No campus free speech problem? Really?

Featured image Andrew Hartman, a professor of history at Illinois State University, argues that there is no campus free speech problem. He claims that college campuses are more tolerant than ever. The latter claim may be true if you’re a transgender illegal immigrant advocating communism. But what is Hartman’s evidence that conservatives don’t have a problem speaking freely and hearing others express conservative views on campus? He presents precious little. He notes »

Poll: Democratic incumbents trail in five Senate races

Featured image Last year at this time, many Republicans were optimistic about the opportunity to pick up enough Senate seats in 2018 to approach, or maybe even reach, a filibuster-proof majority — i.e. 60 seats. After all, ten seats held by Democrats in states carried by President Trump would be in play. By the end of the year, however, many Republicans were questioning whether the GOP could pick up enough seats to »

Poll: GOP and Trump are no longer under water

Featured image There’s more good polling news for Republicans today — the best yet in this cycle. A Politico/Morning Consult poll finds that the GOP has pulled, in effect, level with the Dems in the generic congressional poll. 39 percent of registered voters say they would support the GOP candidate for Congress in their district, while 38 percent would back the Democratic candidate. President Trump’s numbers have also improved dramatically, according to »

Republican electoral prospects brighten

Featured image Before I left for a week in the beautiful Dominican Republic, I had the sense that GOP prospects for this year’s elections were on the upswing. I return to find there’s no doubt about it. In December, the Democrats held a 15 point lead in a Monmouth poll that asked the “generic” question of whether respondents are more likely to vote for a Democratic or Republican candidate in their own »

Today’s Classroom Lesson: Demystifying Opinion Polls

Featured image Between now and November we’ll be awash in opinion polls, and partisans on both sides will be deploying them chiefly as a tactic of vote suppression—trying to discourage the other side that all is lost. Now, I could give a classroom style treatise here on the tricks and defects of opinion polling, or I could just enlist another scene from Yes, Prime Minister, which explains the problem much more effectively: »

A Turning Point for Trump In Sight?

Featured image My sense is the intransigence of the Democratic “resistance” mentality is going to make this present “government shutdown” the longest ever, with unpredictable political effects at this early point. It comes amidst evidence that Trump’s position might be improving. According to the most recent CBS News poll, Trump’s overall numbers continue to be underwater. His best numbers—still below 50 percent—are for his handling of the economy and his handling of »

Shutdown politics, who has the upper hand?

Featured image Last night, in considering which party will be blamed the most for a sustained partial government shutdown, I mentioned two polls. The first, by the Washington Post, found that, by a 20-point margin, more Americans will blame President Trump and Republicans than Democrats. This, I believe, is similar to what most polls are showing, even though it was the Dems who voted to defeat a bill that would have kept »

Poll: Minnesotans don’t want Franken to resign

Featured image According to a new survey, more Minnesotans believe Al Franken should remain in the Senate than think he should resign. Half of the voters surveyed think Franken should not resign. Only 42 percent think he should. 60 percent say Franken should have waited until the Senate Ethics Committee investigated his behavior before making a decision whether to stay or go. The poll was conducted by PPP, a Democratic polling firm. »

Are conservatives more patriotic than liberals?

Featured image A new survey suggests they are. The survey was conducted by American Culture & Faith Institute. Its report can be found here. The study identified certain propositions that those surveyed believe are an accurate description of what it means to be patriotic. It then determined the extent to which conservatives and liberals view each proposition as accurately describing patriotism. Below are the six propositions that at least 70 percent of »

Today in Sexual Harassment

Featured image So, who is it going to be today? I think we need a poll where everyone can vote his or her preferences/predictions: »

Poll: Gillespie and Northam deadlocked in Virginia

Featured image The Virginia gubernatorial election always draws attention because (1) it occurs during the barren electoral year that follows presidential races and (2) it occurs in a swing state, albeit one that has been trending Democrat. Thus, fairly or not, the race typically is viewed as portentous for the party that loses. This year, the Democratic candidate is Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam. The Republican candidate is Ed Gillespie, former chair of »

What do you mean “we,” lefty

Featured image Leaders of the National Lawyers Guild in San Francisco have written an opinion piece for the San Francisco Chronicle titled “We are all Antifa.” The truth of the statement depends on the meaning of “we.” If the authors mean the National Lawyers Guild, their statement is accurate. This outfit is, and always has been, a far left organization. As Jesse Rigsby wrote in FrontPage Magazine back in 2003: The National »

A middle class revival

Featured image This column by Robert Samuelson is called “The Quiet Comeback of the Middle Class.” It presents a picture of contemporary America at variance from the narrative of both the left and the Trumpians, at least in their 2016 incarnation. Samuelson cites a Gallup poll from June of this year in which 62 percent of Americans said they are in the middle or upper middle class, while only 36 percent classified »

Poll: 35 percent of Washingtonians have protested Trump

Featured image Based on a poll it conducted, the Washington Post reports that more than 1 in 3 residents of Washington, D.C. has marched in protest of President Trump. I’m not sure I believe the number is quite that high. The Post also reports that high-income white residents are the most likely to have participated in the protests. I definitely believe that. The Post found that 53 percent of white D.C. residents »

From Fake News to Fake Polls

Featured image The media blob is making much of a Washington Post/ABC News poll that finds the public by a 2 to 1 margin opposes President Trump’s decision to withdraw from the Paris Accord: Most Americans oppose President Trump’s decision to withdraw from the Paris climate agreement, with a majority saying the move will damage the United States’ global leadership, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. Opposition to Trump’s decision outpaces »

What is Trump’s approval rating?

Featured image President Trump’s current approval rating isn’t very important right now (though it may be to President Trump), but all of us would like to know what that rating is. In its latest survey, Rasmussen puts the approval number at 51 percent, with 49 percent disapproving. This is Trump’s best showing in a Rasmussen poll since early March. However, Trump’s approval rating has hovered at close to 50 percent for the »

American attitudes to Jews

Featured image It is somehow reported as big news that President Trump denounced anti-Semitism yesterday. Was his attitude seriously in doubt? He is a proud supporter of Israel and vocal friend of Benjamin Netanyahu. His appointed ambassador to the United Nations is Nikki Haley, who is trying to right wrongs against Israel committed by the United Nations and, ahem, the Obama administration. His daughter converted to Judaism. He has Jewish grandchildren. In »