2020 Election

An Orwellian nightmare for pollsters

Featured image In a post earlier today, Steve discussed a poll that finds 62 percent of Americans saying they have political opinions they are afraid to share out of fear of giving offense or losing their jobs. This finding raises potential problems for pollsters. I say “potential” because we don’t know whether, or to what extent, the fear of expressing political opinions extends to conversations with pollsters. No one risks losing a »

Thiessen’s Trump

Featured image Last week President Trump gave AEI’s Marc Thiessen an interview in the Oval Office for Thiessen’s Washington Post column. Thiessen reported on the interview in two columns that AEI has now posted in “An interview with President Trump: ‘The real hate is the hate from the other side.’” From column 1, Trump speaks on the left and the statue follies: “They’re trying to take everything down. And I think they’re »

Who Says Hollywood Doesn’t Make Great Movies Any More?

Featured image I don’t know who Power Tie is, but whoever he/she/they are, Power Tie is maybe my second-favorite YouTuber at the moment. This “trailer” for “2020: The Movie” is genius work: »

Tuberville defeats Sessions [With Comment by John]

Featured image Last night, as expected, Jeff Sessions lost the Republican Senate primary in Alabama to former football coach Tommy Tuberville. It wasn’t close. Sessions, a gracious man, was gracious in defeat. He strongly endorsed Tuberville and took no shots at President Trump, who played the key role in bringing about the former Senator’s defeat. Trump turned against Sessions because, as Attorney General, Sessions recused himself from the Russia investigation. I won’t »

A Voice of Sanity and Truth

Featured image Congressman Dean Phillips represents Minnesota’s Third Congressional District. On June 22, he emailed his supporters, stating that “Racism is deeply ingrained…in our institutions, and in our everyday lives.” He posted a similar message on Facebook and has created a “resource guide” on his website for “racial justice allyship” to “understand our nation’s” black experience and combat “systemic racism” in America. Kendall Qualls is the Republican nominee running against Phillips. Qualls »

Daniel Gade to face Mark Warner. He’s worthy of your support.

Featured image Yesterday, Virginia Republicans selected Daniel Gade to run for the Senate seat held by Mark Warner. Gade easily won the primary, collecting more than two-thirds of the vote. I wrote about Daniel here. He is a retired U.S. Army lieutenant colonel, who served for more than 20 years. In 2004, he deployed to Iraq where he led his unit on many combat missions, was wounded by enemy fire twice, and »

The Enthusiasm Gap

Featured image Are Democrats fired up for the 2020 election? Undoubtedly. But are they as fired up as Republicans? I don’t think so. A number of polls have found more intensity on the GOP side, but what makes me think of this question is (via InstaPundit) this headline: Trump campaign says ticket requests for Oklahoma rally surpass 800,000. That’s enthusiasm! Then there is the fact that, even though there was no race »

Blacks Like Trump

Featured image Donald Trump has been the best president for blacks since Ronald Reagan, at a minimum. Maybe since Lincoln. How many blacks have noticed? Quite a few, according to the Rasmussen survey, although you couldn’t tell it from recent hysteria in the news: Today – June 5, 2020 Overall Likely Voter (LV) job approval of @POTUS – 48% Indy Voter LV app – 45% Dem LV app of – 23% Black »

A Trump-Sessions-Coulter Twitter grudge match

Featured image President Trump blasted Jeff Sessions once again this weekend. He tweeted: 3 years ago, after Jeff Sessions recused himself, the Fraudulent Mueller Scam began. Alabama, do not trust Jeff Sessions. He let our Country down. That’s why I endorsed Coach Tommy Tuberville (@TTuberville), the true supporter of our #MAGA agenda! There’s nothing new here or in Trump’s follow-up venting. What’s new is that this time Sessions, whose chances of defeating »

Not dead yet

Featured image The GOP is not dead yet. Indeed, it seems to have had a good night. Republicans held a congressional seat in rural Wisconsin and aimed to seize the suburban Los Angeles seat formerly held by torn-between-two-lovers Rep. Katie Hill. In Wisconsin’s 7th District, GOP state Sen. Tom Tiffany comfortably defeated Democratic school board member Tricia Zunker 57 percent to 43 percent. The 7th is a conservative district formerly represented by »

Speaking of losing it all [with comment by Paul]

Featured image In her omniscient narrative voice, George Eliot says in Middlemarch that prophecy is the most gratuitous form of human error. It is an insight from which we can learn a lot. The other forms of human error are less gratuitous. They are nevertheless probably all inherent in humanity. Why undertake to predict the future under uncertain circumstances? It’s part of the job of political punditry. Error is an occupational hazard. »

Will Republicans “lose it all” in November ?

Featured image E.J. Dionne thinks they very well might, and for once I agree with him. So, apparently, do some Republican Senators. (I hope I’m wrong. If I am, it won’t be the first time I have underestimated President Trump and the American public.) Let’s start with the presidential race. Come November, the U.S. will likely be in a depression. Deaths from the coronavirus in the U.S. might well be in the »

The Latest Bidenbabble

Featured image Here’s yet another two-minute highlight reel of Slow Joe’s greatest babbles from this week.   Did he really boast of speaking with NBC’s Stephanie Ruhle? Yes, yes, he did. She was a nitwit on MSNBC, so naturally she has been promoted to the NBC Nightly News, which has more or less stopped pretending to report news; right now it is just human interest stories, and I can read People magazine »

Approval of Congressional Republicans Rising

Featured image Gallup finds evidence that the Democrats’ failed impeachment drive hurt them and is benefiting Congressional Republicans: More Americans approve of the job congressional Republicans are doing than of congressional Democrats’ performance — 40% vs. 35%. The rating for Republicans in Congress has risen six percentage points since late October, before the impeachment of President Donald Trump in the U.S. House of Representatives. Over the same period, congressional Democrats’ approval rating »

Jeff Sessions’s “geographical advantage”

Featured image The first round of the Alabama Senate primary did not go well for Jeff Sessions. Few expected the former Senator to win a majority in the first round, given the crowded field. But Sessions didn’t even win a plurality. Former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville outpolled Sessions, 33.4 to 31.6. On its face, this result suggested that the runoff race between Tuberville and Sessions would be a tossup. However, I »

Elsewhere last night

Featured image Yesterday’s elections weren’t just about the Democratic presidential sweepstakes. There were important primaries involving Senate and House races for both parties. I covered one of them — the Alabama Senate primary on the GOP side. Jeff Sessions finished a close (and disappointing) second and faces a runoff race with former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville. For Democrats, rejection of the most radical candidates was a theme that carried over from »

Jeff Sessions may be headed for a runoff election. What will Trump do?

Featured image The day after tomorrow isn’t just the Democrats’ Super Tuesday. It’s also the day when Alabama Republicans will vote on whom to run for the Senate against the highly vulnerable incumbent Democrat, Doug Jones. Jeff Sessions is running for the Republican nomination. There hasn’t been much publicly reported polling about the race, but it appears that Sessions is well out in front. However, it also looks like he will fall »