Shouldn’t this become an embarrassment to college administrators and trustees at some point? »

Clinton’s email defenses continue to erode

Featured imageHillary Clinton has relied on two main defenses when questioned about her use of a private email server and the potential damage it posed to our national security. First, her mantra is that she never sent or received material that was marked classified when she sent or received it. Second, she says that there is a dispute between the State Department and the intelligence community as to whether the information »

Today’s Outstanding Academic Gibberish

Featured imageToday’s outstanding academic gibberish comes to us courtesy of Vassar, where Wednesday night you can take in the following lecture: Inhumanist Biopolitics: How Palestine Matters. Lecture by Professor Jasbir Puar This lecture theorizes oscillating relations between disciplinary, pre-emptive, and increasingly prehensive forms of power that shape human and non-human materialities in Palestine. Calculation, computing, informational technologies, surveillance, and militarization are all facets of prehensive control. Further, the saturation of spatial »

Des Moines Register poll shows Trump and Clinton leading

Featured imageThe final Des Moines Register poll, released over the weekend, shows Donald Trump leading the Republican field in Iowa. He has 28 percent support compared to 23 percent for Ted Cruz and 15 percent for Marco Rubio. Among Democrats, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders by a narrow 45-42 tally. If this poll accurately predicts the outcome, it won’t be a happy night for me. I’m rooting for Sanders and either »

Are the dark ages over?

Featured imagePresident Obama’s efforts to ally the United States with the Islamic Republic of Iran is a grave matter, eventuating in the bizarre non-agreement agreement funding and facilitating Iran’s nuclear program. The Islamic Republic of Iran is ruled by an extraordinarily evil regime that avails itself of no tact or subtlety in the expression of its malign intentions. At the same time, it remains the leading state sponsor of terrorism and »

Guardian Declares Discussion of Immigration Off Limits

Featured imageThe Guardian, Britain’s left-wing newspaper, has decided to ban or limit comments on articles that deal with immigration, race or Islam. The paper’s explanation is interesting: Certain subjects – race, immigration and Islam in particular – attract an unacceptable level of toxic commentary, believes Mary Hamilton, our executive editor, audience. By “race, immigration and Islam,” she means Islamic immigration. This is of course a controversial subject. What does she mean »

Finally! A Good Reason to Vote for Trump

Featured imageThis Politico story makes the case that a Trump presidency could do a lot of good even if he never showed up for work: Poll: 25 percent of federal employees would quit under Trump presidency By Nick Gass About 1-in-4 federal employees would consider leaving their jobs if Donald Trump is elected president, according the results of a recent survey conducted by the Government Business Council. Overall, about 2-in-3, or 67 percent »

How secret is it? (8)

Featured imageThe mind-boggling saga of Hillary Clinton’s use of an unsecured private email server for the conduct of official business as Secretary of State continues. Indeed, it continues to gather momentum. Today Catherine Herridge and Pamela Browne reveal that the 22 Top Secret emails entirely withheld from production by the Department of State this past Friday included “operational intelligence” that involves espionage sources and methods, adding that lives have been put »

Is Martin O’Malley the most important man in the Democratic race?

Featured imageThat’s what Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post says. His assessment is based on the way Iowa’s Democratic caucuses work. The Democrats use a “viability threshold.” If a candidate doesn’t reach it at a particular caucus, his supporters are offered the opportunity to re-caucus on behalf of a candidate who is viable. (I don’t believe the Republicans use this procedure these days.) O’Malley, who is at around 3 percent in »

How secret is it? (7)

Featured imageAt NR, attorney Shannen Coffin traces the evolution of Hillary’s Clinton’s defenses in the scandal involving the use of an unsecured private server for official email during her tenure as Secretary of State. Shannen’s column is “Email ‘did not originate with me’–Hillary blames her underlings, again.” The defenses proffered by Clinton are shifting and shifty. Shannen’s column takes account of Clinton’s appearance yesterday on ABC’s This Week with former (Bill) »

Live from Council Bluffs, it’s Donald Trump

Featured imageNebraska attorney David Begley has been our intrepid and prolific reporter covering the appearances of the presidential candidates in Iowa in advance of the caucuses tomorrow night. When Donald Trump visited Council Bluffs this afternoon, Dave was on hand. C-SPAN was too; I’ve embedded the C-SPAN video below. Given the iron law of time and the calendar, I’m guessing this will be Dave’s final report from Iowa for us this »