Republicans
May 22, 2026 — John Hinderaker
Via InstaPundit, check out this chart showing political donations by occupation, where the donations are most one-sided either in favor of Democrats or Republicans: The most striking part of this chart is how much bluer the bluest occupations are than the reddest are red. Progressives & liberals are far likelier to live in a monopartisan/monocultural bubble. pic.twitter.com/ZO4DlKzQjp — Dan McLaughlin (@baseballcrank) May 19, 2026 Dan McLaughlin’s observation is clearly right,
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May 20, 2026 — Scott Johnson
RealClearPolitics has collected yesterday’s primary results here. I focused on the race featuring Ed Gallrein against incumbent Republican Rep. Thomas Massie in the Kentucky Fourth Congressional District primary. Massie lost by ten points, 55 percent to 45 percent, or about 10,000 votes. Massie has turned massively erratic in a Tucker Carlson sort of way. He gave a hint of his post-congressional career in his graceless remarks conceding defeat by…well, you
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April 27, 2026 — John Hinderaker
My colleague John Phelan has put together the best analysis of Red America vs. Blue America that I have seen. This is partly because John, instead of distinguishing blue from red based on presidential votes, looks at control over state government: We can code the states as “Red” or “Blue” if they have had either Republican or Democrat “trifectas” over the entire period 2019 to 2025, “Lean Red” or “Lean
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March 30, 2026 — John Hinderaker
Given their aggressive posture in today’s politics, you might assume the Democrats are in the ascendancy. In fact, however, they are in the midst of a long-term decline. YouGov charts party affiliation over the last 20 years. First, though, some historical perspective: 70 years ago, Democrats had a huge partisan advantage over Republicans. That advantage has steadily eroded over time, in large part because conservative Southerners, once Democrats, are now
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March 22, 2026 — John Hinderaker
The sorting of America’s states into blue and red, with the one-way population transfers that have followed, is the biggest political and cultural story of this century. In the abstract, one might have expected that blue states would trend redder and red states would trend bluer, toward a purple consensus, based on regression to the mean if nothing else. But that isn’t happening. Instead, red states are generally getting redder,
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March 10, 2026 — Scott Johnson
In its morning newsletter the Washington Free Beacon reports: As Democrats make anti-ICE messaging a centerpiece of their midterm election strategy, a new NBC poll shows that the Democratic Party is more unpopular than ICE. Of the 14 subjects surveyed—a list that also included “AI, that is Artificial Intelligence”—only Iran had a lower approval rating than the Democratic Party. The Free Beacon cites the X post below. The X post
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March 9, 2026 — John Hinderaker
Liberal news outlets are trumpeting polls that purport to show widespread opposition to our air strikes on Iran. Meanwhile, renegade former conservatives like Tucker Carlson and Candace Owens are attacking the administration over the conflict, which they blame on Israel and the Jews. Is MAGA really splintering over Iran? Seemingly not, at least not so far. CNN’s chief data analyst, Harry Enten, looks at multiple polls dating from last week,
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February 4, 2026 — John Hinderaker
Democrats seem to be banking heavily on the idea that fanatical opposition to the Trump administration’s attempts to enforce our immigration laws is a political winner. Maybe so; it certainly has worked for them in Minnesota. But nationally, this Cygnal poll suggests that they are on the wrong side of the issue: The national conversation pushed by Democrats and media outlets suggesting deportation is unpopular [is] wrong. Voters believe federal
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December 20, 2025 — John Hinderaker
Donald Trump does a lot of smart things, but he also does some inexplicably dumb things. Like–if this was an endorsement–endorsing MyPillow founder Mike Lindell as the GOP candidate for Governor of Minnesota: At Friday’s rally in Rocky Mount, North Carolina, livestreamed on the White House’s official YouTube page, Mr. Trump took aim at Walz and Minnesota’s growing fraud crisis, adding his longtime ally Lindell, “deserves to be governor of
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December 11, 2025 — Scott Johnson
In the January issue of National Review Phil Klein salutes “Ted Cruz’s finest hour.” He writes: Senator Ted Cruz is trying to wake people up to what he sees as a growing crisis on the right. He has taken to saying that if he were to post “Good morning” on the social media platform X, within minutes he would be deluged by hundreds of blatantly antisemitic replies. It’s not much
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December 3, 2025 — Scott Johnson
In its morning newsleter, Jewish Insider flags Marc Rod’s story “Influencers, politicians, media execs flock to Qatar despite its baggage.” Access to the story is free but requires submission of an email address and maybe the creation of an account. It’s an important story. This is the summary provided in the newsletter (emphasis and links omitted). * * * * * Qatar, whose ties to the Muslim Brotherhood have drawn
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November 16, 2025 — John Hinderaker
When the government shutdown ended, Rasmussen asked voters what they thought about it. Not surprisingly, 67% say they approve of the shutdown’s end. Twenty-four percent disapprove of ending the shutdown, presumably all rabid Democrats. They wanted the shutdown to continue until Republicans gave Democrats whatever it was they wanted. Rasmussen asked voters who was to blame for the shutdown: Voters are divided over who is most to blame for the
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August 21, 2025 — John Hinderaker
Rita Panahi has a show on Sky News Australia that includes a wildly popular “Lefties Losing It” segment. I was part of that segment last night. Rita and I talked about the New York Times analysis that shows Democrats losing ground to Republicans in voter registration; whether socialism can be the salvation of the Democratic Party; redistricting and gerrymandering; President Trump’s role on the international stage; and whether peace can
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August 20, 2025 — Scott Johnson
Do you believe the good news of the day if it appears in the New York Times? That is the question raised by Shane Golmacher/Jonah Smith story “The Democratic Party Faces a Voter Registration Crisis.” Goldmacher and Smith report: The Democratic Party is hemorrhaging voters long before they even go to the polls. Of the 30 states that track voter registration by political party, Democrats lost ground to Republicans in
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August 14, 2025 — John Hinderaker
Gallup regularly polls Americans on their consumption of alcohol. Currently, they are seeing an alarming drop in alcohol use among Republicans. In fact, many of us apparently are becoming teetotalers: The Gallup data are here. While I don’t see that chart, the numbers appear accurate. The number of Republicans who say they drink–at all–has dropped from 65% in 2023 to 57% in 2024 to 46% in 2025. Is this the
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August 11, 2025 — Bill Glahn
Realignment? From Politico, Teamsters pour money into GOP, shifting away from Dems. Politico explains, It wasn’t just 2024: the Teamsters General President Sean O’Brien is signaling a more permanent realignment by donating to battleground Republicans in the upcoming midterms. For the second year in a row, the labor union’s political arm donated to the Republicans’ House campaign arm after nearly two decades of mostly backing Democrats. We’re not talking big
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August 6, 2025 — John Hinderaker
Accusations about gerrymandering are in the news, but this is actually something that can be studied objectively. American Experiment economist John Phelan developed a methodology to measure how much a state is, or is not, gerrymandered. He explains: First, we take the Democratic party’s vote share in each state. Second, we take the share of each state’s seats won by the Democratic party. Third, we subtract the latter from the
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