In the wake of Scott Walker’s decisive victory over the Democrats in Wisconsin’s recall election, many wondered whether that state will now be in play at the presidential level in November. Democrats took hope from exit polls that showed President Obama with a solid lead over Mitt Romney, but that was whistling past the graveyard, as the same exit polls got the Walker-Barrett vote entirely wrong. Today the first meaningful (i.e., likely voter) post-recall poll came out at Rasmussen Reports. In a stunning development, Romney now leads Obama in Wisconsin by 47%-44%.
My guess is that this is not the last formerly-safe for Obama state that will be in play between now and November.
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