Regressing Almost to the Mean

We’ve been following Barack Obama’s approval ratings on Rasmussen Reports; there are daily ups and downs, of course, but the trend is consistent: down. Rasmussen’s “approval index” is the difference between Obama’s “strong approval” and “strong disapproval” numbers. Today it’s down to its lowest level, at +1:

obama_index_may_2_2009.jpg.jpeg

Obama’s overall approval rating among likely voters is 54 percent. His “100 days” press conference and accompanying pageant of media adulation apparently had no impact on voters. It won’t be long, I suspect, before Rasmussen’s approval index goes negative.

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