2022 Election

Biden: Still Sinking

Featured image Today’s bad polling news for Biden comes from the Marist Poll, which pegs Biden’s approval rating at 39 percent: President Joe Biden’s post-State of the Union job approval rating bounce has come back down. 39% of Americans approve of the job President Biden is doing in office, down from 47% immediately following his address. Biden’s current job approval rating is identical to the score he received in February and matches »

The Freeport Question of Our Time

Featured image The “Freeport Question” refers to Abraham Lincoln’s devastating question posed to Stephen Douglas in his second debate against Douglas on August 27, 1858, held in Freeport, Illinois. The question was seemingly simple: “Can the people of a Territory in any lawful way, against the wishes of any citizen of the United States, exclude slavery from their limits prior to the formation of a State constitution?” Douglas’s answer split the Democratic »

Republicans Still On Pace for Midterm Rout

Featured image Rasmussen finds the GOP with an 11-point lead on the generic Congressional ballot, 50% to 39%. That is down slightly from February’s freakish 13-point lead, but is more than enough to translate into major gains. The GOP edge is fueled in large part by independents, who say they will vote for the Republican congressional candidate by a 46%-27% margin. The demographic breakdowns are interesting. The current survey continues to reflect »

Earthquake [Updated]

Featured image Earlier today Steve noted a Wall Street Journal poll that contains good news for Republicans and bad news for Democrats. There is an additional feature of that poll that deserves notice, as highlighted in the Journal’s article about it: The survey also found Republicans making gains among minority groups. By 9 percentage points, Hispanic voters in the new poll said they would back a Republican candidate for Congress over a »

Gas and Oil: Anywhere But Here

Featured image The Biden administration’s energy policies could not possibly be less coherent. The administration, from its first day in office, moved aggressively to suppress fossil fuel production in the U.S. The inevitable result has been a sharp rise in the prices of oil and gas. Having caused the problem, the administration has now set out to remedy it by buying gas and oil wherever it can be found–from Russia, notwithstanding the »

The Realignment Continues

Featured image Check out these numbers from Texas. The map shows counties where votes cast by Republican early voters already exceed the 2018 Republican vote totals. Dark red counties are ones where early voting has already more than doubled 2018 Republican totals: The number of Republican early voters has already exceeded the total number of 2018 Republican voters (early+ED) in 18 counties, and that was as of Wednesday. Several more will cross »

Biden gets friendly but conflicting advice

Featured image It’s a bad sign for Joe Biden and the Democrats that their friends are urgently appealing for a course correction. It’s an even worse sign that the corrections being offered are mutually exclusive. Washington Post columnist Greg Sargent advises Biden and the Democrats to tout their alleged achievements in bolstering the U.S. economy. Sargent acknowledges that right now the American public doesn’t see it that way. He cites poll results »

The Liberal Retreat From Mandates (2)

Featured image I wrote earlier today about the rather sudden reversal on the part of blue state politicians, who apparently think “the science” has changed so that vaccine and mask mandates can now be done away with. The real driver, of course, is politics. Glenn Reynolds takes up this theme in his New York Post column. Many links in the original are omitted here: Lockdowns — which the World Health Organization disavows »

Hispanic women warming to GOP in Texas

Featured image So says Politico, and it seems to be true. Certainly, Donald Trump made inroads among Hispanic voters in 2020 — both in Texas and elsewhere. And the GOP achieved further gains with this ethnic group in Texas elections held in 2021. There are indications that Hispanic women are leading the charge. In Texas, according to Politico: Hispanic women now serve as party chairs in the state’s four southernmost border counties, »

Massive Shift From Dems to GOP

Featured image Gallup’s polling finds a massive shift in party allegiance from the Democrats to the Republicans over the course of 2021. The rapidity of the shift is remarkable; Democrats began the year with a nine-point advantage, and the year ended with Republicans holding a five-point edge. Gallup’s data points are quarterly during the calendar year 2021: Party affiliation has usually tilted toward the Democrats for decades. But why did they enjoy »

Larry Hogan for Senate?

Featured image Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell reportedly has been urging Maryland governor Larry Hogan to run for the Senate. So far, according to this report, Hogan has pushed back against the urgings of McConnell and Sen. Rick Scott, head of the National Republican Senatorial Committee. But McConnell isn’t giving up. He even enlisted his wife, Elaine Chao, to talk to Hogan’s wife, Yumi Hogan, about the matter. Could Hogan defeat Van »

E.J. Dionne’s bad advice to Democrats

Featured image E.J. Dionne advises Democrats on how they can avoid a “thumpin'” in this year’s congressional elections. Notice that Dionne isn’t offering a prescription for retaining a majority in the House. He’s merely talking about how not to “get crushed.” Dionne thereby exhibits realism. However, the same cannot be said of his strategy for escaping a shellacking. Dionne says the Democrats’ best hope is to make the 2022 election about democracy. »

Newton’s first law, etc.

Featured image A look, a book, and a crook (or a crock). What is the question, according to Carnac the Magnificent? I don’t know, but it is the miscellany that I need this morning. Thinking of Carnac makes me laugh. I think I was studying high school physics when I heard him divine the question to the answer: “One fig to a cookie.” The question: “What is Newton’s first law?” It still »

How interested are Democrats in winning?

Featured image Not long ago, I would have said they are obsessed with it. That’s the most plausible explanation for nominating Joe Biden to run for president. But the Dems’ obsession with defeating Donald Trump hasn’t seemed to carry over into 2021-22. The most plausible explanation for some of the positions they are taking — both in Congress and at the White House — is that left-wing ideology comes first and second, »

Democratic congresswoman carjacked in Philadelphia

Featured image Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon represents Pennsylvania’s fifth congressional district. She was elected in 2018, as part of the wave that voter dissatisfaction with Donald Trump produced. The district encompasses part of South Philadelphia and a chunk of the city’s suburbs including all of Delaware County. Today, Scanlon was carjacked at gunpoint at a park in Philadelphia. The crime occurred around 2:45 p.m. — thus in broad daylight. Scanlon complied with »

House Dem retirements, an update

Featured image The number of House Democrats who are retiring or running for other office has now reached 22, compared to only 11 Republicans. The most recent three to abandon the sinking ship are Stephanie Murphy of Florida, Albio Sires of New Jersey, and Alan Lowenthal of California. Murphy’s decision is probably the most significant of the three. That’s Chris Cillizza’s view. He writes: She is widely regarded as a rising star »

Crime & The Sideshow Bob Democrats

Featured image Our friend Charles Lipson wrote in The Spectator a few days ago about how the problem of rising crime is hurting Democrats and threatening to add further to their midterm election woes, but relates that he got some reader feedback wondering why this is necessarily so on the national level since crime is chiefly a state and local government responsibility. Leave aside that much of the crime explosion has occurred in »