2020 Election

Michael Barone to the two political parties: Grow up

Featured image Michael Barone contends that both political parties are failing to respond to signals in the political marketplace. I think Barone is right and has stated the problem neatly. The market signals to the Republican Party are pretty clear. In 2020, the GOP couldn’t defeat an uninspiring Democrat presidential candidate whose mental capacity obviously is diminished, perhaps significantly. The signals to the Democratic Party aren’t faint, either. They couldn’t defeat an »

Trump vs. Barr [with question from Paul]

Featured image For some time, William Barr was a hero of the Trump administration. As a result he was reviled by Democrats. But near the end, he had a falling out with Trump, which I take it related mainly to Trump’s insistence on questioning the results of the (highly questionable) 2020 election. Now the enmity between the two men has grown bitter, as Barr is a subject of, and a collaborator in, »

Dems to Selves: Was It Something We Said?

Featured image The New York Times reports today on an unintentionally hilarious and revealing internal study a consortium of Democrat-aligned consulting groups have produced concerning the fact that aside from Joe Biden, Democrats performed very poorly in the last election. There is special worry over the “overperformance” of Trump and Republicans with hispanics and blacks, which isn’t supposed to happen according to Democratic “emerging demographic majority” dogma that says if “we label »

The Blockbuster Book of 2021

Featured image That is what Mollie Hemingway’s forthcoming Rigged: How the Media, Big Tech, and the Democrats Seized Our Elections promises to be. The Federalist has a lengthy description of the book by Mollie herself. You should read it all. Here are some quotes: If questioning the results of a presidential election were a crime, as many have asserted in the wake of the controversial 2020 election and its aftermath, nearly the »

Three Weeks In

Featured image Congressman Tom Emmer represents Minnesota’s Sixth District and is part of the GOP leadership team in the House. He heads the NRCC, which had a hugely successful cycle in 2020. Yesterday my organization hosted a zoom event with Congressman Emmer. He talked about the 2020 election and the GOP’s prospects for 2022, about the first three weeks of the Biden administration, and about what we can expect going forward. Emmer »

Introducing the OMAR Act

Featured image In her young career Minnesota Fifth District Rep. Ilhan Omar has made her mark in a variety of ways. To take one, she was the first member of the Minnesota legislature to take office while married to her brother (her first of three legal, sort of, husbands). Moving on to Congress, to take another, she was the first member of the House of Representatives ever to have been married to »

Voting By Mail: How Other Countries Do It

Featured image On the podcast this week we discussed John Lott’s statistical analysis of voting anomalies in several key swing states, in which he concluded there were likely around 290,000 fraudulent votes. The difficulty is that the analysis depends on sophisticated regression techniques that are beyond the grasp of most laypeople, and indeed there is a serious critique of Lott’s paper that argues that Lott’s result is largely an artifact of the »

Reconciliation, who wants that?

Featured image The editors of the Washington Post intoned today that “if the GOP wants reconciliation, it must admit that Mr. Biden won, fair and square.” (Quotation from paper edition) But why in the world would Republicans want to reconcile with Democrats? The GOP and the Democrats are adversaries. They aren’t partners in a marriage or in a family. They aren’t friends. Nor have the Democrats vanquished the Republicans, as, for example, »

Footnotes to the Week

Featured image There remains a lot more to be said about the events of the week and the new circumstances now facing us. Herewith a few observations that I may expand into longer treatments at some point. • The events of the week have emboldened the vindictive and radical spirit of the Democrats and their allies in the media-academic-cultural complex—not that they weren’t radical enough already. You can see this in things »

A Sad Day

Featured image I woke up not expecting a good day, but it turned out to be much worse. First we lost both Georgia Senate races, putting us at the mercy of the Democrats (or, more specifically, Joe Manchin) for the next two years. For an interesting analysis of why those races went South–and specifically, why fraud wasn’t the main problem–see this piece by Liam Bissainthe at Liberty Unyielding. Then, of course, we »

Whipsawed in Georgia

Featured image There will be plenty of commentary about what looks to be the Democrats’ sweep of the Georgia runoff elections. Scott has already provided an insightful take. However, I think the most concise analysis came a week before the election from my Georgia source, a well-placed Republican in that state. He told me: In a 50/50 state where some percentage of Republicans are refusing to vote because they think their vote »

After last night

Featured image As I write at 6:00 a.m. (Central) this morning, Raphael Warnock’s race against Kelly Loeffler has been called for Warnock. While Jon Ossoff’s race against David Perdue has yet to be called, Ossoff leads and his lead is likely to widen when the remaining votes are counted. Democrats will thus take control of the Senate on a 50-50 split with Kamala Harris presiding as Vice President. Here are a few »

The Georgia runoffs [Updated]

Featured image At the moment, both Republican Senators are slightly ahead in the Georgia runoffs. However, most of the uncounted vote appears to be from heavily Democratic counties. Kelly Loeffler’s lead over Raphael Warnock is slight enough (about 40,000 votes) that Warnock looks like a good bet to win. David Perdue’s lead over Jon Ossoff is larger (about 65,000 votes), so maybe he will hang on. I wouldn’t bet on it, though. »

The Gridlock Election

Featured image “Respectable opinion” holds that gridlock in Washington is a terrible thing, because it means Washington “can’t get anything done.” To the contrary, gridlock is the next best thing to having constitutional government! Put a little more seriously, gridlock has replaced the separation of powers as a chief constraint on the impetuosity of central government, and it is precisely the separation of powers embedded in the logic of the Constitution that »

Another depressing report from Georgia

Featured image Yesterday, I posted a report by a well-placed Republican source about the run-off elections in Georgia, his home state. I followed up with my source by asking two questions. First, are the attacks on Raphael Warnock’s leftism and the scandalous way he ran a camp resonating? Second, is the controversy over the stimulus bill a factor in the race? My source graciously answered both questions and provided a summation of »

Depressing news from Georgia

Featured image Last week, I reported on polls by Trafalgar that had Sens. Perdue and Loeffler leading in their Georgia Senate races. But this week, Trafalgar shows both Republicans to be trailing — Loeffler by about a point and Perdue by about 2 (3 if you include “leaners”). I asked my Georgia source, a well-placed state Republican who correctly predicted the Georgia outcomes in November, for his view from the ground. I »

From the mixed-up files of Rev. Raphael Warnock

Featured image With control of the United States Senate in issue, the mainstream media have left it to the Washington Free Beacon and Free Beacon reporter Alana Goodman to explore the background of Democratic Senate candidate Raphael Warnock. Goodman’s latest report on Warnock recounts the testimony of former camper Anthony Washington at the church camp overseen by Warnock. Washington testifies to the counselors who tossed urine on him and locked him outside »