Poll
September 13, 2022 — Steven Hayward
The dominant narrative of the Democrat-Media-Complex is that Joe Biden is coming back—look, his approval rating has risen above 40 percent! The “generic ballot” for the House shows Dems back in the lead! Democratic Senate candidates are leading their weakling Republican challengers in several red states! (Although in fact several recent polls reflect rising GOP Senate candidate strength in key races, but never mind.) Independent voters are breaking back to
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September 9, 2022 — Scott Johnson
Yesterday we noted how West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin has played the fool for the Democrats’ tax, climate, and spending bonanza in the absurdly named Inflation Reduction Act. You can’t help but get the feeling that the Democrats are conducting a social science experiment. They are testing voters to ascertain if they’re paying attention. West Virginia voters appear to be paying attention. Drawing on a recent Triton poll, RedState’s Mr.
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September 7, 2022 — Scott Johnson
Pollster Robert Cahaly’s Trafalgar Group asked 1084 likely general election voters what they thought of President Biden’s Triumph of the shill speech this past Thursday. Trafalgar posed the question: “What is your opinion of President Biden’s recent primetime address to the nation in which he accused his political opponents of representing ‘an extremism that threatens the very foundations of our republic’?” The results are tabulated in the tweet below and
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September 4, 2022 — Scott Johnson
Over the past week pollster Robert Cahaly’s Trafalgar Group released three polls with results that should tend to encourage Republicans. You can scroll through Trafalgar’s recent poll results here. Trafalgar has posted its methodology here. Each of the poll results reported in tweets below is supported by a summary report that is linked in a given tweet. In the Georgia Senate race the Trafalgar poll showed Herschel Walker pulling narrowly
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September 2, 2022 — Scott Johnson
Yesterday I wrote about the “Rise & fall of the Biden bump” as measured in the most recent Reuters/Ipsos poll. According to the most recent Quinnipiac poll, however, the Biden bump is, I am afraid to say, tumescent. We appear to be in Hunter Biden territory with the bump. Quinnipiac’s poll of 1,584 U.S. adults ran from August 25-29 with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The
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September 1, 2022 — Scott Johnson
President Biden’s approval rating recently bumped up into the low 40’s. My working theory is that Biden is well served by his time out of the public eye and poorly served by his public appearances and remarks. Biden’s minders in the White House don’t seem to agree with me, however, as they continue to send him on the road to peddle the fabrications, fabulations, and grotesqueries of his Wilkes-Barre remarks,
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August 17, 2022 — Steven Hayward
Suddenly Democrats are feeling more chipper about their prospects for November. Congress passed something! President Biden got to have a signing ceremony at the White House! (You have to understand that for the liberal mind, nothing good can happen in the world without a signing ceremony—it’s the key sacrament of their secular religion.) Some polls show Democrats looking better, especially in key Senate races where Republicans have nominated weak candidates.
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August 9, 2022 — Steven Hayward
To listen to the Democrats’ media cheerleaders, Biden and his party have their mojo back, and can now look forward to turning around their dismal mid-term election prospects. Paul Krugman thinks Democrats may have actually saved western civilization! It seems, though, that the voters haven’t yet got the memo, which is no surprise since public trust in the media is now below used-car salesman levels. As Charles Lipson pointed out,
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July 14, 2022 — Scott Johnson
Josh Kraushaar has left National Journal for Axios. Yesterday Axios flagged Kraushaar’s reading of the demographic shifts reflected in the latest New York Times/Siena College Poll: “Democrats now have a bigger advantage among white college graduates than they do with nonwhite voters…” Today on Axios Kraushaar writes under his own byline in “The great realignment.” The key data point is among Hispanic voters: “Democrats are statistically tied with Republicans among
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July 10, 2022 — Scott Johnson
The New York Post headline reads “Biden’s approval rating craters to 30% after brutal week.” Reading the same poll, RedState’s Nick Arama comments perceptively on the numbers in “Prepare for the Biden Tantrum.” What more is to be said? The reported poll is one of registered voters. If it were filtered to reflect likely voters, I have to think the results would be slightly worse. On that point, we shall
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July 6, 2022 — Steven Hayward
The latest Gallup survey of public trust in U.S. institutions is out, and just about everything is sliding. As Gallup summarizes: Americans are less confident in major U.S. institutions than they were a year ago, with significant declines for 11 of the 16 institutions tested and no improvements for any. The largest declines in confidence are 11 percentage points for the Supreme Court — as reported in late June before
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July 2, 2022 — John Hinderaker
Is America in the process of breaking up? I don’t know. It might be. These poll data from the University of Chicago Institute of Politics are sobering, to say the least. Start with this: …28 percent of voters, including 37 percent who have guns in their homes, agree that “it may be necessary at some point soon for citizens to take up arms against the government.” That view is held
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June 30, 2022 — Steven Hayward
The latest RealClearPolitics poll average finds (P)resident Biden’s approval rating sinking to an all time low of 38 percent: His ratings on the economy are much worse, with his approval rating for his handling of the economy sinking to 33 percent. This means he is losing many Democrats. There doesn’t seem to be much evidence so far that the Dobbs decision is changing the political landscape for Democrats in any
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June 15, 2022 — John Hinderaker
National polling is dismal for the Democrats. But how are they faring in a relatively blue state like Minnesota? This MinnPost/Change Research poll should worry Democrats, not just in Minnesota but nationwide. Change Research (I assume a Democrat-affiliated pollster, given MinnPost’s orientation) has Joe Biden’s approval in Minnesota deeply under water at 35% approve, 55% disapprove. A whopping 48%–including an astonishing 61% of men!–have a “very unfavorable” view of our
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April 25, 2022 — John Hinderaker
This Harvard Harris poll has lots of interesting results, pretty much all of which are positive for us conservatives. Among other things, it finds the GOP with a 51% favorability rating, compared with 43% for the Democrats. But I want to focus on voters’ perception of Joe Biden. Anyone who pays attention knows that Biden is more or less senile. Yet the press has tried to gaslight Americans into thinking
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April 25, 2022 — Steven Hayward
Last week my pals at the Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research at Berkeley held a panel on “(Why) Are Democrats Losing the Latino Vote?” You may pick up the subtle aspect of the way the question is presented, as lots of progressives think there’s nothing to see in changing hispanic vote patterns—that the results in Florida, for example, are just those Castro-hating Cubans, who aren’t really Latino at all.
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April 25, 2022 — Scott Johnson
Chief Biden White House daycare minder Ron Klain tactfully observes — “just FYI” — that President Macron’s win over Marine LePen in France’s presidential election yesterday came with Macron’s bargain basement approval rating. He leaves us to make of it what we will. Just fyi, President Biden’s bargain basement approval rating — 40 percent in the Morning Consult poll (of adults) to which Klain links, 33 percent in the Quinnipiac
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