Dump Biden?

Speculation that the Democrats would dump Joe Biden from their 2024 ticket has been rife for a long time. For quite a while, I thought it was almost inevitable. Rasmussen finds that currently, most Democrats wouldn’t mind seeing Joe go:

In February, 48% of Democratic voters said they would approve of their party finding another candidate to replace Biden, but that number has now risen to 54%, including 25% of Democrats who would Strongly Approve of replacing Biden before the election.

The question was, “Would you approve or disapprove of Democrats finding another candidate to replace Joe Biden before the election in November?” It is remarkable that an incumbent president can be so weak in his own party.

And the cross tabs look even worse for the Democrats. Both minorities and young people would like to see Joe go:

Forty-five percent (45%) of whites, 58% of black voters and Hispanics, and 50% of other minorities would at least somewhat approve of Democrats finding another candidate to replace Biden before the election in November. …

Sixty-nine percent (69%) of voters under 40 would approve of Democrats replacing Biden as their candidate….

Ouch. It will be hard to drive turnout with numbers like that. The problem, of course, is that the Democrats don’t have an attractive alternative:

Among Democratic voters, Michelle Obama (21%) is the favorite to replace Biden, followed by Harris (17%) and Hillary Clinton (11%).

When your top alternative is someone who 1) isn’t a politician, and 2) is basically known for being someone else’s wife, the cupboard is bare.

In a normal year, you would say this is a hopeless picture for the Democrats. But they have a lifeline: Biden, or whoever they might choose to replace him, gets to run against Donald Trump, whom half the country wouldn’t vote for under any circumstances, and who–no matter how absurd the charges against him may be–is likely about to be branded a “convicted felon.” It is hard to see how either candidate can win.

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