Poll

Support for Obamacare dips to 26 percent

Featured image A new survey by the Associated Press-GfK survey finds that only 26 percent of Americans support the so-called Affordable Care Act, better known as Obamacare. In April 2010, shortly after the law passed, 39 percent supported it. The most significant change since that time has been in the number of Americans who neither support nor oppose the law. That percentage has shot from 10 percent to 30 percent since April »

The Iowa Senate race becomes fully competitive

Featured image When Nate Silver found that the Republicans have a 60 percent chance of capturing the Senate in this year’s election, he rated the GOP’s chances of winning the Iowa race at 25 percent. But that was before the Democratic candidate, Rep. Bruce Braley, dismissed popular Iowa Senator Chuck Grassley as a “farmer from Iowa who never went to law school.” Braley made that comment during a fund raising talk to »

As Obama retreats, America recoils

Featured image A CBS News poll finds that only 36 percent of Americans approve of the job President Obama is doing on foreign policy. 49 percent disapprove. Obama actually polls better when it comes to his handling of the economy and of health care than he does on foreign policy. Robert Kagan points out, however, that Obama has been giving Americans the detached, non-interventionist foreign policy they want after the Bush years. »

Poll contains good news and bad news for Democrats [With Comment on Hillary By John]

Featured image According to a new Fox News poll, President Obama’s approval rating has slipped to 38 percent. In January and February, his approval rating was 42 percent in Fox’s polling. He has never before been below 40 percent in this survey. 54 percent disapprove of the president’s performance. A 59-percent majority thinks the Obama administration has mostly failed at creating jobs, up from 52 percent in October 2012. 56 percent believe »

The uninsured don’t like Obamacare either

Featured image A new Kaiser poll finds that just 24 percent of uninsured Americans have a favorable view of Obamacare, while 47 percent of the uninsured view it unfavorably. Thus, two uninsured Americans dislike Obamacare for every one American who likes it. And the ratio becomes slightly more damning when the question to the uninsured is whether they see themselves as better or worse off due to Obamacare. 30 percent say they »

Senate Democrats are swimming upstream

Featured image Amidst all of the speculation about whether Republicans will capture the Senate in this year’s election, this fact stands out: Democrats must defend seats in five of the 10 states where President Barack Obama is most unpopular. Here are the five states and Obama’s approval rating (measured by Gallup) in each: West Virginia — 25.1 percent South Dakota — 31.7 percent Montana — 33.1 percent Alaska — 33.5 percent Arkansas »

Poll has Clinton and Christie in a dead heat

Featured image For what it’s worth, and that may not be much, Chris Christie is in a statistical dead heat with Hillary Clinton in a poll by CNN/ORC International. The poll puts Christie at 48 percent and Clinton at 46 percent. Christie wins nearly six in ten votes among independents, and wins a majority of suburbanites and older voters. Clinton wins decisively among women. Unfortunately, Christie is the only Republican among those »

Democrats broke it so they own it

Featured image Taking a large measure of control over the health insurance industry via Obamacare must have seemed like a dream-come-true to the left. But from a political perspective at least, this power grab is beginning to look like a nightmare. An Associated Press-GfK poll finds that nearly half of those with job-based or other private coverage say their policies will be changing next year — mostly for the worse. 69 percent »

Hispanics are less sold on Obama, but why?

Featured image Hispanic support for President Obama declined considerably during the past year. In December 2012, his approval rating with Hispanics stood at 75 percent. Now, it is down to 52 percent. Proponents of amnesty-style immigration reform are have seized on this degree of buyers’ remorse as a reason for Republicans to support their agenda. They say the poll numbers show that Republicans can make inroads with Hispanic voters, but only if »

Live by the poorly informed, die by the poorly uninformed

Featured image Democrats are happy, no doubt, to have the overwhelming support of young, “low information” voters. And, presumably, they have little desire to see this constituency become better informed as a general matter. But relying on the votes of young, low information voters is one thing; relying on their behavior is another. And the Democrats are relying on their behavior. Obamacare, the signature accomplishment of the Democratic Party, depends on young, »

The young and the restless

Featured image Just about the only good I could ever see in the election of Barack Obama was the near inevitability that the young voters who helped elect him would become disillusioned. These voters had been trending leftward so vigorously that more than just the slow aging process seemed necessary to reverse the movement. An Obama presidency always seemed likely to supply the “more.” And so, finally, it has. From Ron Fournier »

Chris Cillizza sees the writing on the wall

Featured image As Ezra Klein sounds the alarm on Obamacare, his Washington Post colleague Chris Cillizza sounds it on the political front. He shows that President Obama’s second-term approval rating is essentially tracking that of George W. Bush. Both stood at just over 50 percent following their reelection. Both declined pretty steadily during that first year to just under 40 percent by November. Bush’s number bounced back to the low to mid »

Are Voters Finally Catching On to Obama?

Featured image Barack Obama is a strange politician. He has never really been a popular president, yet when he places himself in sharp conflict with Republicans, his hate machine has been able to push them lower than himself and temporarily raise his own popularity. In 2012, he defied gravity, winning re-election despite having no significant accomplishments to his name, and with an economic record that would have spelled doom for any former »

Obamacare’s political backlash

Featured image Last week, I wrote: “The winners under Obamacare will be a cohort that already votes overwhelmingly for Democrats. The losers will consist mainly of middle class Americans, whose party allegiance is split.” This piece in Politico supports my assessment. It focuses on the initial wave of Obamacare losers, namely those who have lost their privately purchased health insurance and are thus forced, if they wish to remain insured, to purchase »

Virginia gubernatorial race tightens

Featured image The off-off-year gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia are commonly viewed as bellwethers for gauging the off-year congressional races that will follow. These two elections can claim that status because the historically strong performances by Republicans in 1994 and 2010 were preceded by Republican victories in New Jersey and Virginia the year before, while the Democratic landslide of 2006 was preceded by Democratic wins in these two states. This »

How quickly they remember

Featured image A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds that President Obama’s job approval has fallen to 42 percent, a new low in this survey. 51 percent of respondents disapprove of his performance. Earlier this month, buoyed by the partial government shutdown for which Republicans took most of the blame, Obama’s approval rating stood at 47 percent. At the end of 2012, following his reelection, Obama had an approval rating of »

Our Deeply Confused Electorate

Featured image These days, many are saying that Americans are profoundly divided, in a way that we haven’t seen in a long time. That might be true. But it seems to me that our electorate is as much confused as divided. Some of the current data at Rasmussen Reports illustrate the point. It is useful, I think, to look at multiple data points from the same source, so that differing results are »