2022 Election

Mister, Can You Spare a Dime?

Featured image Times are tough, although the elites that run our country probably haven’t noticed. But for most of us, the rising costs of gasoline, electricity, manufactured goods and groceries, along with a decline in the value of our savings and the prospect of paying for trillions in new federal deficits, are alarming. How worried are Americans? This worried: Rasmussen finds that 57% of Americans are expecting a depression: The latest Rasmussen »

On Trafalgar’s Minnesota poll: Howard Root comments

Featured image I’m observing Rosh Hashanah today. My friend Howard Root is lending a hand to a few Republican campaigns this year. Yesterday I asked him if he would respond to my comments on Trafalgar’s Minnesota poll that I could schedule to post this morning. Howard offered these observations (and I thank him for helping me take the day off): 1. What I find so refreshing about Robert Cahaly and his Trafalgar »

Toasted Biden and the Polls

Featured image John notes below the latest “mainstream” polls showing both Biden and the Democrats reaching the burnt toast stage of this election cycle, but amidst the lingering questions about the accuracy of polling these days, it should be noted that the outcome of the midterms presents a huge dilemma for Democrats no matter how the election turns out. If Democrats get drowned in a wave, they face the serious problem of »

Give Keith Ellison the Boot

Featured image As Scott has noted, this year’s election offers a real opportunity to end Keith Ellison’s disgraceful career in public life. In fact, the most recent poll shows Republican challenger Jim Schultz with a narrow lead over Ellison for Attorney General. I think all of Minnesota’s statewide races will go down to the wire this year. As always, the Democrats have a huge cash advantage. Political insiders say that Governor Tim »

On Trafalgar’s Minnesota poll

Featured image I have absolutely no feel for the state of play in Minnesota’s elections — early voting commenced this past Friday — so I was especially interested in the results of the Alpha News/Trafalgar Group poll results of our statewide races that Alpha reported here last week. I believe that the poll is the best out there and that the results are accurate within the margin of error as of the »

Buckeye blind

Featured image Ohio Democratic Senate candidate Tim Ryan is a 25-carat phony “moderate.” He had the luxury of running a general election style campaign through the primary season, so he has had the time to perfect his act. In just the past two years, however, “he’s voted to federalize elections, admit Washington, D.C., as the 51st state, impose onerous new background check requirements on gun owners, and grant mass amnesty to millions »

A conspiracy so immense

Featured image We had doubts about the efficacy of the reality principle working its will on Stacey Abrams in connection with her refusal to concede her 2018 loss to Brian Kemp. Running against Kemp again this year, she is drowning in the sea of her own self-love. Working a new angle on the Democrats’ devotion to the sacrament of abortion, Abrams spoke at the Ray Charles Performing Arts Center in Atlanta yesterday. »

Cahaly says

Featured image Trafalgar’s poll results in Minnesota and elsewhere this year stand out from the pack, as they have done generally in recent years. Dan McLaughlin’s excellent NRO column on Trafalgar’s methodology as explained by Trafalgar founder Robert Cahaly includes this comment on the current state of play: On the issue environment, Cahaly says that he hasn’t seen any issue in a long time that motivates people as much as opposition to »

Trafalgar polls Minnesota

Featured image Polls conducted by Robert Cahaly’s Trafalgar Group are the ones to which I pay most attention. While other polls have become a recurring joke, Trafalgar’s have established an impressive record in recent years. Trafalgar, for example, was one of the only pollsters to predict President Trump’s 2016 victory and was the second most accurate pollster in 2020. While other polls in Minnesota and elsewhere have given Democrats heart this summer, »

Pensées à la Pelosi

Featured image Yesterday Punchbowl News featured an insidery report on Chuck Schumer speaking to a few of his Democratic colleagues over dinner at a DC restaurant. This morning Punchbowl features an insidery report on Nancy Pelosi sharing concerns internally with her Democratic caucus: During a closed-door meeting of House Democrats on Wednesday morning, Speaker Nancy Pelosi relayed to her members something she’s been hearing from donors. Donors have been asking Pelosi why »

The GOP Learning How to Fight (Updated)

Featured image When I first saw a NY Times headline yesterday that read “This Jellyfish Can Live Forever,” I thought it was about Republican office holders. But no, it refers to the real ocean-going invertebrates passively borne along by the currents, though it is easy to see how one might be misled, since this oceanographic description applies fully to Beltway Republicans so much of the time. And when I saw the headline that »

Schuminations

Featured image Punchbowl News is one of the insider online outlets that facilitates the Democrats’ Gleichschaltung. The founders describe the venture here. I subscribe to the morning newsletter via the Punchbowl home page when they established the site. In this morning’s edition — it can be accessed here at the moment — Punchbowl gurus Jake Sherman and John Bresnahan pass on the the Schuminations of the Senate Majority Leaders speaking to colleagues »

After last night

Featured image New Hampshire held its late party primaries yesterday. The only interesting races were on the Republican side and Democrats had a hand in two of them. In the Senate contest to pick a challenger to vulnerable incumbent Maggie Hassan, Don Bolduc faced off against Chuck Morse. Democrats supported Bolduc because he is the less viable candidate. With 87 percent of the vote tabulated, Bolduc leads Morse by about 1300 votes »

I’ve Seen Gaslighting and I’ve Seen the Stock Market Tank

Featured image The Dow was down 1,276 points today, or 4%. Why? The August inflation number came in worse than expected: The new data showed the consumer-price index rose 8.3% in August from the same month a year ago. That was down from 8.5% in July and 9.1% in June—the highest inflation rate in four decades. But on a month-to-month basis, the figures showed inflation accelerating in August, dashing investors’ hopes that »

Pay No Attention to the Pollster Behind the Curtain

Featured image The dominant narrative of the Democrat-Media-Complex is that Joe Biden is coming back—look, his approval rating has risen above 40 percent! The “generic ballot” for the House shows Dems back in the lead! Democratic Senate candidates are leading their weakling Republican challengers in several red states! (Although in fact several recent polls reflect rising GOP Senate candidate strength in key races, but never mind.) Independent voters are breaking back to »

The squirming of Mark Kelly

Featured image Blake Masters is running against incumbent Arizona Democratic Senator Mark Kelly in the upcoming November elections. Running for reelection in a purple state, Kelly impersonates a moderate and may even be one in some sense, although he is reliable Democratic vote at a 100 percent level of certainty. In this he presents a telling contrast with his Arizona colleague, Kyrsten Sinema. Kelly nevertheless holds himself out as Mr. Bipartisan. I »

Fetterwoman!

Featured image In what must be this year’s strangest Senate race, Dr. Mehmet Oz, who I take it is some kind of television personality, is taking on John Fetterman in Pennsylvania. Fetterman is recovering from a stroke, from which he is said to be suffering after-effects, and he refuses to debate Oz or do much of anything in public. Fetterman is a rather strange guy at the best of times: But now »