2020 Election
October 29, 2020 — Paul Mirengoff
John says we will be making election predictions on our VIP Live program tomorrow night (8:00 p.m. Eastern Time), and he runs the show. Therefore, I figured I should bone up on the Senate races, in case John goes there. FiveThirtyEight failed to predict Donald Trump’s victory in 2016, but has a decent record of forecasting Senate races. Its analysis of the polls finds that the election will probably put
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October 29, 2020 — Scott Johnson
At the top of his show featuring Tony Bobulinski this past Tuesday evening, Tucker Carlson flagged efforts taken to suppress the Biden crime family story: “We’re seeing it first hand. Last night we experienced an extraordinary attempt to interfere with our reporting on the Biden family. We’ll bring you details on that soon.” Tucker detailed the underlying facts at the top of his show last night. I have posted the
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October 24, 2020 — John Hinderaker
What was the top search on Google over a 24-hour period yesterday? “How can I change my vote?” 1. Folks, every year I'm stunned by how many people do search for "how do I change my vote". Top state right now is Iowa. Top metros are below. You can only change your vote in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota. Some locals allow. But all are unlikely and have deadlines. https://t.co/rAAcdgSHP2 pic.twitter.com/XNRyJHEfi3
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October 21, 2020 — John Hinderaker
As everyone knows, control over the Senate is teetering on a knife’s edge. If the Democrats take control (perhaps needing a seat or two to spare), they will abolish the filibuster, pack the Supreme Court, make D.C. and Puerto Rico states, legalize 20 million illegal immigrants and give them the right to vote. And that is just for openers. How can you prevent that nightmare scenario from happening? It isn’t
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October 21, 2020 — John Hinderaker
The Freedom Club of Minnesota (of which I am a member) has put this ad on the airwaves in the Twin Cities. Titled “Make the Left Wing Radicals Stop,” it refers to “the bad people” and ties them to the Democratic Party. Some of the images are specific to Minnesota, but it could be used anywhere. The ad is definitely hard-hitting; is it over the top? You decide:
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October 20, 2020 — John Hinderaker
Party affiliation, as reflected in polls, is weirdly volatile. While experience suggests that most people change their party affiliation only rarely if at all, what respondents tell pollsters tends to bounce around. Currently, Gallup finds that slightly more Americans identify as Republicans than Democrats. Click to enlarge: At the link, you can see the numbers going back to 2004. For what it is worth, in October 2016 the Democrats held
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October 18, 2020 — Paul Mirengoff
California’s constitution provides: The state shall not discriminate against, or grant preferential treatment to, any individual or group on the basis of race, sex, color, ethnicity or national origin in the operation of public employment, public education, and public contracting. Less controversial language is difficult to imagine in a nation or a state that hasn’t lost its way. That’s why Proposition 16, the left’s attempt to repeal California’s ban on
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October 15, 2020 — John Hinderaker
Mark Kelly, Gabrielle Giffords’ husband, is running for Arizona’s Senate seat against Martha McSally. Kelly, a former astronaut, is one of those Democrats who pose as normal Americans. His cover was blown today when it came out that a key campaign aide denounced police officers as “worthless fucking pigs” one week before he went to work for Kelly: A campaign spokesman for Arizona Democratic Senate candidate Mark Kelly apologized Thursday
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October 14, 2020 — John Hinderaker
Depressed about the upcoming election? Maybe you shouldn’t be. Mollie Hemingway, one of the best of the younger generation of journalist/pundits, has a piece at The Federalist comparing current polls in battleground states with those in 2016: What is left out of the media’s discussions of whether this or the 2016 race is winnable for Trump is the Electoral College. And for that discussion, it’s worth a look at the
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October 11, 2020 — Paul Mirengoff
The Senate Judiciary Committee’s hearings on the nomination of Judge Amy Coney Barrett begin on Monday. It’s likely, though not certain, that Barrett will be confirmed. If she is, conservatives will hold either a 6-3 or a 5-3 majority on the Supreme Court, depending on how one categorizes Chief Justice Roberts and how he votes going forward. If the Democrats win the White House and the Senate, Joe Biden and
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October 11, 2020 — John Hinderaker
I have been getting emails (daily, it seems) from Congressional candidate Joe Collins, without really focusing on who he is. I should have paid more attention. Collins is running against Maxine Waters in South Los Angeles. Unlike Waters, Collins lives in the district. After 44 years in Congress, Waters lives in a $6 million mansion, somewhere else. Collins has released this dynamite ad, which reminds us of Kim Klasik’s campaign
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October 9, 2020 — Scott Johnson
Andrew Stiles has compiled a collection of tweets with videos updating the story of Democratic senatorial candidate Cal Cunningham’s sexting scandal. Incumbent Republican Senator Thom Tillis has tweeted out the 30-second takedown below. Chuck Schumer has spent over $80 million trying to paint one picture of Cal Cunningham, but North Carolinians are now realizing it was all one big lie and that Cunningham's candidacy is riddled with hypocrisy. Watch our
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October 6, 2020 — Paul Mirengoff
An open letter released today calls on the Pulitzer Prize Board to rescind the Prize for Commentary awarded to Nikole Hannah-Jones for her lead essay in “The 1619 Project.” The letter is signed by 21 Scholars and public writers. Among them are Victor Davis Hanson, Charles Kesler, Roger Kimball, Stanley Kurtz, Glenn Loury, Wilfred McClay, Peter Wood, and Jean Yarbrough. For reasons I discussed in this post, the “1619 Project”
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October 3, 2020 — John Hinderaker
North Carolina has played a key role in Democrats’ hopes to take control of the Senate this year. Republican Thom Tillis is considered an uninspiring figure, while the Democrats seemed to have found a strong challenger in veteran Cal Cunningham. But yesterday the news broke that Cunningham has been carrying on a torrid affair with a political consultant from California. Both Cunningham and the consultant, Arlene Guzman Todd, are married.
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October 2, 2020 — John Hinderaker
Public safety is the issue of the day, especially in the suburbs. This ad was produced by “Moms For Safe Neighborhoods” and is playing, I believe, mostly in Florida. But there are also some spots in Minnesota, and likely elsewhere. It includes an imaginary news person who says that the Democratic Congress and President Biden have cut spending on the police, which the federal government doesn’t really do. But the
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October 1, 2020 — Paul Mirengoff
Last week, I wrote about California’s Proposition 16. It’s an attempt to remove the ban on racial preferences from the state’s constitution. Here is the language, added by the voters in 1996, that Prop 16 would eliminate: The state shall not discriminate against, or grant preferential treatment to, any individual or group on the basis of race, sex, color, ethnicity or national origin in the operation of public employment, pubic
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September 25, 2020 — Scott Johnson
The Minnesota Second District congressional election has been called off until next year due to the death of Legal Marijuana Now Party candidate Adam Weeks. (The delay is dictated by Minnesota law adopted following the death of Paul Wellstone in 2002.) Weeks died this week at the age of 38. Everyone involved in the race expresses his or her condolences. I learn from Jessie Van Berkel’s Star Tribune story that
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