Author Archives: Paul Mirengoff

The meaning of yesterday’s defeat — a follow-up to John’s post

Featured image I agree with John’s statement that America isn’t a center-right country. I’ve said this on Power Line and in other public settings, sometimes to derision. We are a center-center country, with the center drifting slowly but perceptibly to the left. However, I disagree with the view that this election represents an unambiguous mandate for more government and “free stuff.” If that’s what the electorate wanted, it wouldn’t have voted in »

Winners and losers

Featured image Here is a preliminary list of winners and losers from the election: Some winners Barack Obama. Congratulations to him and his team for another brilliant campaign. Nate Silver. I often come away from his columns thinking I’ve learned something. Apparently, there is more for me to learn. The MSM. To advance its pro-Obama agenda, the media kept the lid on Benghazigate when it counted. And one of its stalwarts, Candy »

The Best Revenge

Featured image Last night it became clear that President Obama’s strategy of winning reelection by “killing” Mitt Romney (to use the words of a Team Obama insider) was a winning one. Obama implemented his strategy through a vicious ad campaign that targeted Ohio, Florida, and Virginia. He also relied on the slurs of surrogates like Harry Reid, who accused Romney of not paying taxes, and Joe Biden, who accused Romney of wanting »

Senate news and updates

The biggest surprise of the night isn’t President Obama’s victory. It was always plausible to believe that Obama would triumph based on narrow wins in battleground states like Ohio and Virginia. The real surprise is in the Senate, where the Democrats will probably expand their majority in what should have been a difficult year for them. And it won’t be because of the comments of Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock »

Some House race news and updates

Let’s start with the three Power Line picks. Tom Cotton has been declared the winner in Arkansas’ Fourth District. Right now, he’s up 60-36. The victory of this outstanding American brightens an otherwise gloomy evening. Chip Cravaack trails in Minnesota’s Eighth District by about 3,000 votes with approximately one-third of the vote counted. Mia Love is more than 5,000 votes behind in Utah’s Fourth District with a little less than »

I’m still watching Fox,

but it’s Fox Soccer Channel now. I’ll probably check back in later with some reports on Senate and House races. STEVE adds: Not being a soccer fan, I think I’ll just go to bed early.  Got a pile of notes for a first-thing-in-the-morning analysis. »

Game, set, and match to President Obama

Fox News has called Ohio for President Obama. Assuming the call is correct, and I do assume that, Romney has no path to winning this election. »

Update on Power Line House picks

As we discussed in an earlier post, and as expected, Tom Cotton is crusing to victory in Arkansas’ 4th District. He leads 58 percent to 38 percent. Tom has a great political future ahead of him, in my opinion. Mia Love, unfortunately, is trailing Jim Matheson by about 7,500 votes (53-46) with a little more than half of the vote counted. Chip Cravaack is down by about 1,000 votes, but »

Is Florida slipping away?

Although Chuck Todd reported an hour or two ago that both sides expected a narrow Romney win in Florida, Obama is up by about 40,000 votes with almost 90 percent of the vote counted. There may be enough Republican votes in the Panhandle to overcome this lead (McCain carried Santa Rosa County by about 35,000 votes), but there’s good reason to be concerned about Florida as of now. »

Update on Power Line Senate picks

As noted earlier, Josh Mandel has lost in Ohio. Right now, Sherrod Brown leads that race 51-44. STEVE adds: People around Ohio in my recent visits there all said the same thing–Mandel was too young, and seemed to be moving too quickly to try to move up the ladder, having just arrived as state treasurer.  But no one else stepped up to challenge Brown, so they give him props for »

Fox declares that Tammy Baldwin will defeat Tommy Thompson (Update: Sherrod Brown wins in Ohio)

Thompson’s defeat surprises me a little. Wisconsin has tilted back to the Dems. As for the Senate as a whole, it may be a scramble just to keep the current 53(D)-47(R) composition. STEVE adds: I’m not hugely surprised by this.  I thought all along that Thompson was the GOP’s Mondale; past his time; worn out his welcome.  I thought he’d probably win, but thought he’d be vulnerable if he ran »

Mourdock loses in Indiana

Fox has called that race for Joe Donnelly. This is one that Mourdock gave away, hence the title of this post. So now, Indiana will be represented by a “moderate” Democrat who probably will vote with Obama on every big question for at least the next five years. And I don’t see the Republicans getting to 51, or even 50, Senate seats now that Lugar’s seat is lost. »

Republicans will hold the House

CNN and Fox both say so. Since there is no tabulated vote in many House races, I assume Republicans will hold the House by a good margin. »

Fox calls Pennsylvania for Obama (update — and Wisconsin too)

Ohio now becomes all the more crucial. And Obama has about a 10 point lead in the early tabulated vote there. With Pennsylvania and Wisconsin gone and Florida and Virginia still not declared for Romney, we may be in Nate Silver territory when it comes to the odds of a Romney victory. »

More on Florida — both sides reportedly expect Romney to win it

Featured image Chuck Todd reports that both camps now expect Romney to carry Florida narrowly (i.e., by less than 100,000 votes). STEVE adds: That will be enough.  Dems will have to look for a recount elsewhere this year. »

Tom Cotton (updated)

Only about 2,000 votes are in. Tom has almost 80 percent of them. UPDATE: Tom is up by 13,000 votes, 57-40. »

Tough sledding

I had hoped that, at this stage of the evening, the news from Virginia and Florida would be favorable, and that we would be obsessing about Ohio. But it looks like we need to obsess about Virginia and Florida too. STEVE adds: Mack was a poor candidate.  Looks like between this cycle and last cycle, the GOP has spotted the Dems as many as five seats with poor candidates.  Not »