The Ice Is Cracking . . . Er

The Daily Mail helpfully reminds us that back in 2007 the BBC blared the headline that the Arctic could be ice-free by 2013:

So, now that it’s 2013, what has happened?  Heh:

The climateers and their media cheerleaders keep ignoring the new First Law of Environmental Doomsaying: Always—always—long-date your predictions, so that you won’t be around to be held accountable when they fail.  The trouble with the climate campaign is that they are so desperate for immediate action that they have to grab onto any and every weather “irregularity” (a nonsense term, yes, but roll with it) to Keep Hope Alive.

Like hurricanes.  Except, oops:

Seasonal Hurricane Forecast Likely a “Significant Bust”

As recently as four weeks ago federal hurricane forecasters were saying they retained “high confidence” in the Atlantic seeing an active tropical season, with six to nine hurricanes.

Since then we’ve gone through the first of the three “high” months of the Atlantic hurricane season — August, September and October — and we’ve had naught hurricanes. Now the season is far from over — it doesn’t peak until next week, and there’s a system in the Caribbean Sea that will probably become a tropical storm during the next several days as it moves toward the Bahamas.

Nevertheless on Tuesday Phil Klotzbach, a noted seasonal forecaster, admitted to me, “At this point, it looks like this is going to be a significant forecast bust.  The challenge with this year, unlike some of other forecast busts, is that there are no obvious reasons why.”

Less than three weeks until the next IPCC report.

Notice: All comments are subject to moderation. Our comments are intended to be a forum for civil discourse bearing on the subject under discussion. Commenters who stray beyond the bounds of civility or employ what we deem gratuitous vulgarity in a comment — including, but not limited to, “s***,” “f***,” “a*******,” or one of their many variants — will be banned without further notice in the sole discretion of the site moderator.