How Trump Could Win

First of all, kudos to Roger Simon of Pajamas Media, who said last summer that Trump would be the nominee and is in a strong position to win the general election. He takes a well-deserved victory lap today:

That seemed a bold prediction at the time — that the presidency, not just the Republican nomination, which he now has, was Trump’s to lose. But it really wasn’t so courageous. It was almost obvious, if you would let yourself look. And equally obviously, it still holds true. With all the sound and fury, nothing has changed.

Donald Trump did alter the nature of American politics, possibly forever, but at least for the foreseeable future, the moment he came down that Trump Tower escalator to announce his campaign. And he will, most likely, be the next president of the United States.

Hillary is out today with two new ads showing all of the Republicans who trashed Trump in the last few months. These ads might well reinforce the Never Trumpers among Republicans, but I can easily see them backfiring with independents and disaffected Democrats. It sends the message that Trump really is truly independent of the hated Republican establishment.

Notice, incidentally, that the exit polls yesterday showed Trump beating Hillary on the issue of who would be better able to handle the economy. If the economy is the leading issue in November (as it usually is), then this race is a lot closer than currently looks in the polls. And by the way, have you noticed that Trump consistently runs ahead of his polls? Just as there were “shy Tories” in Britain last year, I suspect there are a lot of shy Trump voters right now.

Finally, Howard Fineman at the Puffington Host lists “Seven Reasons Donald Trump Could Win.” It is a fairly obvious and unremarkable account, but at the very bottom there appears this:

Editor’s note: Donald Trump regularly incites political violence and is a serial liarrampant xenophoberacistmisogynist and birther who has repeatedly pledged to ban all Muslims — 1.6 billion members of an entire religion — from entering the U.S.

That’s objective, non-biased media for you! Expect a lot more of this right through election day. I suspect it will be worth at least a million votes for Trump.

Responses