2022 Election

Larry Hogan for Senate?

Featured image Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell reportedly has been urging Maryland governor Larry Hogan to run for the Senate. So far, according to this report, Hogan has pushed back against the urgings of McConnell and Sen. Rick Scott, head of the National Republican Senatorial Committee. But McConnell isn’t giving up. He even enlisted his wife, Elaine Chao, to talk to Hogan’s wife, Yumi Hogan, about the matter. Could Hogan defeat Van »

E.J. Dionne’s bad advice to Democrats

Featured image E.J. Dionne advises Democrats on how they can avoid a “thumpin'” in this year’s congressional elections. Notice that Dionne isn’t offering a prescription for retaining a majority in the House. He’s merely talking about how not to “get crushed.” Dionne thereby exhibits realism. However, the same cannot be said of his strategy for escaping a shellacking. Dionne says the Democrats’ best hope is to make the 2022 election about democracy. »

Newton’s first law, etc.

Featured image A look, a book, and a crook (or a crock). What is the question, according to Carnac the Magnificent? I don’t know, but it is the miscellany that I need this morning. Thinking of Carnac makes me laugh. I think I was studying high school physics when I heard him divine the question to the answer: “One fig to a cookie.” The question: “What is Newton’s first law?” It still »

How interested are Democrats in winning?

Featured image Not long ago, I would have said they are obsessed with it. That’s the most plausible explanation for nominating Joe Biden to run for president. But the Dems’ obsession with defeating Donald Trump hasn’t seemed to carry over into 2021-22. The most plausible explanation for some of the positions they are taking — both in Congress and at the White House — is that left-wing ideology comes first and second, »

Democratic congresswoman carjacked in Philadelphia

Featured image Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon represents Pennsylvania’s fifth congressional district. She was elected in 2018, as part of the wave that voter dissatisfaction with Donald Trump produced. The district encompasses part of South Philadelphia and a chunk of the city’s suburbs including all of Delaware County. Today, Scanlon was carjacked at gunpoint at a park in Philadelphia. The crime occurred around 2:45 p.m. — thus in broad daylight. Scanlon complied with »

House Dem retirements, an update

Featured image The number of House Democrats who are retiring or running for other office has now reached 22, compared to only 11 Republicans. The most recent three to abandon the sinking ship are Stephanie Murphy of Florida, Albio Sires of New Jersey, and Alan Lowenthal of California. Murphy’s decision is probably the most significant of the three. That’s Chris Cillizza’s view. He writes: She is widely regarded as a rising star »

Crime & The Sideshow Bob Democrats

Featured image Our friend Charles Lipson wrote in The Spectator a few days ago about how the problem of rising crime is hurting Democrats and threatening to add further to their midterm election woes, but relates that he got some reader feedback wondering why this is necessarily so on the national level since crime is chiefly a state and local government responsibility. Leave aside that much of the crime explosion has occurred in »

Jeff Roe’s mission improbable

Featured image The Washington Post reports that Donald Trump is unhappy he’s not getting enough credit for Glenn Youngkin’s victory in Virginia. Keeping in mind that Trump also wants credit for preventing the destruction of Israel, the Post’s report is, for my money, the least surprising news of the week. Youngkin won his race because he brilliantly executed a two-step. When he sought the nomination, he embraced Trump. In the general election, »

Can We Have the Election In January?

Featured image Bad news continues to pile up for the Democrats, as early returns on the Biden administration are dismal, and support for their Congressional initiatives is minimal. Rasmussen’s survey of likely voters finds the GOP with a nine-point lead, 48%-39%, on the generic ballot. This is down a little from November’s unprecedented 13-point lead–likely a statistical fluke–but still extraordinary by historical standards. Normally, if the Republicans are even or within a »

Get ready, bal

Featured image Last night President Biden delivered “Remarks at a Holiday Celebration for the Democratic National Committee.” This passage reflects Biden’s pep talk on inflation: I proposed a way to deal with this [tornado damage] in the biggest investment we’ve ever proposed in our country’s history. I worry about the next town that’s destroyed, the next family that loses a home, the next person who drowns in a once-in-a-century flood. These are »

Poll News: It’s All Good

Featured image CNBC released poll results today that reinforce what we are seeing everywhere: the Democrats are in trouble. Start with Joe Biden. CNBC says that Biden’s “overall approval rating stabilized at a low level of 41%.” We see the same thing in the Rasmussen Survey, where Biden’s approval rating sank to 42% some time ago and sits there now like a dead cat. But I think those numbers are misleadingly high. »

Good news on the Latino vote, poll shows it’s evenly split [UPDATED]

Featured image According to a new poll by the Wall Street Journal, Latino voters are evenly divided between Democrats and Republicans heading into next year’s election. Asked which party they would back in the midterms if the election were today, 37 percent said they would support the Republican congressional candidate and 37 percent said they would favor the Democrat. 22 percent said they were undecided. Last year, Latinos gave Democratic House candidates »

Go Long on Democrat Panic Buttons

Featured image The Wall Street Journal has started its own new polling project, using a bipartisan team of well-known pollsters. And their first report this morning has nothing but bad news for President Biden and Democrats: WASHINGTON—Voters are heading into the midterm election year in a sour mood, pessimistic about the economy and short on confidence in the leadership of President Biden and his party on the issues that concern them most, »

The political impact of reversing Roe, two views

Featured image In this post, I speculated about the likely political fallout in 2022 of a decision by the Supreme Court that year to overturn Roe v. Wade. I suggested that such a decision would energize Democrats (who likely will be in need of it) and might help swing a Senate seat or two in their favor. This, in turn, might enable Democrats to maintain control of the Senate. I concluded, however, »

Dobbs and the mainstream media

Featured image Heads exploded at the Washington Post yesterday thanks to the oral argument at the Supreme Court in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, the abortion case. Evidence of the explosion was scattered all over the Post’s front section. In the opinion pages alone, there were four op-eds about the case, plus an editorial. One of the op-eds was by Billie Jean King. Her piece was called “My abortion story shows »

Another House Dem will abandon the sinking ship

Featured image It’s an important one — Peter DeFazio, whom Politico describes as “the Oregon firebrand who leads the House’s transportation committee.” DeFazio says he’ll retire to “focus on my health and well-being.” Politico attributes the decision in no small part to the impending takeover of the House by the GOP. The two explanations aren’t inconsistent. Losing his chairmanship and being in the minority would not be good for DeFazio’s well-being. DeFazio »

House Dems desert sinking ship

Featured image There isn’t much doubt that Democrats will lose control of the House of Representatives following next year’s election. This article by CNN’s Chris Cillizza strongly suggests that House Democrats don’t doubt their impending loss of control. Cillizza observes that 18 House Dems have decided to retire or run for higher office in 2022. Only 11 House Republicans will be moving on. By contrast, at this point in the 2020 election »