Rasmussen’s latest numbers are looking up a bit for Republicans. Keep in mind that this is a likely voter poll:
The Democratic Party now leads Republicans by four points in the battle to control the House of Representatives.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that if the elections for Congress were held today, 46% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democratic candidate, while 42% would vote for the Republican. Five percent (5%) say they would vote for some other candidate, while another eight percent (7%) are not sure. …
The advantage for Democrats has decreased two points since May, when they led by six points, 47% to 41%.
It could be worse, and we have some time to go before the election. But we also have considerable distance to go before these numbers are actually good:
The position for Republicans is now a net seven points worse than before the November 2024 election, when they led by three points (48% to 45%) and won just a razor-thin House majority.
So signs continue to point to a likely Democratic House majority following the midterms.
